3000 E Walnut St · Tecumseh, OK 74873

$175,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,064 sqft · Manufactured public records · 156 Days on market

Built 2009 5.00 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +14.5/30.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +4.4/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• 1% rule +2.8/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.4/10.0

Listing remarks

COMMERCIAL POTENTIAL WITH HIGHWAY FRONTAGE! Versatile 5-acre property with commercial potential. Mobile home includes a 2-car carport, storm cellar, workshop, and storage building. Level, usable land offers excellent space for a home-based business, equipment storage, or future development. Ideal for residential, commercial, or investment use with room to expand.

Key facts

• 2-car carport
• 5-acre property
• Storage building

Tags

• 5-ACRE PROPERTY
• 2-CAR CARPORT
• STORM CELLAR
• WORKSHOP
• STORAGE BUILDING
• LEVEL USABLE LAND

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Homestead exemption present; Interior lot spans approximately 5 acres; Directions: Hwy 177 to Hwy 9 (Walnut), head east 1.6 miles; property is on the left (south)
• Financial info: Assumable loan: No; Loan qualification: Unknown; Current price: $175,000
• HOA & community: No mandatory association dues

Exterior

• Parking: 2-car garage
• Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-one-half level home; North-facing
• Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Conventional foundation; Built as move-to-site property
• Exterior features: Workshop; Interior lot; Outdoor storm shelter

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating
• Interior features: One living area; No fireplace

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $40 ($478/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (21.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $137k (21.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#45 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Tecumseh (town): math 13% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #215 of 270 in OK (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Cross Timbers Es (math 12% / reading 15%, grade F, #642 of 845 statewide, top 76%, 409 students, 0% FRL); Tecumseh Hs (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #222 of 447 statewide, top 52%, 616 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 183 units permitted in Pottawatomie County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Pottawatomie County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $31k; list at $175k implies a 465% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $137,264 (21.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.78% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.57%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.98%
• DSCR: 1.04
• GRM: 10.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 25.0%
• Equity multiple: 3.00×
• Total profit: $97,766
• Equity at exit: $157,654

10-year hold

• IRR: 22.0%
• Equity multiple: 6.83×
• Total profit: $285,750
• Equity at exit: $339,987

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Oklahoma: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 74873

• Home prices YoY: 5.2%
• Active inventory: 98
• Price-to-rent: 10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,373 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$918
• Tax from tax record: −$54 /mo · $647/yr
• Insurance: −$73
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$288
• Net cashflow: $40

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,322

Max offer price $175,000

Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $139	-5% $89	+0% $40	+5% $-10	+10% $-59
Rent	-10% $-69	-5% $-14	+0% $40	+5% $94	+10% $148
Rate	-1.0pp $128	-0.5pp $84	base $40	+0.5pp $-6	+1.0pp $-52

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $43,750
• Closing costs: $5,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $175,000 Active 156 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $175,000 Active 155 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $175,000 Active 154 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $175,000 Active 153 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $175,000 Active 152 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $175,000 Active 150 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $175,000 Active 149 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $175,000 Active 146 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $175,000 Active 145 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 144 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 139 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 138 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 137 DOM
14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $175,000 Active 136 DOM
15. 2026-04-02
    price $175,000
16. 2026-01-11
    listed $186,500 Active
17. 2002-01-31
    soldstatus $31,000
18. 1994-05-03
    soldstatus $12,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $647 · $54/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,575 · $131/mo
• Expected delta: +$928/yr (+$77/mo · 143.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,472
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,803
• − Property taxes: −$647
• − Insurance: −$875
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,318
• − Management: −$1,318
• − Depreciation: −$5,091
• Taxable loss: −$2,579
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$619
• After-tax cash flow: $1,097/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Tecumseh
• NCES district ID: 4029610
• Math proficiency: 13% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 18% ▼ -14.00%
• Median HH income: $43,473
• Composite: 13.54/100
• National rank: #9516
• State rank: #215 of 270 in OK

Livability — Tecumseh

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #45
• US rank: #8074

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Tecumseh, OK
• Population (ZIP): 11,033

Population outlook (Pottawatomie County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 76,622 people
• By 2030: 78,816 · +2.9%
• By 2040: 82,766 · +8.0%
• By 2050: 86,031 · +12.3%
• By 2075: 93,316 · +21.8%
• By 2100: 95,820 · +25.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (74%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 74% Native American 12% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pottawatomie

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.2% · R 72.7% · Other 2.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -9.1pp toward R · 2008: -38.4pp · 2024: -47.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+46.0 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.7 2008: R+38.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 14.18%
• Current HPI: 286.31
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.55%
• F500 in state: 6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	3	$48B

Price history

+1358.3% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-02 Price Changed $175,000 MLSOK
• 2026-01-11 Listed $186,500 MLSOK
• 2002-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records
• 1994-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $647 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.