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103 Lamar Aly
B Composite 70.8
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

103 Lamar Aly · Sulphur Springs, TX 75482
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,296 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1983 3,006 sqft lot Est $189k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Unleash your inner property wizard on this diamond in the rough! This tear-down beauty is the Rocky Balboa of real estate, bruised but not beaten. Nestled in a thriving Northeastern hotspot with city utilities, it's your chance to ride the wave of growth. Don't snooze or you'll regret it – future you will be sipping a latte, reminiscing about the steal of the century that slipped through your fingers! pending,over asking, multiple offers.

Key facts

  • 3,006 sq ft lot
  • Built 1983
  • Listed 7 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, USDA Loan, VA Loan; Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage indicated
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: No covered parking; No carport
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; No municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One level; Attached
  • Construction: Wood construction; Built in 1983; Preowned
  • Exterior features: Lot less than 0.5 acre; Lot will subdivide

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on level 1)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Interior features: Cable TV available; One living area; One dining area; Disposal

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $438 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.3% in Sulphur Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#350 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Sulphur Springs ISD (town): math 46% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #323 of 826 in TX (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 378 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 66 units permitted in Hopkins County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hopkins County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $155,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.69%
Cash-on-cash
12.12%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$189,216
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
618 Putman St 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,350 (+4%) 15mo $230,000 $170 71
210 Calvert St 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,473 (+14%) 2mo $195,500 $133 68
417 Putman St 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,488 (+15%) 1mo $130,000 $87 65
426 & 430 Cranford St 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,288 (-1%) 8mo $115,000 $89 62
212 Beckham St W 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,461 (+13%) 1mo $245,000 $168 61
816 Jefferson St E 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,244 (-4%) 11mo $234,900 $189 60
709 Jefferson St E 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,152 (-11%) 3mo $65,000 $56 59
903 College St 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,190 (-8%) 10mo $89,000 $75 56
809 Jefferson St E 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+8%) 10mo $225,000 $161 54
110 Mitchell St 0.36mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (-7%) 12mo $40,000 $33 53
303 Ardis St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,472 (+14%) 12mo $215,000 $146 46
466 Cypress 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,473 (+14%) 8mo $249,174 $169 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.7%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$2,812
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
11.3%
Equity multiple
1.89×
Total profit
$38,460
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75482

Active inventory
378
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,889 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$176 /mo · $2,117/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$397
Net cashflow
$438

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,334
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $526 -5% $482 +0% $438 +5% $394 +10% $350
Rent -10% $289 -5% $364 +0% $438 +5% $513 +10% $587
Rate -1.0pp $516 -0.5pp $478 base $438 +0.5pp $398 +1.0pp $357

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
709 Fuller St Sulphur Springs, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 44d 1 0.29mi
604 W A St Sulphur Springs, TX 3.0 2.0 1216 $1,500 $1.23 44d 1 0.36mi
1045 Jackson St N Sulphur Springs, TX 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,750 $1.52 44d 1 1.20mi
325 League St S Sulphur Springs, TX 3.0 1.0 1112 $2,000 $1.80 44d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $155,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $155,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $155,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $155,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $155,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $155,000 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    listed $155,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,117 · $176/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,836 · $236/mo
Expected delta
+$720/yr (+$60/mo · 34.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,664
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$2,117
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,813
− Management
−$1,813
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable income
$2,954
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$709
After-tax cash flow
$4,550/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sulphur Springs ISD
NCES district ID
4841820
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,871
Composite
36.33/100
National rank
#4692
State rank
#323 of 826 in TX

Livability — Sulphur Springs

Score
70/100
State rank
#350
US rank
#7665

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sulphur Springs, TX
County
Hopkins County · 26,483 people
City population
26,483
Metro
Sulphur Springs, TX
Population (ZIP)
26,483
Household income
$69,970
Rent vs Own
33.5% rent · 66.5% own
Severe rent burden
543.0

Population outlook (Hopkins County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,107 people
By 2030
38,867 · +2.0%
By 2040
40,009 · +5.0%
By 2050
40,448 · +6.1%
By 2075
40,669 · +6.7%
By 2100
37,234 · -2.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 14% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hopkins

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.6) · D 17.4% · R 82.0%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -44.7pp · 2024: -64.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.6 2020: R+60.7 2016: R+60.8 2012: R+55.4 2008: R+44.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.79%
Current HPI
156.0526
Rent YoY
Metro
Sulphur Springs, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1450.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $155,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-01-05 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2023-11-20 Pending NTREIS
  • 2023-11-10 Listed $10,000 NTREIS
  • 2005-02-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+9.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,117 · +59.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…