130 W Main St · Centerburg, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
OLDE WORLD CHARM!!! Circa 1890, this 4 bedroom, 2 bath at the center of the town.
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1885
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $795 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#367 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Centerburg Local (rural): math 60% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #183 of 656 in OH (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 195 units permitted in Knox County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Knox County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.90% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.86%
- DSCR
- 2.60
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $331,968
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133 Church St | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 | 1,911 (+5%) | 9mo | $305,000 | $160 | 80 |
| 147 S Hartford Ave | 0.25mi | 4/1.5 | 1,781 (-2%) | 13mo | $135,000 | $76 | 72 |
| 147 N Clayton St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,704 (-7%) | 3mo | $335,000 | $197 | 70 |
| 15 Garden St | 0.37mi | 4/2.5 | 1,695 (-7%) | 0mo | $385,000 | $227 | 69 |
| 35 Landrum Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,912 (+5%) | 10mo | $275,000 | $144 | 68 |
| 170 S Preston St | 0.25mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,920 (+5%) | 6mo | $361,000 | $188 | 67 |
| 87 S Preston St | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 | 2,082 (+14%) | 11mo | $230,000 | $110 | 60 |
| 7151 County 199 Rd | 0.13mi | 4/3.0 | 1,584 (-13%) | 12mo | $469,000 | $296 | 58 |
| 255 S Preston St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,638 (-10%) | 13mo | $294,000 | $179 | 46 |
| 346 N Clayton St | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 | 2,040 (+12%) | 20mo | $330,000 | $162 | 45 |
| 259 S Preston St | 0.38mi | 4/2.5 | 1,558 (-15%) | 20mo | $285,000 | $183 | 39 |
| 480 N Clayton St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,636 (-10%) | 21mo | $298,000 | $182 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $35,248
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 38.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.61×
- Total profit
- $95,938
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43011
- Home prices YoY
- -26.0%
- Active inventory
- 28
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,807 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,136/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$379
- Net cashflow
- $795
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $849 | -5% $822 | +0% $795 | +5% $768 | +10% $741 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $652 | -5% $724 | +0% $795 | +5% $866 | +10% $938 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $843 | -0.5pp $819 | base $795 | +0.5pp $770 | +1.0pp $745 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-16$95,000 Active
-
2026-04-15historical $95,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,136 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,309 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- +$173/yr (+$14/mo · 15.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,681
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,136
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,734
- − Management
- −$1,734
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $8,516
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,044
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,495/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Centerburg Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904782
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,410
- Composite
- 57.07/100
- National rank
- #1105
- State rank
- #183 of 656 in OH
Livability — Centerburg
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #367
- US rank
- #5932
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Centerburg, OH
- County
- Knox · 63,297 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,978
- Household income
- $97,929
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8.4
Population outlook (Knox County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 60,036 people
- By 2030
- 58,670 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 54,963 · -8.4%
- By 2050
- 51,353 · -14.5%
- By 2075
- 43,196 · -28.0%
- By 2100
- 34,514 · -42.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Knox
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.9) · D 27.1% · R 72.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.0pp toward R · 2008: -19.9pp · 2024: -44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.9 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+38.2 2012: R+24.3 2008: R+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.67%
- Current HPI
- 314.3209
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $95,000 CBRMLS
- 2026-04-15 Coming Soon $95,000 CBRMLS
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,136 · -15.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…