5358 Ruskin Ave · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$44,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 5,632 sq ft lot
- Built 1925
- Listed 29 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as residential, single family; Above-grade finished area reported as 1,224 (source: public records)
- Financial info: Lease not considered; No second mortgage reported; Seller may consider concessions
- HOA & community: No HOA details provided
Exterior
- Parking: Alley access; Off-street parking
- Security: No security details provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric: Other; Cable not available; Electricity not available; Natural gas not available; Phone not available; Water not available
- Home design: Single-family residence; House with one level; Fixer condition; Owner by contract
- Construction: Brick construction; Built year not provided
- Exterior features: Back yard; Front yard; Many trees
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Full basement
- Laundry & utility: No heating or cooling specified
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $44k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $671 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $44k).
- Recommended offer: $43k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.6% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Walbridge Elem. Community Ed. (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,099 of 1,115 statewide, top 100%, 128 students, 98% FRL); Vashon High (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #520 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 568 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,199/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 1655% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $304 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $37k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 65.33%
- DSCR
- 3.91
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $47,736
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5350 Claxton Ave | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,224 (0%) | 8mo | $115,000 | $94 | 80 |
| 5445 N Kingshighway Blvd | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,288 (+5%) | 9mo | $72,000 | $56 | 74 |
| 4916 W Florissant Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,235 (+1%) | 10mo | $135,000 | $109 | 71 |
| 5431 Arlington Ave | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,196 (-2%) | 9mo | $32,300 | $27 | 70 |
| 5474 Queens Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,075 (-12%) | 3mo | $40,000 | $37 | 67 |
| 5447 Claxton Ave | 0.27mi | 3/2.5 | 1,175 (-4%) | 10mo | $62,000 | $53 | 66 |
| 5410 Emerson Ave | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,150 (-6%) | 5mo | $45,000 | $39 | 66 |
| 4514 Bircher Blvd | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,222 (-0%) | 4mo | $30,000 | $25 | 58 |
| 5354 Arlington Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,058 (-14%) | 3mo | $19,500 | $18 | 58 |
| 4814 Calvin Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,257 (+3%) | 8mo | $20,000 | $16 | 58 |
| 4430 Sexauer Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,212 (-1%) | 6mo | $64,500 | $53 | 57 |
| 5052 Plover Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,041 (-15%) | 5mo | $22,500 | $22 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 64.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.89×
- Total profit
- $35,587
- Equity at exit
- $6,561
- IRR
- 68.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.98×
- Total profit
- $85,997
- Equity at exit
- $3,804
Cash invested: $12,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63115
- Home prices YoY
- -2.6%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,199 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$231
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $331/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $671
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $696 | -5% $683 | +0% $671 | +5% $658 | +10% $646 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $576 | -5% $623 | +0% $671 | +5% $718 | +10% $765 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $693 | -0.5pp $682 | base $671 | +0.5pp $659 | +1.0pp $648 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,000
- Closing costs
- $1,320
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5338 Claxton Ave Unit 33 St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,550 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 4919 Thekla Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 931 | $700 | $0.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 4847 Calvin Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,473 | $1.47 | 3d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4914 Plover Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $925 | $0.74 | 25d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4715 Thrush Ave Unit 24 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4737 Plover Ave Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4040 Shreve Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1201 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4719 Plover Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $995 | $1.34 | 5d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4493 Bessie Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,250 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4497 Lee Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1012 | $1,000 | $0.99 | 17d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4642 Farlin Ave Unit 1F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $800 | $0.76 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5936 Theodore Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,350 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 5931 Emma Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,200 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 6153 Laura Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 834 | $1,000 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 6150 Sherry Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $896 | $0.87 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5730 Park Ln Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1174 | $1,600 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4223 Red Bud Ave Unit 1F St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1167 | $895 | $0.77 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 5574 Era Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,400 | $1.65 | 13d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 5546 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,273 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $44,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $44,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $44,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $44,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $44,800 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $44,800 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $44,800 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $44,800 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $44,800 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $44,800 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $44,800 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $44,800 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $44,800 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $44,800 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$44,800 Active
-
1998-09-03soldstatus $37,000
-
1991-07-23soldstatus
-
1990-12-20soldstatus $30,107
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $331 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $427 · $36/mo
- Expected delta
- +$96/yr (+$8/mo · 28.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,390
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,465
- − Property taxes
- −$331
- − Insurance
- −$220
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,151
- − Management
- −$1,151
- − Depreciation
- −$1,280
- Taxable income
- $7,792
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,870
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,178/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,488
- Household income
- $30,622
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1655.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 95% White 2% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.42%
- Current HPI
- 127.3403
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+48.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $44,800 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
- 1991-07-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1990-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $30,107 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.7%/yrLatest (2024): $331 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…