206 Fisher Ave · Sawyerville, IL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Two-bedroom, one-bath home featuring a convenient main floor laundry and a full basement for additional storage or future finishing. A rare find with a three-car garage that includes a workshop plus an additional half bath. Don’t miss this opportunity—schedule your showing with your favorite Realtor today!
Key facts
- Additional half bath
- Three car garage
- Main floor laundry
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with space for 3 cars
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 180 x 142.5
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-19 ($-228/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $107k (3.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (20.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $88k (20.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,332 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Gillespie CUSD 7 (town): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #485 of 620 in IL (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Gillespie High School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #187 of 693 statewide, top 30%, 340 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 57% district-wide (57 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 17% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Gillespie CUSD 7 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Macoupin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Macoupin County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.74%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $42,734
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 School St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+8%) | 20mo | $34,900 | $35 | 59 |
| 509 S Hardroad | 0.68mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 850 (-8%) | 13mo | $38,765 | $46 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $12,011
- Equity at exit
- $49,416
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.44×
- Total profit
- $44,450
- Equity at exit
- $76,156
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62085
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $876 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$89 /mo · $1,070/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$184
- Net cashflow
- $-19
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $43 | -5% $12 | +0% $-19 | +5% $-50 | +10% $-81 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-88 | -5% $-54 | +0% $-19 | +5% $16 | +10% $50 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $36 | -0.5pp $9 | base $-19 | +0.5pp $-48 | +1.0pp $-76 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-01price $109,900
-
2026-02-24$114,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,070 · $89/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,782 · $149/mo
- Expected delta
- +$713/yr (+$59/mo · 66.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,515
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$1,070
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$841
- − Management
- −$841
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable loss
- −$2,140
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$514
- After-tax cash flow
- $285/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gillespie CUSD 7
- NCES district ID
- 1716680
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -19.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,399
- Composite
- 14.59/100
- National rank
- #9413
- State rank
- #485 of 620 in IL
Livability — Sawyerville
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1332
- US rank
- #25460
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sawyerville, IL
- City population
- 195
- Population (ZIP)
- 195
Population outlook (Macoupin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,867 people
- By 2030
- 40,796 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 36,135 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 31,469 · -26.6%
- By 2075
- 22,102 · -48.4%
- By 2100
- 15,380 · -64.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Hispanic / Latino 1% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovene 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macoupin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.2) · D 29.4% · R 68.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -49.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.8pp · 2024: -39.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.2 2020: R+36.5 2016: R+35.0 2012: R+7.0 2008: D+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
-4.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $109,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-24 Listed $114,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+14.8%/yrLatest (2024): $1,070 · +659.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…