703 Palmer Ave · Patton, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$73,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming three-bedroom, two-bath home on a quiet street in Patton, featuring a cozy porch, two-car garage, and a small yard backyard. The home includes a range, microwave, dishwasher and refrigerator. While it needs a little work, it's a perfect fixer-upper canvas. Plus, there's a bonus attic room that could serve as a fourth bedroom or a home office.
Key facts
- Bonus attic room
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $73k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $479 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $73k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#977 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Cambria Heights SD (rural): math 27% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #280 of 539 in PA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-0.7%/yr); year-one equity from $505 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $505 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.14%
- DSCR
- 2.25
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.69% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $26,055
- Equity at exit
- $18,707
- IRR
- 31.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.38×
- Total profit
- $69,035
- Equity at exit
- $20,585
Cash invested: $20,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16668
- Home prices YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,221 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$383
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $867/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $479
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $521 | -5% $500 | +0% $479 | +5% $459 | +10% $438 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $383 | -5% $431 | +0% $479 | +5% $528 | +10% $576 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $516 | -0.5pp $498 | base $479 | +0.5pp $460 | +1.0pp $441 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,250
- Closing costs
- $2,190
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $73,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $73,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $73,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $73,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $73,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $73,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $73,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $73,000 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $73,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $73,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $73,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $73,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $73,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $73,000 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Charming three-bedroom, two-bath home on a quiet street in Patton, featuring a cozy porch, two-car garage, and a small yard backyard. The home includes a range, microwave, dishwasher and refrigerator. While it needs a little work, it's a perfect fixer-upper canvas. Plus, there's a bonus attic room that could serve as a fourth bedroom or a home office.
-
2026-05-04price $83,000 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Charming three-bedroom, two-bath home on a quiet street in Patton, featuring a cozy porch, two-car garage, and a small yard backyard. The home includes a range, microwave, dishwasher and refrigerator. While it needs a little work, it's a perfect fixer-upper canvas. Plus, there's a bonus attic room that could serve as a fourth bedroom or a home office.
-
2026-03-31price $85,000 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Charming three-bedroom, two-bath home on a quiet street in Patton, featuring a cozy porch, two-car garage, and a small yard backyard. The home includes a range, microwave, dishwasher and refrigerator. While it needs a little work, it's a perfect fixer-upper canvas. Plus, there's a bonus attic room that could serve as a fourth bedroom or a home office.
-
2026-01-23$95,000 Active 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Charming three-bedroom, two-bath home on a quiet street in Patton, featuring a cozy porch, two-car garage, and a small yard backyard. The home includes a range, microwave, dishwasher and refrigerator. While it needs a little work, it's a perfect fixer-upper canvas. Plus, there's a bonus attic room that could serve as a fourth bedroom or a home office.
-
2007-11-13soldstatus $69,900
-
2007-04-24soldstatus $21,500 81-char remark
Show marketing remark (81 chars)
3 BEDROOM 1.5 BATH WITH 2 CAR GARAGE, DO A LITTLE T. L. C. AND HAVE A NICE HOUSE.
-
2007-01-18$22,250 81-char remark
Show marketing remark (81 chars)
3 BEDROOM 1.5 BATH WITH 2 CAR GARAGE, DO A LITTLE T. L. C. AND HAVE A NICE HOUSE.
-
2004-03-15soldstatus $42,000
-
1993-04-01soldstatus $23,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $867 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,010 · $84/mo
- Expected delta
- +$143/yr (+$12/mo · 16.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,654
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,089
- − Property taxes
- −$867
- − Insurance
- −$365
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,172
- − Management
- −$1,172
- − Depreciation
- −$2,124
- Taxable income
- $4,865
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,168
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,584/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cambria Heights SD
- NCES district ID
- 4204740
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,855
- Composite
- 38.0/100
- National rank
- #4291
- State rank
- #280 of 539 in PA
Livability — Patton
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #977
- US rank
- #10697
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Patton, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,620
Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,754 people
- By 2030
- 115,827 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 101,309 · -17.5%
- By 2050
- 88,379 · -28.0%
- By 2075
- 65,237 · -46.9%
- By 2100
- 46,909 · -61.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cambria
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.69%
- Current HPI
- 80.4155
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+217.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $73,000 AHARMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $83,000 AHARMLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $85,000 AHARMLS
- 2026-01-23 Listed $95,000 AHARMLS
- 2007-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
- 2007-04-24 Sold (MLS) $21,500 AHARMLS
- 2007-01-18 Listed $22,250 AHARMLS
- 2004-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
- 1993-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2026): $867 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…