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703 Palmer Ave
B Composite 74.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$73,000

703 Palmer Ave · Patton, PA 16668
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · SingleFamily · 146 Days on market
Built 1920 4,356 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming three-bedroom, two-bath home on a quiet street in Patton, featuring a cozy porch, two-car garage, and a small yard backyard. The home includes a range, microwave, dishwasher and refrigerator. While it needs a little work, it's a perfect fixer-upper canvas. Plus, there's a bonus attic room that could serve as a fourth bedroom or a home office.

Key facts

  • Bonus attic room
  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

BONUS ATTIC ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $73k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $479 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $73k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#977 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Cambria Heights SD (rural): math 27% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #280 of 539 in PA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-0.7%/yr); year-one equity from $505 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $505 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $64,240 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.67%
Cap rate
14.17%
Cash-on-cash
28.14%
DSCR
2.25
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.69% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.2%
Equity multiple
2.27×
Total profit
$26,055
Equity at exit
$18,707
10-year hold
IRR
31.8%
Equity multiple
4.38×
Total profit
$69,035
Equity at exit
$20,585

Cash invested: $20,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16668

Home prices YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,221 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$383
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $867/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$479

Break-even live

Break-even rent $615
Max offer price $73,000
Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $521 -5% $500 +0% $479 +5% $459 +10% $438
Rent -10% $383 -5% $431 +0% $479 +5% $528 +10% $576
Rate -1.0pp $516 -0.5pp $498 base $479 +0.5pp $460 +1.0pp $441

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,250
Closing costs
$2,190
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $73,000 Active 146 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $73,000 Active 145 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $73,000 Active 144 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $73,000 Active 143 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $73,000 Active 141 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $73,000 Active 140 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $73,000 Active 137 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $73,000 Active 136 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $73,000 Active 135 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $73,000 Active 131 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $73,000 Active 130 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $73,000 Active 129 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $73,000 Active 128 DOM
  14. 2026-05-18
    price $73,000 353-char remark
    Show marketing remark (353 chars)

    Charming three-bedroom, two-bath home on a quiet street in Patton, featuring a cozy porch, two-car garage, and a small yard backyard. The home includes a range, microwave, dishwasher and refrigerator. While it needs a little work, it's a perfect fixer-upper canvas. Plus, there's a bonus attic room that could serve as a fourth bedroom or a home office.

  15. 2026-05-04
    price $83,000 353-char remark
    Show marketing remark (353 chars)

    Charming three-bedroom, two-bath home on a quiet street in Patton, featuring a cozy porch, two-car garage, and a small yard backyard. The home includes a range, microwave, dishwasher and refrigerator. While it needs a little work, it's a perfect fixer-upper canvas. Plus, there's a bonus attic room that could serve as a fourth bedroom or a home office.

  16. 2026-03-31
    price $85,000 353-char remark
    Show marketing remark (353 chars)

    Charming three-bedroom, two-bath home on a quiet street in Patton, featuring a cozy porch, two-car garage, and a small yard backyard. The home includes a range, microwave, dishwasher and refrigerator. While it needs a little work, it's a perfect fixer-upper canvas. Plus, there's a bonus attic room that could serve as a fourth bedroom or a home office.

  17. 2026-01-23
    listed $95,000 Active 353-char remark
    Show marketing remark (353 chars)

    Charming three-bedroom, two-bath home on a quiet street in Patton, featuring a cozy porch, two-car garage, and a small yard backyard. The home includes a range, microwave, dishwasher and refrigerator. While it needs a little work, it's a perfect fixer-upper canvas. Plus, there's a bonus attic room that could serve as a fourth bedroom or a home office.

  18. 2007-11-13
    soldstatus $69,900
  19. 2007-04-24
    soldstatus $21,500 81-char remark
    Show marketing remark (81 chars)

    3 BEDROOM 1.5 BATH WITH 2 CAR GARAGE, DO A LITTLE T. L. C. AND HAVE A NICE HOUSE.

  20. 2007-01-18
    listed $22,250 81-char remark
    Show marketing remark (81 chars)

    3 BEDROOM 1.5 BATH WITH 2 CAR GARAGE, DO A LITTLE T. L. C. AND HAVE A NICE HOUSE.

  21. 2004-03-15
    soldstatus $42,000
  22. 1993-04-01
    soldstatus $23,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$867 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,010 · $84/mo
Expected delta
+$143/yr (+$12/mo · 16.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,654
− Mortgage interest
−$4,089
− Property taxes
−$867
− Insurance
−$365
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,172
− Management
−$1,172
− Depreciation
−$2,124
Taxable income
$4,865
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,168
After-tax cash flow
$4,584/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cambria Heights SD
NCES district ID
4204740
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$44,855
Composite
38.0/100
National rank
#4291
State rank
#280 of 539 in PA

Livability — Patton

Score
67/100
State rank
#977
US rank
#10697

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Patton, PA
Population (ZIP)
3,620

Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,754 people
By 2030
115,827 · -5.6%
By 2040
101,309 · -17.5%
By 2050
88,379 · -28.0%
By 2075
65,237 · -46.9%
By 2100
46,909 · -61.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cambria

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.69%
Current HPI
80.4155
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+217.4% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $73,000 AHARMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $83,000 AHARMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $85,000 AHARMLS
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $95,000 AHARMLS
  • 2007-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
  • 2007-04-24 Sold (MLS) $21,500 AHARMLS
  • 2007-01-18 Listed $22,250 AHARMLS
  • 2004-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
  • 1993-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $867 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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