411 Josephine Ave · Columbus, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2 Story home and detached 1.5 car garage has newer siding and windows. Extra wide and long driveway. Garage has plenty of storage area, new door and attached covered patio area. Large back yard with mature trees. Kitchen has built in corner cabinet & newer flooring. Being sold as is where is. Seller cannot make any repairs.
Key facts
- Extra wide driveway
- Large back yard
- Detached car garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Built in 1919; No shared/common walls
- Construction: Block foundation; Built in 1919
- Exterior features: Patio; Block foundation; Lot about 0.27 acre
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Insulated windows; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.8% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#97 in OH, #1,491 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Columbus City School District (urban): math 15% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #626 of 656 in OH (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 8,139 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (5,940 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $135k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.26%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $215,430
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 281 Demorest Rd | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,254 (-3%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $199 | 82 |
| 145 Demorest Rd | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,228 (-5%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $130 | 71 |
| 312 S Brinker Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (+4%) | 0mo | $224,675 | $167 | 66 |
| 328 S Sylvan Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,190 (-8%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $210 | 66 |
| 66 Demorest Rd | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,352 (+5%) | 0mo | $207,000 | $153 | 65 |
| 758 Demorest Rd | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,332 (+3%) | 2mo | $211,000 | $158 | 60 |
| 170 S Algonquin Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,352 (+5%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $192 | 58 |
| 188 S Southampton Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,452 (+13%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $155 | 54 |
| 162 S Southampton Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,454 (+13%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $117 | 52 |
| 570 S Westgate Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,408 (+9%) | 2mo | $216,000 | $153 | 50 |
| 181 S Westgate Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,169 (-9%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $214 | 50 |
| 241 S Brinker Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,140 (-12%) | 0mo | $250,000 | $219 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.49% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-9,111
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $14,964
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43204
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 187
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,424 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$196 /mo · $2,353/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $166
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 Florence Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,625 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 775 Maurine Dr Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,525 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 881 Kingsford Rd Unit A Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $900 | $1.01 | 3d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 486-488 S Huron Ave Unit 488 Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,150 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2883-2889 Wicklow Rd Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,099 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 179 N Sylvan Ave Unit 179 Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $2,000 | $1.74 | 17d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1118 Arnelle Ct Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 975 | $1,150 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 364 S Chase Ave Unit B Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $975 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1138 McCarley Dr E Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 975 | $1,150 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 41-43 N Huron Ave Unit 41 Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,400 | $1.19 | 7d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 396 S Powell Ave Unit 396 Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1022 | $925 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 322 S Powell Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 19d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 793 Wiltshire Rd Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 43 N Roys Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1332 | $1,599 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 406 1/2 S Hague Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $765 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3712 Clime Rd Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 4d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 148 S Powell Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 148 S Powell Ave Unit B Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 7d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 43 N Chase Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 10d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4312 Westport Rd Columbus, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1476 | $1,499 | $1.02 | 1d | 21 | 1.17mi |
| 43-45 N Chase Ave Unit 43 Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 10d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1241 Riegelwood Ln Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1868 | $2,480 | $1.33 | 1d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 130 N Roys Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1380 | $1,595 | $1.16 | 1d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 92 S Hague Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,400 | $0.96 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 608 Racine Ave #610 Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $1,195 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2709-2711 Sullivant Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,380 | $1.03 | 2d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2709-2711 Sullivant Ave Unit 2709 Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,380 | $1.03 | 2d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2676 Sullivant Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1524 | $1,200 | $0.79 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 427 S Ogden Ave Unit 427 Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,350 | $1.38 | 7d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 475 S Ogden Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,100 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1028 S Harris Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 80 S Warren Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1258 | $1,345 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 80 S Warren Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1258 | $1,345 | $1.07 | 3d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1369 Greenock Rd Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1680 | $2,031 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 616-618 S Ogden Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,125 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4573 Westport Rd Unit 670-201 Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 919 | $1,226 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4573 Westport Rd Unit 4567-101 Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1095 | $1,701 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4573 Westport Rd Unit 4507-107 Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1095 | $1,417 | $1.29 | 12d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4573 Westport Rd Unit 670-205 Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 919 | $1,471 | $1.60 | 12d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4573 Westport Rd Unit 690-205 Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 919 | $1,471 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-19remarks 327-char remark
-
2026-06-19$134,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,353 · $196/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,353 · $196/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,093
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$2,353
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,367
- − Management
- −$1,367
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable loss
- −$151
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$36
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,023/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbus City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3904380
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,483
- Composite
- 17.19/100
- National rank
- #9105
- State rank
- #626 of 656 in OH
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #97
- US rank
- #1491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, OH
- County
- Franklin County · 1,351,780 people
- City population
- 612,189
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,962
- Household income
- $59,266
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2290.0
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,456,139 people
- By 2030
- 1,556,890 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 1,757,349 · +20.7%
- By 2050
- 1,950,539 · +34.0%
- By 2075
- 2,376,171 · +63.2%
- By 2100
- 2,636,796 · +81.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 13% Two or more races 12% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 13% Arabic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.4) · D 63.7% · R 35.3% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.7pp toward D · 2008: 20.7pp · 2024: 28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.4 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+25.9 2012: D+21.7 2008: D+20.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -220.67%
- Current HPI
- 265.7711
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.49%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+296.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $134,900 CBRMLS
- 2019-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2019-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $46,200 Public Records
- 2011-09-06 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2010-09-09 Listed $60,000 CBRMLS
- 1984-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.2%/yrLatest (2024): $2,353 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…