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3130 Lincoln Way W
C Composite 57.88
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$143,900

3130 Lincoln Way W · Massillon, OH 44647
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 230 Days on market
Built 1947 0.26 ac lot $156/sqft · 12% below area Est $164k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This affordable NW Massillon home is just what you've been waiting for! With two bedrooms on the main level along with the possibility of two more bedrooms upstairs! The unfinished basement is waiting for your creativity. You will appreciate the large, private backyard and back deck; the perfect place to relax and unwind! There is a detached garage to store your items out of the elements as well as two driveways! (One shared) With close proximity to both Tuslaw and downtown Massillon! Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Two driveways
  • Private backyard
  • Back deck

Tags

PRIVATE BACKYARDBACK DECKDETACHED GARAGETWO DRIVEWAYSCLOSE PROXIMITY TO DOWNTOWN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $144k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $196 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (1.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.9% in Massillon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#306 in OH, #4,928 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Massillon City (urban): math 43% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #487 of 656 in OH (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 528 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $995 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stark County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 230 days — a 12% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $126,632 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 230 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
7.93%
Cash-on-cash
5.85%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$163,902
List price
$143,900
Delta
-12.20%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
942 32nd St NW 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,002 (+8%) 0mo $169,900 $170 82
450 Noble Pl NW 0.35mi 3/1.0 864 (-6%) 6mo $180,000 $208 67
824 Hemlock St NW 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 952 (+3%) 13mo $167,000 $175 63
166 Rolling Park Dr N 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 910 (-2%) 3mo $27,500 $30 55
1146 Kenyon Ave NW 0.72mi 3/1.0 971 (+5%) 14mo $160,000 $165 47
2855 Poplar St NW 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,048 (+13%) 8mo $211,500 $202 45
241 Page St NW 0.75mi 3/1.0 864 (-6%) 14mo $136,900 $158 43
2744 Duane Ave NW 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,028 (+11%) 15mo $180,000 $175 36
2606 Lincoln Way #51 W 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,024 (+11%) 23mo $60,999 $60 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.3%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-10,830
Equity at exit
$21,456
10-year hold
IRR
2.3%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$6,592
Equity at exit
$12,442

Cash invested: $40,292 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44647

Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,421 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$755
Tax from tax record
$111 /mo · $1,338/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$196

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,172
Max offer price $143,900
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $278 -5% $237 +0% $196 +5% $156 +10% $115
Rent -10% $84 -5% $140 +0% $196 +5% $253 +10% $309
Rate -1.0pp $269 -0.5pp $233 base $196 +0.5pp $159 +1.0pp $121

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,975
Closing costs
$4,317
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $143,900 Active 230 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $143,900 Active 229 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $143,900 Active 228 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $143,900 Active 227 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $143,900 Active 225 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $143,900 Active 224 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $143,900 Active 222 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $143,900 Active 221 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $143,900 Active 220 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $143,900 Active 219 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    statusdays on market $143,900 Pending 218 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $143,900 Active 217 DOM
  13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $143,900 Active 216 DOM
  14. 2026-05-15
    status Active 518-char remark
    Show marketing remark (518 chars)

    This affordable NW Massillon home is just what you've been waiting for! With two bedrooms on the main level along with the possibility of two more bedrooms upstairs! The unfinished basement is waiting for your creativity. You will appreciate the large, private backyard and back deck; the perfect place to relax and unwind! There is a detached garage to store your items out of the elements as well as two driveways! (One shared) With close proximity to both Tuslaw and downtown Massillon! Schedule your showing today!

  15. 2026-04-22
    status Pending 518-char remark
    Show marketing remark (518 chars)

    This affordable NW Massillon home is just what you've been waiting for! With two bedrooms on the main level along with the possibility of two more bedrooms upstairs! The unfinished basement is waiting for your creativity. You will appreciate the large, private backyard and back deck; the perfect place to relax and unwind! There is a detached garage to store your items out of the elements as well as two driveways! (One shared) With close proximity to both Tuslaw and downtown Massillon! Schedule your showing today!

  16. 2026-03-01
    price $143,900 518-char remark
    Show marketing remark (518 chars)

    This affordable NW Massillon home is just what you've been waiting for! With two bedrooms on the main level along with the possibility of two more bedrooms upstairs! The unfinished basement is waiting for your creativity. You will appreciate the large, private backyard and back deck; the perfect place to relax and unwind! There is a detached garage to store your items out of the elements as well as two driveways! (One shared) With close proximity to both Tuslaw and downtown Massillon! Schedule your showing today!

