33051 Heatherwood Lot 244 · New Haven, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$41,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
QuailRun Manufactured Home Park~ New Haven Schools. Talk abut AFFORDABLE HOUSING. This 3 bedroom 2 bath home is situated on lot 244 within the complex. QuailRun offers a club house, outdoor pool, basketball, volleyball, playground, Gazebo, and a pond that allows fishing all for only $670.00 a month. Many updates within this home over the last 5 years. New Driveway pad ( 6/25), New sub flooring and flooring (23) in the living room and all bedrooms, 7/20 New AC, 3/21 New Furnace, and Roof 8/19. All appliances will stay making this home turn key and move in ready. Photos have been digitally edited removing personal property. Property is occupied. Park approval is required ( please visit their website). Pets are allowed but the park does have breed restrictions. Seller does have 2 Ring Cameras on the property. Subject to Seller finding Suitable Housing. Cash Or Conventional Financing ( If you need a referral for a lender who loans in parks, please reach out) No FHA or VA lending is allowed as this is not a normal Single Family Home. Buyer is responsible for State Tax and Title at close.
Key facts
- Outdoor pool
- Volleyball
- Gazebo
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions listed as 50 x 20 (acres unit); Directions: West side of 26 Mile between Main & 94; Cross street 26 Mile & Main
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $670 (includes trash); Community amenities: pool, clubhouse, fitness center
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Parking pad; Assigned parking (no garage)
- Security: Security features (other)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Built as a residential single-family home
- Exterior features: Basketball court; Gazebo; Community in-ground outdoor pool; Pond within park available for use and fishing; Paved, privately maintained road and private road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing gas oven; Free-standing refrigerator; Dishwasher; Range hood; Disposal
- Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Disposal; Range hood; Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $41k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $41k).
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.2% in New Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#650 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- New Haven Community Schools (suburban): math 25% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #305 of 540 in MI (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($283 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 50% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.92%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $312,000
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57925 Woodcreek Lot 50 | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (0%) | 9mo | $58,500 | $47 | 85 |
| 32501 Salt River Cir N | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (+11%) | 16mo | $345,000 | $250 | 48 |
| 58242 Pembrooke Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,397 (+12%) | 15mo | $357,460 | $256 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.05×
- Total profit
- $12,025
- Equity at exit
- $18,435
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.97×
- Total profit
- $34,081
- Equity at exit
- $28,411
Cash invested: $11,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40848
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,339 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$215
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$51 /mo · $615/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$670
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $104
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $133 | -5% $119 | +0% $104 | +5% $90 | +10% $76 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1 | -5% $52 | +0% $104 | +5% $157 | +10% $210 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $125 | -0.5pp $115 | base $104 | +0.5pp $94 | +1.0pp $83 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,250
- Closing costs
- $1,230
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32631 Cary Ln N New Haven, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,339 | $1.27 | 0d | 1 | 0.97mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $670 · $8,040/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $41,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $41,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $41,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $41,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $41,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $41,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-10$41,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,068
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,297
- − Property taxes
- −$615
- − Insurance
- −$205
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,285
- − Management
- −$1,285
- − HOA
- −$8,040
- − Depreciation
- −$1,193
- Taxable income
- $1,148
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$275
- After-tax cash flow
- $978/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This Quail Run manufactured home is in good condition with recent updates and is move-in ready. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for increased value through exterior painting and maintenance.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can enhance the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value.
- Resale Trim and paint exterior trim — Trim and painting the exterior trim can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value.
- Rental Clean gutters and downspouts — Clean gutters and downspouts can prevent water damage and improve the home's rental value by ensuring proper drainage.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can enhance the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value. ↑
- Resale Trim and paint exterior trim — Trim and painting the exterior trim can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value. ↑
- Rental Clean gutters and downspouts — Clean gutters and downspouts can prevent water damage and improve the home's rental value by ensuring proper drainage. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Haven Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2625230
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,247
- Composite
- 29.17/100
- National rank
- #6575
- State rank
- #305 of 540 in MI
Livability — New Haven
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #650
- US rank
- #22110
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
No demographic data for this ZIP.
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $41,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-09 Listed $41,000 REALCOMP
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…