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665 Village Pines Dr
C+ Composite 63.55
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.6/30.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.9/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$152,500

665 Village Pines Dr · Coos Bay, OR 97420
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · Other public records · 48 Days on market
Built 2005 $141/sqft · at area comps Est $158k · at est. ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home features comfortable living space and thoughtful outdoor areas, including a large raised garden bed perfect for growing your own vegetables or flowers. A spacious 2-car carport provides ample covered parking and convenience. A serene setting, charming outdoor space, and practical layout make this home a wonderful place to settle in and enjoy park living.

Key facts

  • Practical layout
  • Spacious carport
  • Built 2005

Tags

LARGE RAISED GARDEN BEDSPACIOUS CARPORTCHARMING OUTDOOR SPACEPRACTICAL LAYOUT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Parcel number 305133
  • Financial info: Land lease: No
  • HOA & community: Senior community; Park may have additional monthly fees (contact park office for details); Lot rent charged monthly

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Security: Handicap access; Fire escape
  • Utilities: Electric fuel; Cable internet available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home in park; Single-story (one level); Approximately built in 2005; Not attached; Main living area approximately 1,080
  • Construction: Composition roof; Skirting foundation; Built in 2005
  • Exterior features: Deck; Raised garden beds; Storm doors; Tool shed; Wood composite exterior; Trees/woods view; Paved road access; Seasonal lot features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Main level); Second bedroom (Main level)
  • Flooring: Laminate; Wall-to-wall carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: High-speed internet; Laminate flooring; Wall-to-wall carpet; Skylights; Vinyl window frames; Crawl space; Accessible approach with ramp; One-level living; Handicap access; Fire escape
  • Laundry & utility: Electric hot water

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $152k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $408 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $152k).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 4.2% in Coos Bay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#257 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Coos Bay SD 9 (town): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #45 of 58 in OR (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Marshfield Senior High School (math 17% / reading 54%, grade F, #89 of 143 statewide, top 62%, 835 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools average 31% FRL vs 55% district-wide (24 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.7%/yr); 344 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 122 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Coos County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $147,925 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
9.50%
Cash-on-cash
11.47%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$157,500
List price
$152,500
Delta
-3.17%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.9%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$10,233
Equity at exit
$22,738
10-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
2.95×
Total profit
$83,136
Equity at exit
$13,185

Cash invested: $42,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97420

Rents YoY
8.7%
Active inventory
344
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,702 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$800
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $878/yr
Insurance
$64
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$357
Net cashflow
$408

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,185
Max offer price $152,500
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $494 -5% $451 +0% $408 +5% $365 +10% $322
Rent -10% $274 -5% $341 +0% $408 +5% $475 +10% $543
Rate -1.0pp $485 -0.5pp $447 base $408 +0.5pp $369 +1.0pp $328

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,125
Closing costs
$4,575
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
151 Norman Ave Unit 02 Coos Bay, OR 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 45d 1 0.42mi
949 Blanco Ave Coos Bay, OR 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,500 $2.27 45d 1 0.42mi
212 Laclair St Coos Bay, OR 2.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 45d 1 0.47mi
267 Ackerman Ave Unit 277 Coos Bay, OR 2.0 1.0 904 $1,550 $1.71 45d 1 0.58mi
239 N Wasson St Unit 7 Coos Bay, OR 2.0 1.0 900 $1,400 $1.56 45d 1 0.77mi
455 N Cammann St Coos Bay, OR 3.0 1.0 1060 $2,000 $1.89 45d 1 0.85mi
2150 Inland Dr Unit 3643-04 North Bend, OR 2.0 1.0 820 $1,200 $1.46 45d 1 1.11mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $152,500 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $152,500 Active 46 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $152,500 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    price $152,500 Active 44 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $159,900 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $159,900 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 35 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,900 Active 30 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 29 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 28 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 27 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $159,900 Active 26 DOM
  19. 2026-05-04
    listed $164,500 Active 384-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$878 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,479 · $123/mo
Expected delta
+$601/yr (+$50/mo · 68.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥76°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,424
− Mortgage interest
−$8,542
− Property taxes
−$878
− Insurance
−$762
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,634
− Management
−$1,634
− Depreciation
−$4,436
Taxable income
$2,537
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$609
After-tax cash flow
$4,289/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coos Bay SD 9
NCES district ID
4103660
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$38,630
Composite
25.46/100
National rank
#7450
State rank
#45 of 58 in OR

Livability — Coos Bay

Score
61/100
State rank
#257
US rank
#17474

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Coos Bay, OR
County
Coos County · 27,621 people
City population
27,621
Metro
Coos Bay, OR
Population (ZIP)
27,621
Household income
$61,574
Rent vs Own
32.7% rent · 67.3% own
Severe rent burden
799.0

Population outlook (Coos County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,222 people
By 2030
61,120 · -1.8%
By 2040
58,478 · -6.0%
By 2050
56,819 · -8.7%
By 2075
54,915 · -11.7%
By 2100
51,403 · -17.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Native American 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Coos

2024 margin
R (+19.9) · D 38.7% · R 58.5% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-16.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.1pp · 2024: -19.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.9 2020: R+20.5 2016: R+24.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+3.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -315.58%
Current HPI
198.3249
Rent YoY
▲ 8.65%
Metro
Coos Bay, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Price Changed $152,500 RMLS
  • 2026-05-25 Price Changed $159,900 RMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $164,500 RMLS

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $878 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…