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300 Wells St Multi-family
D Composite 42.86
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0

$215,000

300 Wells St · Johnstown, NY 12095
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,976 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1895 6,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Room for everyone and loaded with charm, this spacious and affordable two-family home in the heart of Johnstown offers incredible flexibility and endless possibilities! Currently used as a large single-family residence, this well-maintained home features generous living spaces filled with natural light and classic character throughout. The inviting first floor boasts a bright, modern kitchen with ample cabinetry and workspace, a formal dining room perfect for gatherings and holiday meals, an oversized double living room ideal for entertaining or relaxing, and a convenient laundry/pantry room offering exceptional storage and functionality. Upstairs, you'll find 3 comfortable bedrooms along w

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • Two-family home
  • Laundry pantry room

Tags

TWO-FAMILY HOMEMODERN KITCHENFORMAL DINING ROOMOVERSIZED DOUBLE LIVING ROOMLAUNDRY PANTRY ROOMADDITIONAL LIVING ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two residential units (total 2 units)

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener; Off-street paved parking; 2 total parking spaces (1 garage space)
  • Security: Security lights; Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Duplex; Facing unspecified
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Side porch; Deck; Enclosed porch; Landscaped yard; Corner lot; Garage(s) structure

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Unit 1: 1 bedroom; Unit 2: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (first level); 1 half bathroom (second level); Total: 2 bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Has heating
  • Interior features: Paddle fan; Built-in features; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-185 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $182k (15.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (29.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $151k (29.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 4.0% in Johnstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#168 in NY, #2,603 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime D-, amenities D-.
  • Johnstown City School District (town): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #509 of 590 in NY (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 112 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Fulton County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $151,212 (29.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.26%
Cash-on-cash
-3.70%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$114,608
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
106 Dove St 0.49mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,180 (+10%) 7mo $127,000 $58 49
4 West St 0.51mi 6/2.0 2,198 (+11%) 10mo $120,000 $55 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.6%
Equity multiple
2.75×
Total profit
$105,242
Equity at exit
$193,689
10-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
6.30×
Total profit
$319,125
Equity at exit
$417,698

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12095

Home prices YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
82
Price-to-rent
11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,512 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$163 /mo · $1,955/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$318
Net cashflow
$-185

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,747
Max offer price $182,243
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-64 -5% $-125 +0% $-185 +5% $-246 +10% $-307
Rent -10% $-305 -5% $-245 +0% $-185 +5% $-126 +10% $-66
Rate -1.0pp $-77 -0.5pp $-131 base $-185 +0.5pp $-241 +1.0pp $-298

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $215,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $215,000 Active 24 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $215,000 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $215,000 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $215,000 Active 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $215,000 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $215,000 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $215,000 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $215,000 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $215,000 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $215,000 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $215,000 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    status $215,000 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-05-16
    status Pending
  15. 2026-05-08
    listed $215,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,955 · $163/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,794 · $233/mo
Expected delta
+$839/yr (+$70/mo · 42.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,145
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$1,955
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,452
− Management
−$1,452
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$6,086
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,461
After-tax cash flow
$-765/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Johnstown City School District
NCES district ID
3615980
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$45,999
Composite
34.89/100
National rank
#5082
State rank
#509 of 590 in NY

Livability — Johnstown

Score
78/100
State rank
#168
US rank
#2603

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute B Cost of living A Crime D- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Johnstown, NY
Population (ZIP)
12,013

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
51,132 people
By 2030
49,114 · -3.9%
By 2040
44,373 · -13.2%
By 2050
39,321 · -23.1%
By 2075
28,503 · -44.3%
By 2100
19,268 · -62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 6% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.9) · D 32.1% · R 67.9%
2008→2024 swing
-26.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -35.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.9 2020: R+31.4 2016: R+35.5 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.82%
Current HPI
297.365
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $215,000 Global MLS

Property tax history

+11.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,955 · +39.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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