185 Bellview St · Winder, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home needs some updating, but it has a solid layout and plenty of room to make it your own. It's a good fit for a buyer who's willing to put in a little work, and it could also be a strong option for an investor looking for their next project. The home is in a great location close to shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences, making it even more appealing for future use or rental potential. With some improvements, this property can really come to life. Don't miss out on a chance to turn this house into something special.
Key facts
- 9,583 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1940
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: One assigned parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Phone available; Underground utilities; Water available; Sewer available
- Home design: One-level home; Aluminum and vinyl siding; Composition/shingle roof
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Composition/shingle roof
- Exterior features: Exterior features listed as other; Paved road access; Road frontage described as other
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen includes appliances (details listed as other)
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Flooring described as other
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; Master bathroom with other/custom features
- Heating & cooling: Heating described as other; Cooling described as other
- Interior features: No shared/common walls; Resale condition
- Laundry & utility: Laundry features listed as other
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $667 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $172k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 3.9% in Winder — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#47 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Barrow County (rural): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #77 of 174 in GA (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Kennedy Elementary School (math 40% / reading 33%, grade F, #509 of 1,228 statewide, top 42%, 928 students, 60% FRL); Winder-Barrow High School (math 14% / reading 24%, grade F, #250 of 424 statewide, top 60%, 1,787 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 563 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,427 units permitted in Barrow County in 2024 (311 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Barrow County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $175k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.34%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $335,475
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 253 3rd Ave | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,999 (+4%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $150 | 82 |
| 256 4th Ave | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,870 (-2%) | 6mo | $305,000 | $163 | 81 |
| 136 Alexander Ct | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 | 1,816 (-5%) | 0mo | $360,000 | $198 | 61 |
| 246 W Midland Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 | 1,871 (-2%) | 11mo | $365,000 | $195 | 60 |
| 51 Alexander St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,861 (-3%) | 14mo | $314,000 | $169 | 56 |
| 311 2nd Ave | 0.37mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,020 (+5%) | 7mo | $332,000 | $164 | 55 |
| 273 Partridge Trl | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 | 2,010 (+5%) | 2mo | $322,000 | $160 | 53 |
| 154 Williamsburg Way Way | 0.73mi | 3/3.0 | 2,100 (+10%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $155 | 41 |
| 511 Greenvalley Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,736 (-9%) | 8mo | $323,000 | $186 | 40 |
| 304 Rocky Point Ct | 0.57mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,050 (+7%) | 14mo | $359,000 | $175 | 38 |
| 166 Williamsburg Way | 0.62mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,712 (-11%) | 11mo | $320,000 | $187 | 31 |
| 350 Fall View Ct | 0.65mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,713 (-11%) | 11mo | $350,000 | $204 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $12,463
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $58,781
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30680
- Home prices YoY
- -24.7%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 563
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,215 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,106/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$465
- Net cashflow
- $667
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114 W Wright St Winder, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1487 | $1,939 | $1.30 | 2d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 172 Williamsburg Way Winder, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,920 | $1.51 | 4d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 74 Martin Luther King Jr Dr Winder, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $1,350 | $1.06 | 5d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 9 Richardson St Winder, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $1,995 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 128 McNeal Rd Winder, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2482 | $2,800 | $1.13 | 22d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 128 McNeal Rd Winder, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2482 | $2,700 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 120 N Williams St Winder, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $1,900 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 125 Shenandoah Dr Winder, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1532 | $1,829 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 14 Steelwood Ct Winder, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1774 | $2,200 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 7 Steelwood Ct Winder, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1794 | $2,000 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 241 Ryan Rd Winder, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1586 | $1,786 | $1.13 | 13d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 24 Caison Dr Winder, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1794 | $3,700 | $2.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 312 Highway 211 NW Winder, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,625 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 453 Jasmine Dr Winder, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1843 | $2,246 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $175,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $185,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-22$185,000 Active
Show marketing remark (561 chars)
This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home needs some updating, but it has a solid layout and plenty of room to make it your own. It's a good fit for a buyer who's willing to put in a little work, and it could also be a strong option for an investor looking for their next project. The home is in a great location close to shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences, making it even more appealing for future use or rental potential. With some improvements, this property can really come to life. Don't miss out on a chance to turn this house into something special.
-
2026-05-22$185,000 New 561-char remark
Show marketing remark (561 chars)
This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home needs some updating, but it has a solid layout and plenty of room to make it your own. It's a good fit for a buyer who's willing to put in a little work, and it could also be a strong option for an investor looking for their next project. The home is in a great location close to shopping, dining, and everyday conveniences, making it even more appealing for future use or rental potential. With some improvements, this property can really come to life. Don't miss out on a chance to turn this house into something special.
-
2002-01-29soldstatus $75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,106 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,610 · $134/mo
- Expected delta
- +$504/yr (+$42/mo · 45.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,584
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,106
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,127
- − Management
- −$2,127
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $5,456
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,309
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,698/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Barrow County
- NCES district ID
- 1300290
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,082
- Composite
- 27.63/100
- National rank
- #6921
- State rank
- #77 of 174 in GA
Livability — Winder
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #47
- US rank
- #5120
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Winder, GA
- County
- Barrow County · 133,377 people
- City population
- 48,388
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,388
- Household income
- $80,956
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 622.0
Population outlook (Barrow County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 86,670 people
- By 2030
- 92,039 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 101,992 · +17.7%
- By 2050
- 110,075 · +27.0%
- By 2075
- 124,017 · +43.1%
- By 2100
- 127,579 · +47.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Barrow
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.5) · D 29.5% · R 70.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.1pp toward D · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -40.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.5 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+50.4 2012: R+50.5 2008: R+44.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.21%
- Current HPI
- 229.5804
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.26%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+146.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $185,000 GAMLS
- 2026-05-22 Listed $185,000 FMLS
- 2002-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,106 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…