19304 Connecticut St · Roseville, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to 19304 Connecticut and move-in-ready ranch in the heart of Roseville! This charming home offers 2 spacious bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and a finished basement that provides additional living and entertaining space. Recent updates include a newer furnace (approximately 2-3 years old) and central air conditioning installed in 2021, giving buyers added peace of mind. The finished basement features a full bathroom and plenty of room for a family room, home office, gym, or recreation area. Outside, you'll find a detached 2-car garage and a manageable yard perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, parks, and major freeways, this home is a fantastic opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for a well-cared-for property. Schedule your showing today! Seller is selling the property as-is.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1950
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Built with vinyl siding; Brick/mortar foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.1 acre (40 x 104); No pool
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Finished basement; Total of 4 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $145k).
- Cap rate 18.7% vs local median 6.0% in Roseville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#258 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, employment D, schools F.
- Roseville Community Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #483 of 540 in MI (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 265 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,094/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 1712% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.4% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $23k; list at $145k implies a 528% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.37%
- DSCR
- 2.97
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $114,208
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19590 Georgia St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (+2%) | 12mo | $145,000 | $207 | 73 |
| 20069 E 12 Mile Rd | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 688 (0%) | 16mo | $155,000 | $225 | 63 |
| 19530 Waldron St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 725 (+5%) | 16mo | $120,000 | $166 | 60 |
| 17964 Delaware St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (+2%) | 12mo | $112,500 | $161 | 57 |
| 27734 Lasslett Street St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (+2%) | 6mo | $116,000 | $166 | 56 |
| 19136 Florian St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 748 (+9%) | 1mo | $139,000 | $186 | 55 |
| 28790 Melvin St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 707 (+3%) | 17mo | $103,000 | $146 | 54 |
| 27851 O'neil St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+5%) | 8mo | $119,900 | $167 | 53 |
| 27825 Van Howe St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (+2%) | 14mo | $46,500 | $66 | 52 |
| 27871 Oneil St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+5%) | 17mo | $115,000 | $160 | 46 |
| 27750 Van Howe St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 786 (+14%) | 22mo | $107,500 | $137 | 17 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.58×
- Total profit
- $64,208
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 43.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.65×
- Total profit
- $148,230
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48066
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 265
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,094 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$122 /mo · $1,467/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$650
- Net cashflow
- $1,501
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20411 Twelve Mile Rd Unit 7 Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $975 | $1.62 | 18d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 18451 Sharon Ln Unit 1032334P Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $3,932 | $5.30 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 18459 Sharon Ln Unit 1032344P Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $3,035 | $4.09 | 12d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 18447 Sharon Ln Unit 1032337P Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $3,468 | $4.67 | 16d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 18443 Sharon Ln Unit 1032345P Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $3,286 | $4.43 | 1d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 18431 Sharon Ln Unit 1032346P Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $3,695 | $4.98 | 14d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 18423 Sharon Ln Unit 1032353P Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $3,458 | $4.66 | 14d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 18423 Sharon Ln Unit 1032349P Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $3,210 | $4.33 | 1d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 18389 Sharon Ln Unit 1032350P Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $3,470 | $4.68 | 16d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 18377 Sharon Ln Unit 1032361P Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $4,242 | $5.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 18377 Sharon Ln Unit 1032363P Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $4,015 | $5.41 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 18355 Mesle St Unit 1032347P Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $3,878 | $5.23 | 12d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 27850 Gratiot Ave Unit 1032354P Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $3,590 | $4.84 | 1d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 18340 Mesle St Unit 1032351P Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $3,167 | $4.27 | 10d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 18308 Mesle St Unit 1032362P Roseville, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $3,072 | $4.14 | 5d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 28368 Rosemont St Roseville, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,500 | $2.16 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 17134 E Thirteen Mile Rd Roseville, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,269 | $1.54 | 1d | 16 | 1.32mi |
| 19700 Masonic Roseville, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,400 | $1.60 | 1d | 12 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-15status $145,000 Pending 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-07$145,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,467 · $122/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,850 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- +$383/yr (+$32/mo · 26.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,128
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$1,467
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,970
- − Management
- −$2,970
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $16,655
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,997
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,017/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roseville Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2630210
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,590
- Composite
- 14.98/100
- National rank
- #9363
- State rank
- #483 of 540 in MI
Livability — Roseville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #258
- US rank
- #6400
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roseville, MI
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- City population
- 47,123
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,123
- Household income
- $62,182
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1712.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -232.95%
- Current HPI
- 217.4171
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.39%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+249.4% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $145,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-06 Listed $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-05 Coming Soon $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-10-07 Sold (MLS) $23,100 REALCOMP
- 2010-10-07 Sold (MLS) $23,100 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-09-22 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-09-16 Listed $23,100 REALCOMP
- 2010-09-16 Listed $23,100 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-10-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-05-27 Listed $104,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $109,875 Public Records
- 2004-05-24 Sold (MLS) $109,875 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-05-07 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-03-26 Listed $114,875 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1992-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 1987-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $41,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,467 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…