CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
33051 Heatherwood Lot 244
B- Composite 69.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$41,000

33051 Heatherwood Lot 244 · New Haven, MI 40848
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · SingleFamily · 12 Days on market
Built 1994 Good condition 1,000 sqft lot $670/mo HOA · 50% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

QuailRun Manufactured Home Park~ New Haven Schools. Talk abut AFFORDABLE HOUSING. This 3 bedroom 2 bath home is situated on lot 244 within the complex. QuailRun offers a club house, outdoor pool, basketball, volleyball, playground, Gazebo, and a pond that allows fishing all for only $670.00 a month. Many updates within this home over the last 5 years. New Driveway pad ( 6/25), New sub flooring and flooring (23) in the living room and all bedrooms, 7/20 New AC, 3/21 New Furnace, and Roof 8/19. All appliances will stay making this home turn key and move in ready. Photos have been digitally edited removing personal property. Property is occupied. Park approval is required ( please visit their website). Pets are allowed but the park does have breed restrictions. Seller does have 2 Ring Cameras on the property. Subject to Seller finding Suitable Housing. Cash Or Conventional Financing ( If you need a referral for a lender who loans in parks, please reach out) No FHA or VA lending is allowed as this is not a normal Single Family Home. Buyer is responsible for State Tax and Title at close.

Key facts

  • Outdoor pool
  • Volleyball
  • Gazebo

Tags

CLUB HOUSEOUTDOOR POOLBASKETBALLVOLLEYBALLPLAYGROUNDGAZEBO

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions listed as 50 x 20 (acres unit); Directions: West side of 26 Mile between Main & 94; Cross street 26 Mile & Main
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $670 (includes trash); Community amenities: pool, clubhouse, fitness center

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Parking pad; Assigned parking (no garage)
  • Security: Security features (other)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Built as a residential single-family home
  • Exterior features: Basketball court; Gazebo; Community in-ground outdoor pool; Pond within park available for use and fishing; Paved, privately maintained road and private road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing gas oven; Free-standing refrigerator; Dishwasher; Range hood; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Disposal; Range hood; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $41k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $41k).
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.2% in New Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#650 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • New Haven Community Schools (suburban): math 25% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #305 of 540 in MI (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($283 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 50% of rent.
Recommended offer $41,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.27%
Cap rate
9.35%
Cash-on-cash
10.92%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$312,000
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
57925 Woodcreek Lot 50 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,248 (0%) 9mo $58,500 $47 85
32501 Salt River Cir N 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,380 (+11%) 16mo $345,000 $250 48
58242 Pembrooke Ave 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,397 (+12%) 15mo $357,460 $256 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
2.05×
Total profit
$12,025
Equity at exit
$18,435
10-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
3.97×
Total profit
$34,081
Equity at exit
$28,411

Cash invested: $11,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 40848

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,339 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$215
Tax est. 1.5%
$51 /mo · $615/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$670
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$104

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,207
Max offer price $41,000
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $133 -5% $119 +0% $104 +5% $90 +10% $76
Rent -10% $-1 -5% $52 +0% $104 +5% $157 +10% $210
Rate -1.0pp $125 -0.5pp $115 base $104 +0.5pp $94 +1.0pp $83

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,250
Closing costs
$1,230
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
32631 Cary Ln N New Haven, MI 4.0 2.0 1056 $1,339 $1.27 0d 1 0.97mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$670 · $8,040/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $41,000 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $41,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $41,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $41,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $41,000 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $41,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-10
    listed $41,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,068
− Mortgage interest
−$2,297
− Property taxes
−$615
− Insurance
−$205
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,285
− Management
−$1,285
− HOA
−$8,040
− Depreciation
−$1,193
Taxable income
$1,148
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$275
After-tax cash flow
$978/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This Quail Run manufactured home is in good condition with recent updates and is move-in ready. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for increased value through exterior painting and maintenance.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can enhance the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value.
  • Resale Trim and paint exterior trim — Trim and painting the exterior trim can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value.
  • Rental Clean gutters and downspouts — Clean gutters and downspouts can prevent water damage and improve the home's rental value by ensuring proper drainage.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can enhance the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value.
  • Resale Trim and paint exterior trim — Trim and painting the exterior trim can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value.
  • Rental Clean gutters and downspouts — Clean gutters and downspouts can prevent water damage and improve the home's rental value by ensuring proper drainage.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
New Haven Community Schools
NCES district ID
2625230
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$64,247
Composite
29.17/100
National rank
#6575
State rank
#305 of 540 in MI

Livability — New Haven

Score
57/100
State rank
#650
US rank
#22110

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

No demographic data for this ZIP.

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $41,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $41,000 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…