  17. 2025-10-03
    listed $144,900 Active 518-char remark
    Show marketing remark (518 chars)

    This affordable NW Massillon home is just what you've been waiting for! With two bedrooms on the main level along with the possibility of two more bedrooms upstairs! The unfinished basement is waiting for your creativity. You will appreciate the large, private backyard and back deck; the perfect place to relax and unwind! There is a detached garage to store your items out of the elements as well as two driveways! (One shared) With close proximity to both Tuslaw and downtown Massillon! Schedule your showing today!

  18. 2023-07-13
    soldstatus $130,000 Closed 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    This affordable NW Massillon home is just what you've been waiting for! With two bedrooms on the main level along with the possibility of two more bedrooms upstairs! The unfinished basement is waiting for your creativity. You will appreciate the large, private backyard and back deck; the perfect place to relax and unwind! There is a detached garage to store your items out of the elements. With close proximity to both Tuslaw and downtown Massillon! Schedule your showing today as this will not last!

  19. 2023-07-13
    soldstatus $130,000
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    This affordable NW Massillon home is just what you've been waiting for! With two bedrooms on the main level along with the possibility of two more bedrooms upstairs! The unfinished basement is waiting for your creativity. You will appreciate the large, private backyard and back deck; the perfect place to relax and unwind! There is a detached garage to store your items out of the elements. With close proximity to both Tuslaw and downtown Massillon! Schedule your showing today as this will not last!

  20. 2023-06-16
    status Pending 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    This affordable NW Massillon home is just what you've been waiting for! With two bedrooms on the main level along with the possibility of two more bedrooms upstairs! The unfinished basement is waiting for your creativity. You will appreciate the large, private backyard and back deck; the perfect place to relax and unwind! There is a detached garage to store your items out of the elements. With close proximity to both Tuslaw and downtown Massillon! Schedule your showing today as this will not last!

  21. 2023-06-13
    listed $118,000 Active 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    This affordable NW Massillon home is just what you've been waiting for! With two bedrooms on the main level along with the possibility of two more bedrooms upstairs! The unfinished basement is waiting for your creativity. You will appreciate the large, private backyard and back deck; the perfect place to relax and unwind! There is a detached garage to store your items out of the elements. With close proximity to both Tuslaw and downtown Massillon! Schedule your showing today as this will not last!

  22. 2016-03-11
    soldstatus $69,000
  23. 2016-03-10
    soldstatus $65,000 Sold
  24. 2016-02-01
    status Pending
  25. 2015-10-14
    listed $72,500 Active
  26. 2015-10-07
    historical
  27. 2015-04-03
    listed $77,500 Active
  28. 2009-08-29
    historical
  29. 2009-05-29
    listed $82,000
  30. 2001-05-14
    soldstatus $72,000
  31. 2001-03-05
    listed $67,000
  32. 1995-08-22
    soldstatus $51,000
  33. 1990-10-09
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,338 · $111/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,791 · $149/mo
Expected delta
+$454/yr (+$38/mo · 33.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,050
− Mortgage interest
−$8,061
− Property taxes
−$1,338
− Insurance
−$720
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,364
− Management
−$1,364
− Depreciation
−$4,186
Taxable income
$18
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4
After-tax cash flow
$2,352/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Massillon City
NCES district ID
3904435
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$38,094
Composite
39.54/100
National rank
#3941
State rank
#487 of 656 in OH

Livability — Massillon

Score
74/100
State rank
#306
US rank
#4928

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Massillon, OH
County
Stark County · 272,865 people
City population
65,858
Metro
Canton-Massillon, OH
Population (ZIP)
18,117
Household income
$67,140
Rent vs Own
19.4% rent · 80.6% own
Severe rent burden
231.0

Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
373,708 people
By 2030
371,245 · -0.7%
By 2040
361,331 · -3.3%
By 2050
345,290 · -7.6%
By 2075
302,669 · -19.0%
By 2100
238,870 · -36.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stark

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.9) · D 38.6% · R 60.5%
2008→2024 swing
-27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -21.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.9 2020: R+18.5 2016: R+17.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -163.61%
Current HPI
207.6115
Rent YoY
Metro
Canton-Massillon, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+619.5% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-22 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-03-01 Price Changed $143,900 MLSNOW
  • 2025-10-03 Listed $144,900 MLSNOW
  • 2023-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2023-07-13 Sold (MLS) $130,000 MLSNOW
  • 2023-06-16 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2023-06-13 Listed $118,000 MLSNOW
  • 2016-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
  • 2016-03-10 Sold (MLS) $65,000 MLSNOW
  • 2016-02-01 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2015-10-14 Listed $72,500 MLSNOW
  • 2015-10-07 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2015-04-03 Listed $77,500 MLSNOW
  • 2009-08-29 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2009-05-29 Listed $82,000 MLSNOW
  • 2001-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
  • 2001-03-05 Listed $67,000 MLSNOW
  • 1995-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
  • 1990-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,338 · -3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…