1319 Dogwood Rd · Adamsville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.5/30.0
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.1/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover the charm and potential of this 1969-built home nestled in a quiet Adamsville neighborhood. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bath, this all-brick residence offers a solid foundation and a spacious 1.42-acre lot, providing plenty of room for outdoor activities, gardening, or expansion. The generous backyard includes a deck perfect for entertaining family and friends. Ideally located in a peaceful setting while remaining close to local amenities, this property is a fantastic opportunity for those seeking a tranquil lifestyle with space to call their own.
Key facts
- All brick residence
- Generous backyard
- 1.42 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property located in the Robbins subdivision
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Underground utilities; Electric water heater; Internet service available; Paved road access
- Home design: 4-side brick construction; Existing (previously built) property
- Construction: Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Open deck; Some trees on the lot; No waterfront; No pool; No patio or garden/patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Eating area; Laminate countertops; Dishwasher (built-in); Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Ceilings: Other (see remarks); No attic; No loft; No split foyer; Not a tri-level or split level
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Has laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (5.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $123k (5.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#522 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Adamsville Elementary School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #568 of 627 statewide, top 94%, 302 students, 83% FRL); Minor High School (math 4% / reading 8%, grade F, #275 of 305 statewide, top 90%, 915 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 49% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 8% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Jefferson County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.90%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $150,636
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- -13.77%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2858 Valleyview Cir | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (-4%) | 19mo | $152,400 | $144 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-11,618
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,957
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35005
- Home prices YoY
- -3.9%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,233 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,085/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$259
- Net cashflow
- $148
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1411 Bucks Dr Adamsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1392 | $1,331 | $0.96 | 10d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2856 Valleyview Cir Adamsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,050 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4985 Karen Ln Adamsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,095 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 933 Crestview Ln Adamsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,285 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5616 Cruce Rd Adamsville, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1188 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 1d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $129,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$129,900 Active 561-char remark
-
2017-01-13soldstatus $5,001,000
-
2016-04-06soldstatus $12,676,500
-
2015-06-09soldstatus $75,000
-
2009-03-25soldstatus $67,000
-
2009-03-16soldstatus $67,000
-
1999-01-08soldstatus $68,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,085 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,085 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,799
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,085
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,184
- − Management
- −$1,184
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable loss
- −$359
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$86
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,868/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Adamsville
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #522
- US rank
- #25480
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 10,982
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,143
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% White 38% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.72%
- Current HPI
- 237.5788
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+91.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $129,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2017-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $5,001,000 Public Records
- 2016-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $12,676,500 Public Records
- 2015-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2009-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 2009-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 1999-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,085 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…