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1319 Dogwood Rd
C- Composite 53.44
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.1/10.0

$129,900

1319 Dogwood Rd · Adamsville, AL 35005
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1969 1.42 ac lot $118/sqft · 14% below area Est $151k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover the charm and potential of this 1969-built home nestled in a quiet Adamsville neighborhood. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bath, this all-brick residence offers a solid foundation and a spacious 1.42-acre lot, providing plenty of room for outdoor activities, gardening, or expansion. The generous backyard includes a deck perfect for entertaining family and friends. Ideally located in a peaceful setting while remaining close to local amenities, this property is a fantastic opportunity for those seeking a tranquil lifestyle with space to call their own.

Key facts

  • All brick residence
  • Generous backyard
  • 1.42 acre lot

Tags

QUIET ADAMSVILLE NEIGHBORHOODALL BRICK RESIDENCESPACIOUS 1.42 ACRE LOTGENEROUS BACKYARDDECK FOR ENTERTAININGCLOSE TO LOCAL AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property located in the Robbins subdivision
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Underground utilities; Electric water heater; Internet service available; Paved road access
  • Home design: 4-side brick construction; Existing (previously built) property
  • Construction: Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Open deck; Some trees on the lot; No waterfront; No pool; No patio or garden/patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eating area; Laminate countertops; Dishwasher (built-in); Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Ceilings: Other (see remarks); No attic; No loft; No split foyer; Not a tri-level or split level
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Has laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (5.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (5.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#522 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Adamsville Elementary School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #568 of 627 statewide, top 94%, 302 students, 83% FRL); Minor High School (math 4% / reading 8%, grade F, #275 of 305 statewide, top 90%, 915 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 49% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 8% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Jefferson County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $123,323 (5.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.66%
Cash-on-cash
4.90%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$150,636
List price
$129,900
Delta
-13.77%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2858 Valleyview Cir 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,056 (-4%) 19mo $152,400 $144 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.7%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-11,618
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
0.8%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$1,957
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35005

Home prices YoY
-3.9%
Active inventory
59
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,233 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,085/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$259
Net cashflow
$148

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,045
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1411 Bucks Dr Adamsville, AL 3.0 1.0 1392 $1,331 $0.96 10d 1 0.21mi
2856 Valleyview Cir Adamsville, AL 3.0 1.0 962 $1,050 $1.09 44d 1 0.74mi
4985 Karen Ln Adamsville, AL 3.0 1.5 1008 $1,095 $1.09 23d 1 0.81mi
933 Crestview Ln Adamsville, AL 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,285 $0.86 44d 1 1.07mi
5616 Cruce Rd Adamsville, AL 3.0 1.0 1188 $1,200 $1.01 1d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $129,900 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,900 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,900 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,900 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-05-14
    listed $129,900 Active 561-char remark
  15. 2017-01-13
    soldstatus $5,001,000
  16. 2016-04-06
    soldstatus $12,676,500
  17. 2015-06-09
    soldstatus $75,000
  18. 2009-03-25
    soldstatus $67,000
  19. 2009-03-16
    soldstatus $67,000
  20. 1999-01-08
    soldstatus $68,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,085 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,085 · $90/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,799
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$1,085
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,184
− Management
−$1,184
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable loss
−$359
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$86
After-tax cash flow
$1,868/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Adamsville

Score
51/100
State rank
#522
US rank
#25480

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
10,982
Population (ZIP)
8,143

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (60%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 60% White 38% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -9.72%
Current HPI
237.5788
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+91.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $129,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2017-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $5,001,000 Public Records
  • 2016-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $12,676,500 Public Records
  • 2015-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2009-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
  • 2009-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
  • 1999-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,085 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…