CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
4265 Botanical Ave Duplex
D Composite 42.09
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.6/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$325,000

4265 Botanical Ave · St. Louis, MO 63110
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,716 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1906 2,147 sqft lot $189/sqft · 7% below area Est $349k · 7% under ↓ 48% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

2-family flat is a must see! Fresh paint, nice, large kitchen. There is a nice fenced yard. All rooms are large. washer & dryer included. You will be 1 block from Tower Grove Park & about 1 block from the Botanical Gardens. This is a very convenient location! 4265 Botanical

Key facts

  • Quiet cul-de-sac
  • Historic character
  • Central air

Tags

QUIET CUL-DE-SACEASY BIKE ROUTE ACCESSHISTORIC CHARACTERMAJOR MECHANICAL UPGRADESWATER AND SEWER LINES UPDATEDCENTRAL AIR

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two-unit building (2 total units); Above-grade finished area approximately 1,716; No pool

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Electricity connected (Ameren)
  • Home design: Residential income property (2–4 units); Two levels; Neighborhood: Shaw
  • Construction: Brick and stone construction; Stone foundation; Built with shingle roof not specified
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch; Chain link and wood fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing electric range; Free-standing gas range; Refrigerator; Free-standing refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two 1-bedroom units (each unit has 1 bedroom)
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: Each unit includes 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Insulated windows; Full unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $41 ($494/yr) — positive. Per door: $21/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $263k (19.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $263k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mason Elem. (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #813 of 1,115 statewide, top 75%, 389 students, 99% FRL); Roosevelt High (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #517 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 460 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 98 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $262,700 (19.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.44%
Cash-on-cash
0.54%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$348,709
List price
$325,000
Delta
-4.22%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4250 Wyoming St 0.71mi 4/4.0 1,528 (-11%) 7mo $249,000 $163 35
2705 S Kingshighway Blvd 0.66mi 4/2.0 1,944 (+13%) 21mo $275,000 $141 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.2%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-41,293
Equity at exit
$48,459
10-year hold
IRR
0.8%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$5,830
Equity at exit
$28,100

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63110

Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
98
Price-to-rent
20.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,627 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$194 /mo · $2,333/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$552
Net cashflow
$41

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,575
Max offer price $325,000
Occupancy floor 93%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,627

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,250
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4228 Cleveland Ave Unit 1031486P St. Louis, MO 4.0 1.0 1496 $1,868 $1.25 1d 1 0.14mi
2053 Alfred Ave St. Louis, MO 4.0 3.0 1768 $1,975 $1.12 43d 1 0.36mi
4609 Cleveland Ave St. Louis, MO 3.0 2.5 1400 $2,200 $1.57 21d 1 0.52mi
3925 Shenandoah Ave St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,500 $1.20 2d 1 0.54mi
4000 De Tonty St Unit 3W St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,630 $1.36 1d 1 0.67mi
3911 Shaw Blvd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1432 $1,885 $1.32 4d 1 0.74mi
3802 Flad Ave St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,499 $1.11 7d 1 0.74mi
3850 De Tonty St Apt A St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,725 $1.44 21d 1 0.82mi
3850 De Tonty St Unit 3850A St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,695 $1.41 1d 1 0.82mi
3850 De Tonty St Unit 3852 St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,650 $1.38 21d 1 0.82mi
3850 De Tonty St Unit 3852A St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,695 $1.41 14d 1 0.82mi
3861 McRee Ave Unit 3865 St. Louis, MO 3.0 2.5 1556 $1,845 $1.19 17d 1 0.91mi
3640 Shaw Blvd Unit 2W St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,299 $1.08 11d 1 0.92mi
3628 Shaw Blvd Unit 1F St. Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,995 $1.48 7d 1 0.94mi
3908 McDonald Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1927 $2,500 $1.30 4d 1 0.97mi
3901 Folsom Ave Unit 3909 St. Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1635 $1,845 $1.13 17d 1 0.99mi
3663 McRee Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1714 $2,750 $1.60 17d 1 1.03mi
3628 Wyoming St Unit 2F St. Louis, MO 4.0 1.0 1700 $1,950 $1.15 43d 1 1.03mi
3458 Giles Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.5 2204 $2,400 $1.09 7d 1 1.22mi
3526 S Spring Ave Saint Louis, MO 4.0 2.0 2244 $2,877 $1.28 43d 1 1.26mi
1129 S Kingshighway Blvd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1287 $1,999 $1.55 17d 1 1.31mi
4041 Chouteau Ave St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0–2.0 990 $3,298 $3.33 1d 39 1.37mi
4041 Chouteau Ave St. Louis, MO 3.0 1.0–2.0 990 $3,095 $3.12 14d 53 1.37mi
3411 Cherokee St St. Louis, MO 4.0 2.0 1568 $1,850 $1.18 43d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $325,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    remarks 682-char remark
  3. 2026-06-16
    pricedays on marketlisting id $325,000 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $334,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $334,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $334,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $334,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $334,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $334,000 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $334,000 Active 22 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $334,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $334,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $334,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-05-13
    price $334,000 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    2-family flat is a must see! Fresh paint, nice, large kitchen. There is a nice fenced yard. All rooms are large. washer & dryer included. You will be 1 block from Tower Grove Park & about 1 block from the Botanical Gardens. This is a very convenient location! 4265 Botanical

  15. 2026-05-12
    listed $349,000 Active 286-char remark
    Show marketing remark (286 chars)

    2-family flat is a must see! Fresh paint, nice, large kitchen. There is a nice fenced yard. All rooms are large. washer & dryer included. You will be 1 block from Tower Grove Park & about 1 block from the Botanical Gardens. This is a very convenient location! 4265 Botanical

  16. 2025-04-28
    historical
  17. 2025-04-13
    price $625,000
  18. 2025-03-08
    listed $630,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,333 · $194/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,152 · $263/mo
Expected delta
+$819/yr (+$68/mo · 35.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,524
− Mortgage interest
−$18,205
− Property taxes
−$2,333
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,522
− Management
−$2,522
− Depreciation
−$9,455
Taxable loss
−$5,138
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,233
After-tax cash flow
$1,727/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
County
Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
City population
283,259
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
17,645
Household income
$81,655
Rent vs Own
56.4% rent · 43.6% own
Severe rent burden
921.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 19% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -206.93%
Current HPI
342.2466
Rent YoY
▲ 6.24%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-48.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $325,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $334,000 FSBO.com
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $349,000 FSBO.com
  • 2025-04-28 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-13 Price Changed $625,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-08 Listed $630,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+12.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,333 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…