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556 Santa Fe
C+ Composite 62.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,000

556 Santa Fe · Bellevue, MI 49021
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,024 sqft · Manufactured · 227 Days on market
Built 2025 Fair condition $550/mo HOA · 47% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Year: 2014 Make: Harmony * * * * * Land is leased, not owned * * * * * *

Key facts

  • Built 2025
  • Listed 226 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $39k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $96 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $39k).
  • Recommended offer: $34k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.3% in Bellevue — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#355 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bellevue Community Schools (rural): math 14% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #445 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 98 units permitted in Eaton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $270 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Eaton County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 227 days — a 12% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 47% of rent.
Recommended offer $34,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 227 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.97%
Cap rate
9.26%
Cash-on-cash
10.58%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.4%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$168
Equity at exit
$5,815
10-year hold
IRR
10.8%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$9,486
Equity at exit
$3,372

Cash invested: $10,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49021

Home prices YoY
-10.1%
Active inventory
56
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,159 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$205
Tax est. 1.5%
$49 /mo · $585/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$550
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$243
Net cashflow
$96

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,037
Max offer price $39,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,750
Closing costs
$1,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$550 · $6,600/yr

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $39,000 Active 227 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,000 Active 226 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,000 Active 225 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,000 Active 224 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,000 Active 223 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $39,000 Active 221 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,000 Active 220 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $39,000 Active 218 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,000 Active 217 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,000 Active 216 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,000 Active 215 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $39,000 Active 212 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $39,000 Active 211 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $39,000 Active 210 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,000 Active 209 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,000 Active 208 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $39,000 Active 207 DOM
  18. 2025-11-04
    listed $39,000 Active 83-char remark
    Show marketing remark (83 chars)

    Year: 2014 Make: Harmony * * * * * Land is leased, not owned * * * * * *

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,911
− Mortgage interest
−$2,185
− Property taxes
−$585
− Insurance
−$195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,113
− Management
−$1,113
− HOA
−$6,600
− Depreciation
−$1,135
Taxable income
$986
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$237
After-tax cash flow
$919/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

A manufactured home with cosmetic updates needed, offering a good starting point for a potential investor.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Paint — Light wear on walls
  • Minor Siding — Light wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Improves durability and adds value
  • Both Install new windows — Enhances energy efficiency and curb appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Paint · Light wear on walls Minor $500–3,000
Siding · Light wear Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Improves durability and adds value
  • Both Install new windows — Enhances energy efficiency and curb appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bellevue Community Schools
NCES district ID
2604650
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$50,826
Composite
19.59/100
National rank
#8757
State rank
#445 of 540 in MI

Livability — Bellevue

Score
69/100
State rank
#355
US rank
#9043

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bellevue, MI
Population (ZIP)
6,467

Population outlook (Eaton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
110,811 people
By 2030
110,598 · -0.2%
By 2040
108,304 · -2.3%
By 2050
104,961 · -5.3%
By 2075
97,197 · -12.3%
By 2100
85,150 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Eaton

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 50.8% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-11.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: R+0.8 2016: R+5.5 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.20%
Current HPI
267.6519
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-11-04 Listed $39,000 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…