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4331 N Michigan Ave
B Composite 74.67
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

4331 N Michigan Ave · Zilwaukee, MI 48604
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 920 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1932 0.45 ac lot Est $119k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Here's your chance at owning a home or income opportunity at an amazing price! This 2 bed 1 bath home has many newer upgrades including flooring in the work areas of the home (2025), front door (2025) and more. There's a 9 x 4 walk-in pantry off the kitchen for convenience. Separate laundry area. Room to entertain with your backyard deck (2019). There's plenty of space to play or garden with your almost 300 ft lot! Storage space in the detached 2 car garage. All appliances stay. BATVAI

Key facts

  • Backyard deck
  • Walk-in pantry
  • Detached garage

Tags

WALK-IN PANTRYBACKYARD DECKDETACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Deck; Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.45 acres (66 x 297)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free‑standing electric range; Free‑standing refrigerator; Portable dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Electric water heater; Portable dishwasher; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $433 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#138 in MI, #3,375 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Carrollton Public Schools (suburban): math 9% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #485 of 540 in MI (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
12.79%
Cash-on-cash
23.20%
DSCR
2.03
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$118,680
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1580 Bel Air St 0.16mi 3/1.0 (+1) 952 (+4%) 11mo $141,000 $148 73
3365 Bobendick St 0.17mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,025 (+11%) 5mo $123,000 $120 64
3805 Ventura Dr 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 950 (+3%) 2mo $166,000 $175 60
4994 N Michigan Ave 0.65mi 2/1.5 936 (+2%) 7mo $121,000 $129 59
4520 Alura Pl 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 988 (+7%) 17mo $94,000 $95 56
3030 Carla Dr 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (-6%) 5mo $115,000 $133 52
895 Schust Rd 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 868 (-6%) 3mo $77,000 $89 50
3782 Church St 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (+10%) 7mo $75,000 $74 48
1325 Savoy Dr 0.51mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,050 (+14%) 14mo $135,000 $129 36
3754 Ventura Dr 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 988 (+7%) 22mo $135,000 $137 33
736 Caravelle Dr 0.47mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,040 (+13%) 22mo $139,900 $135 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$14,577
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
24.8%
Equity multiple
3.15×
Total profit
$48,052
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48604

Home prices YoY
-24.6%
Active inventory
70
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,150 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$24 /mo · $283/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$433

Break-even live

Break-even rent $602
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4070 Green Isle Way Saginaw, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 950 $1,150 $1.21 43d 15 0.91mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $79,900 Pending 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,900 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,900 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    remarks 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Here's your chance at owning a home or income opportunity at an amazing price! This 2 bed 1 bath home has many newer upgrades including flooring in the work areas of the home (2025), front door (2025) and more. There's a 9 x 4 walk-in pantry off the kitchen for convenience. Separate laundry area. Room to entertain with your backyard deck (2019). There's plenty of space to play or garden with your almost 300 ft lot! Storage space in the detached 2 car garage. All appliances stay. BATVAI

  8. 2026-05-31
    listed $79,900 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Here's your chance at owning a home or income opportunity at an amazing price! This 2 bed 1 bath home has many newer upgrades including flooring in the work areas of the home (2025), front door (2025) and more. There's a 9 x 4 walk-in pantry off the kitchen for convenience. Separate laundry area. Room to entertain with your backyard deck (2019). There's plenty of space to play or garden with your almost 300 ft lot! Storage space in the detached 2 car garage. All appliances stay. BATVAI

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$283 · $24/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$757 · $63/mo
Expected delta
+$474/yr (+$39/mo · 167.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,800
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$283
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,104
− Management
−$1,104
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$4,109
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$986
After-tax cash flow
$4,205/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carrollton Public Schools
NCES district ID
2608070
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$39,147
Composite
14.74/100
National rank
#9395
State rank
#485 of 540 in MI

Livability — Zilwaukee

Score
76/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#3375

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
11,284

Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
180,568 people
By 2030
172,302 · -4.6%
By 2040
153,919 · -14.8%
By 2050
135,519 · -24.9%
By 2075
97,199 · -46.2%
By 2100
65,037 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Lithuanian 6% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.55%
Current HPI
210.5278
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-31 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-31 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-13.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $283 · -85.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…