103 Lamar Aly · Sulphur Springs, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Unleash your inner property wizard on this diamond in the rough! This tear-down beauty is the Rocky Balboa of real estate, bruised but not beaten. Nestled in a thriving Northeastern hotspot with city utilities, it's your chance to ride the wave of growth. Don't snooze or you'll regret it – future you will be sipping a latte, reminiscing about the steal of the century that slipped through your fingers! pending,over asking, multiple offers.
Key facts
- 3,006 sq ft lot
- Built 1983
- Listed 7 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, USDA Loan, VA Loan; Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage indicated
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: No covered parking; No carport
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; No municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One level; Attached
- Construction: Wood construction; Built in 1983; Preowned
- Exterior features: Lot less than 0.5 acre; Lot will subdivide
Interior
- Kitchen: Disposal
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on level 1)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Interior features: Cable TV available; One living area; One dining area; Disposal
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $438 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.3% in Sulphur Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#350 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, schools D, amenities F.
- Sulphur Springs ISD (town): math 46% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #323 of 826 in TX (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 378 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 66 units permitted in Hopkins County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hopkins County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.12%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $189,216
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 618 Putman St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (+4%) | 15mo | $230,000 | $170 | 71 |
| 210 Calvert St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,473 (+14%) | 2mo | $195,500 | $133 | 68 |
| 417 Putman St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,488 (+15%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $87 | 65 |
| 426 & 430 Cranford St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,288 (-1%) | 8mo | $115,000 | $89 | 62 |
| 212 Beckham St W | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,461 (+13%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $168 | 61 |
| 816 Jefferson St E | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,244 (-4%) | 11mo | $234,900 | $189 | 60 |
| 709 Jefferson St E | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (-11%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $56 | 59 |
| 903 College St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,190 (-8%) | 10mo | $89,000 | $75 | 56 |
| 809 Jefferson St E | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+8%) | 10mo | $225,000 | $161 | 54 |
| 110 Mitchell St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-7%) | 12mo | $40,000 | $33 | 53 |
| 303 Ardis St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,472 (+14%) | 12mo | $215,000 | $146 | 46 |
| 466 Cypress | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,473 (+14%) | 8mo | $249,174 | $169 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $2,812
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $38,460
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75482
- Active inventory
- 378
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,889 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$176 /mo · $2,117/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$397
- Net cashflow
- $438
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $526 | -5% $482 | +0% $438 | +5% $394 | +10% $350 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $289 | -5% $364 | +0% $438 | +5% $513 | +10% $587 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $516 | -0.5pp $478 | base $438 | +0.5pp $398 | +1.0pp $357 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 709 Fuller St Sulphur Springs, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 604 W A St Sulphur Springs, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,500 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1045 Jackson St N Sulphur Springs, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 325 League St S Sulphur Springs, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1112 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $155,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $155,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-12$155,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,117 · $176/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,836 · $236/mo
- Expected delta
- +$720/yr (+$60/mo · 34.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,664
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$2,117
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,813
- − Management
- −$1,813
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $2,954
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$709
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,550/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sulphur Springs ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4841820
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,871
- Composite
- 36.33/100
- National rank
- #4692
- State rank
- #323 of 826 in TX
Livability — Sulphur Springs
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #350
- US rank
- #7665
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sulphur Springs, TX
- County
- Hopkins County · 26,483 people
- City population
- 26,483
- Metro
- Sulphur Springs, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,483
- Household income
- $69,970
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 543.0
Population outlook (Hopkins County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,107 people
- By 2030
- 38,867 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 40,009 · +5.0%
- By 2050
- 40,448 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 40,669 · +6.7%
- By 2100
- 37,234 · -2.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 14% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hopkins
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.6) · D 17.4% · R 82.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -44.7pp · 2024: -64.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.6 2020: R+60.7 2016: R+60.8 2012: R+55.4 2008: R+44.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.79%
- Current HPI
- 156.0526
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Sulphur Springs, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+1450.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $155,000 NTREIS
- 2024-01-05 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2023-11-20 Pending — NTREIS
- 2023-11-10 Listed $10,000 NTREIS
- 2005-02-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+9.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,117 · +59.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…