Multi-family
300 Wells St · Johnstown, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
Room for everyone and loaded with charm, this spacious and affordable two-family home in the heart of Johnstown offers incredible flexibility and endless possibilities! Currently used as a large single-family residence, this well-maintained home features generous living spaces filled with natural light and classic character throughout. The inviting first floor boasts a bright, modern kitchen with ample cabinetry and workspace, a formal dining room perfect for gatherings and holiday meals, an oversized double living room ideal for entertaining or relaxing, and a convenient laundry/pantry room offering exceptional storage and functionality. Upstairs, you'll find 3 comfortable bedrooms along w
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Two-family home
- Laundry pantry room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Two residential units (total 2 units)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener; Off-street paved parking; 2 total parking spaces (1 garage space)
- Security: Security lights; Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Duplex; Facing unspecified
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Side porch; Deck; Enclosed porch; Landscaped yard; Corner lot; Garage(s) structure
Interior
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 1 bedroom; Unit 2: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (first level); 1 half bathroom (second level); Total: 2 bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Has heating
- Interior features: Paddle fan; Built-in features; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-185 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $182k (15.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (29.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $151k (29.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 4.0% in Johnstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#168 in NY, #2,603 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime D-, amenities D-.
- Johnstown City School District (town): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #509 of 590 in NY (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 112 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Fulton County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.70%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 11.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $114,608
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 Dove St | 0.49mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,180 (+10%) | 7mo | $127,000 | $58 | 49 |
| 4 West St | 0.51mi | 6/2.0 | 2,198 (+11%) | 10mo | $120,000 | $55 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.75×
- Total profit
- $105,242
- Equity at exit
- $193,689
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.30×
- Total profit
- $319,125
- Equity at exit
- $417,698
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12095
- Home prices YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 11.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,512 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$163 /mo · $1,955/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $-185
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-64 | -5% $-125 | +0% $-185 | +5% $-246 | +10% $-307 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-305 | -5% $-245 | +0% $-185 | +5% $-126 | +10% $-66 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-77 | -0.5pp $-131 | base $-185 | +0.5pp $-241 | +1.0pp $-298 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $215,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $215,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $215,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $215,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $215,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $215,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $215,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $215,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $215,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $215,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $215,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02status $215,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-16status Pending
-
2026-05-08$215,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,955 · $163/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,794 · $233/mo
- Expected delta
- +$839/yr (+$70/mo · 42.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,145
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$1,955
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,452
- − Management
- −$1,452
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$6,086
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,461
- After-tax cash flow
- $-765/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Johnstown City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3615980
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,999
- Composite
- 34.89/100
- National rank
- #5082
- State rank
- #509 of 590 in NY
Livability — Johnstown
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #168
- US rank
- #2603
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Johnstown, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,013
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 51,132 people
- By 2030
- 49,114 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 44,373 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 39,321 · -23.1%
- By 2075
- 28,503 · -44.3%
- By 2100
- 19,268 · -62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 6% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 32.1% · R 67.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+31.4 2016: R+35.5 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.82%
- Current HPI
- 297.365
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $215,000 Global MLS
Property tax history
+11.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,955 · +39.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…