1362 Viola Ct · The Villages, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +6.5/30.0
- ARV discount +5.6/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- DSCR +0.8/10.0
$294,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
FABULOUS, TURNKEY 2/2 Colony Villa featuring a PRIVATE, ENCLOSED LANAI and a 22’ x 20’ EXPANSIVE FRONT PATIO, perfectly positioned on a LARGE CORNER LOT! IDEALLY LOCATED just minutes from Brownwood Paddock Square with live nightly entertainment and all the conveniences of County Road 466A—nestled in Leyton Villas in the highly sought-after Village of Dunedin! MOVE-IN READY—sheets, dishes, silverware, televisions, toaster, and more are INCLUDED! The HVAC system (Dec. 2025) features a “smart” thermostat you can control from your phone anywhere. It also comes with a transferable 10-year parts and labor warranty with Sun Kool Air Conditioning & Heating
Key facts
- Large corner lot
- 4,835 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area about 1,156 sq ft (building area total 1,692 sq ft); Lot about 0.11 acres; Vegetation: trees/landscaped
- HOA & community: Turnkey (furnished); Community features include pool, tennis courts, pickleball, playground, dog park, sidewalks, trails, racquetball, shuffleboard, golf and community mailbox; Community has deed restrictions and special community restrictions; Golf carts allowed; Vehicle restrictions apply; Senior community; Pets allowed; Association amenities cover pool and recreational facilities; Total monthly association fees approximately $204 (about $2,448 annually); CDD present; Lease restrictions apply
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car) with garage door opener; Driveway; Golf cart parking; Ground level garage; Garage dimensions approximately 18 x 22
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected
- Home design: Residential villa; One level; Faces northwest
- Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as model COLONY
- Exterior features: Enclosed patio; Patio; Side porch; Sliding doors; Corner lot; Landscaped yard; Near golf course; Private lot; Paved surfaces
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen layout
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Living room/dining room combo; Open floor plan; Thermostat; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $295k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-498 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (29.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $216k (26.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $207k (29.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#431 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Wildwood Elementary School (math 49% / reading 52%, grade D+, #1,055 of 2,144 statewide, top 50%, 940 students, 76% FRL); South Sumter Middle School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 897 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 51% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 269 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.23%
- DSCR
- 0.68
- GRM
- 11.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $283,220
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1387 Zest Ave | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,156 (0%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $225 | 94 |
| 1381 Zest Ave | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,156 (0%) | 6mo | $246,000 | $213 | 90 |
| 1253 Zydeco Ct | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-0%) | 3mo | $320,000 | $278 | 88 |
| 1406 Zest Ave | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,156 (0%) | 12mo | $270,000 | $234 | 83 |
| 1398 Bokeelia Pl | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 1,156 (0%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $199 | 76 |
| 1486 Olympia St | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,163 (+1%) | 12mo | $319,900 | $275 | 70 |
| 1169 Calgary St | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,220 (+6%) | 5mo | $330,000 | $270 | 70 |
| 3710 Fir St | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,275 (+10%) | 15mo | $312,000 | $245 | 67 |
| 3358 Castlegate Ct | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 | 1,188 (+3%) | 6mo | $268,000 | $226 | 66 |
| 3568 Yucca Ct | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,161 (+0%) | 6mo | $285,000 | $245 | 65 |
| 3347 Empire Ave | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 | 1,156 (0%) | 13mo | $298,000 | $258 | 64 |
| 957 Wren St | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 1,161 (+0%) | 16mo | $322,000 | $277 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $129,039
- Equity at exit
- $265,669
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.91×
- Total profit
- $405,202
- Equity at exit
- $572,926
Cash invested: $82,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32163
- Home prices YoY
- 9.8%
- Active inventory
- 269
- Price-to-rent
- 11.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,161 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,546
- Tax from tax record
- −$332 /mo · $3,980/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA
- −$204
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$454
- Net cashflow
- $-498
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-331 | -5% $-414 | +0% $-498 | +5% $-581 | +10% $-665 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-669 | -5% $-583 | +0% $-498 | +5% $-412 | +10% $-327 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-349 | -0.5pp $-423 | base $-498 | +0.5pp $-574 | +1.0pp $-652 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,725
- Closing costs
- $8,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 964 Wren St The Villages, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1161 | $2,200 | $1.89 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $204 · $2,448/yr
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-22pricedays on market $294,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $299,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $299,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $299,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $299,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $299,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-04$299,900 Active
-
2025-03-21historical $2,350
-
2025-02-20$2,350
-
2024-11-21soldstatus $292,500
-
2023-03-27soldstatus $280,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,980 · $332/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,980 · $332/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,932
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,519
- − Property taxes
- −$3,980
- − Insurance
- −$1,474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,075
- − Management
- −$2,075
- − HOA
- −$2,448
- − Depreciation
- −$8,579
- Taxable loss
- −$11,217
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,692
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,282/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sumter
- NCES district ID
- 1201800
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,240
- Composite
- 51.74/100
- National rank
- #1682
- State rank
- #11 of 73 in FL
Livability — The Villages
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #431
- US rank
- #7363
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- The Villages, FL
- County
- Sumter County · 110,591 people
- City population
- 83,973
- Metro
- The Villages, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,549
- Household income
- $96,775
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 307.0
Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 161,172 people
- By 2030
- 180,083 · +11.7%
- By 2040
- 209,892 · +30.2%
- By 2050
- 234,186 · +45.3%
- By 2075
- 284,602 · +76.6%
- By 2100
- 317,039 · +96.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Sumter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.47%
- Current HPI
- 229.0075
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- The Villages, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+7.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed $299,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-21 Rental Removed $2,350 Avail
- 2025-02-20 Listed for Rent $2,350 Avail
- 2024-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $292,500 Public Records
- 2023-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $280,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,980 · +75.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…