811 E Ewing Ave · South Bend, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.3/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath two-story home offering character, space, and abundant natural light throughout. A large front porch welcomes you and provides the perfect spot to relax and enjoy the neighborhood. Inside, you’ll find a spacious living area that flows into a formal dining room, ideal for gatherings and entertaining. The updated kitchen features newer appliances, and the main level also includes the convenience of first-floor laundry and a half bath. Upstairs are two generously sized bedrooms along with a third smaller bedroom that would also make a great home office, nursery, or flex space. The full bath includes a makeup/vanity area that could easily be converted into a s
Key facts
- Makeup vanity area
- Formal dining room
- Large front porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 41 x 116 (0.11 acre); Subdivision: Oak Park
- Financial info: Tax information excluded
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; No garage
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family site-built home; 2 stories
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Built details not provided
- Exterior features: Covered porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Gas range
- Bedrooms: Details not provided
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Other flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Natural gas heating; Forced air; Gravity heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Laminate counters; One fireplace (no special features listed)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($383/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (16.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $138k (16.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.4% in South Bend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#365 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
- South Bend Community School Corporation (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #284 of 301 in IN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 7% / reading 6%, grade F, #964 of 994 statewide, top 97%, 467 students, 86% FRL); Riley High School (math 19% / reading 46%, grade F, #293 of 369 statewide, top 80%, 992 students, 67% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $165k implies a 489% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.83%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $142,272
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 918 E Bowman St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (0%) | 1mo | $77,000 | $62 | 91 |
| 2517 Erskine Blvd | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,248 (0%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $80 | 83 |
| 1112 E Fox St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (+4%) | 2mo | $148,500 | $114 | 81 |
| 514 E Fairview Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,180 (-5%) | 0mo | $172,500 | $146 | 74 |
| 2609 Rush St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,332 (+7%) | 2mo | $166,000 | $125 | 72 |
| 1133 Milton St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (+8%) | 0mo | $85,000 | $63 | 68 |
| 822 E Woodside St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,213 (-3%) | 2mo | $143,000 | $118 | 67 |
| 316 E Dayton St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (-6%) | 2mo | $77,000 | $65 | 66 |
| 830 Eckman St | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (-12%) | 1mo | $79,000 | $72 | 61 |
| 214 E Woodside St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,208 (-3%) | 2mo | $207,000 | $171 | 59 |
| 1149 E Indiana Ave | 0.60mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,344 (+8%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $67 | 52 |
| 1522 E Ewing Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,411 (+13%) | 0mo | $220,000 | $156 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-23,213
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-11,341
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46613
- Home prices YoY
- -7.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,382 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$126 /mo · $1,514/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$290
- Net cashflow
- $32
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2114 High St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 949 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 821 E Fairview Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,399 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 909 E Fairview Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1128 | $1,450 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1912 Miami St Unit 1912 South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 525 E Eckman St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 237 E Victoria St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $995 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 214 Altgeld St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 202 E Calvert St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $999 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 405 E Woodside St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,425 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 317 E Indiana Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,200 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1149 E Indiana Ave South Bend, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,200 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1126 E Broadway St South Bend, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $1,365 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 922 Ridgedale Rd South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,200 | $1.39 | 13d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1701 E Donald St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,075 | $1.49 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1007 E Chippewa Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,399 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1729 E Calvert St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2102 S Scott St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,250 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1920 S Scott St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,000 | $1.23 | 13d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 416 E Chippewa Ave South Bend, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,900 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2002 Catalpa Ave South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1424 | $1,250 | $0.88 | 21d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4005 Addison St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2804 Delaware St Mishawaka, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,200 | $1.67 | 13d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1106 S 20th St South Bend, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 885 | $1,200 | $1.36 | 13d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending
-
2026-05-07historical
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-21status Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-13historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-01-21$165,000 Active
-
2008-02-11soldstatus $28,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,514 · $126/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,514 · $126/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,589
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,514
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,327
- − Management
- −$1,327
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$2,447
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$587
- After-tax cash flow
- $970/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Bend Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1810290
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,935
- Composite
- 14.21/100
- National rank
- #9452
- State rank
- #284 of 301 in IN
Livability — South Bend
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #365
- US rank
- #13730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Bend, IN
- County
- Saint Joseph County · 189,048 people
- City population
- 99,767
- Metro
- South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,279
- Household income
- $42,537
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 545.0
Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 273,186 people
- By 2030
- 273,594 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 271,641 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 269,187 · -1.5%
- By 2075
- 263,136 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 245,659 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 23% Two or more races 22% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -20.88%
- Current HPI
- 270.0303
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.08%
- Metro
- South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+489.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-05-07 Delisted — IRMLS
- 2026-04-29 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-04-21 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2026-03-13 Contingent — IRMLS
- 2026-01-21 Listed $165,000 IRMLS
- 2008-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-7.0%/yrLatest (2023): $1,514 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…