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5616 Griggs Dr
C- Composite 54.65
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.4/30.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,900

5616 Griggs Dr · Flint, MI 48504
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,398 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 76 Days on market
Built 1958 6,970 sqft lot ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

STUNNING TOTAL RENOVATION! This solid 3-bedroom brick ranch has been completely transformed and is ready for its new owner. No detail was spared in this top-to-bottom update, featuring a brand-new roof on both the home and the garage, plus all-new windows throughout for maximum efficiency. Step inside to a bright, modern interior boasting a fully updated kitchen, stylish new flooring, a refreshed bathroom, and a crisp, contemporary paint palette. The living space extends to the newly finished basement, which serves as the ultimate entertainment hub - complete with a custom wet bar! Outside, enjoy the durability of the brick exterior and the convenience of off-street parking. Located minutes from schools, parks, and expressways, this home offers the perfect blend of modern luxury and commuter convenience. Seller financing available! Schedule your tour today!

Key facts

  • 6,970 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1958

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (approximately 1.5 car)
  • Utilities: Sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry; Facing direction not specified
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Built year not specified
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Paved road access

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Attic fan
  • Interior features: Wet bar; Partially finished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $86k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $159 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($981 rent vs $86k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $594 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 4% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $80,746 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.51%
Cash-on-cash
7.92%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$51,726
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5705 Winthrop Blvd 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,375 (-2%) 4mo $55,000 $40 76
1323 Chatham Dr 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,374 (-2%) 2mo $51,000 $37 74
2014 Barbara Dr 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,320 (-6%) 10mo $54,900 $42 66
4911 Birchcrest Dr 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,310 (-6%) 0mo $30,000 $23 63
5714 Suburban Ct 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,426 (+2%) 3mo $63,500 $45 62
1909 Basil Ln 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-14%) 8mo $21,025 $18 60
5913 Glenn Ave 0.46mi 3/1.5 1,272 (-9%) 4mo $35,000 $28 58
5302 Susan St 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,508 (+8%) 6mo $53,000 $35 58
5709 Suburban Ct 0.67mi 3/1.5 1,440 (+3%) 8mo $74,900 $52 56
3145 Gracelawn Ave 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,300 (-7%) 0mo $135,500 $104 54
4319 Greenlawn Dr 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,310 (-6%) 10mo $38,500 $29 53
5416 Dupont St 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,597 (+14%) 2mo $38,000 $24 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.2%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-3,777
Equity at exit
$12,808
10-year hold
IRR
5.5%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$9,851
Equity at exit
$7,427

Cash invested: $24,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48504

Active inventory
131
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$981 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$450
Tax from tax record
$130 /mo · $1,562/yr
Insurance
$36
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$206
Net cashflow
$159

Break-even live

Break-even rent $780
Max offer price $85,900
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $207 -5% $183 +0% $159 +5% $134 +10% $110
Rent -10% $81 -5% $120 +0% $159 +5% $198 +10% $236
Rate -1.0pp $202 -0.5pp $181 base $159 +0.5pp $137 +1.0pp $114

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,475
Closing costs
$2,577
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5905 Griggs Dr Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 940 $1,000 $1.06 14d 1 0.11mi
5813 Edwards Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1500 $899 $0.60 14d 1 0.54mi
5413 DuPont St Flint, MI 4.0 1.5 1038 $900 $0.87 21d 1 0.60mi
6802 DuPont St Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,000 $0.83 21d 1 0.84mi
411 W Marengo Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,072 $0.79 14d 1 0.95mi
514 W Alma Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 894 $925 $1.03 14d 1 0.95mi
100 Rosewood Mnr Flint, MI 2.0 1.5 1159 $947 $0.82 14d 1 0.98mi
5280 Cedar Shores Ct Flint, MI 2.0–3.0 2.0 1150 $1,148 $1.00 14d 6 1.29mi
711 W Dewey St Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1011 $925 $0.91 21d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,900 Active 76 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,900 Active 75 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,900 Active 74 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,900 Active 73 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $85,900 Active 71 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,900 Active 70 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $85,900 Active 68 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,900 Active 67 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,900 Active 66 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $85,900 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $82,500 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $82,500 Active 61 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $82,500 Active 60 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $82,500 Active 59 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $82,500 Active 58 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $82,500 Active 57 DOM
  17. 2026-05-16
    historical Accepting Backup Offers 869-char remark
    Show marketing remark (869 chars)

    STUNNING TOTAL RENOVATION! This solid 3-bedroom brick ranch has been completely transformed and is ready for its new owner. No detail was spared in this top-to-bottom update, featuring a brand-new roof on both the home and the garage, plus all-new windows throughout for maximum efficiency. Step inside to a bright, modern interior boasting a fully updated kitchen, stylish new flooring, a refreshed bathroom, and a crisp, contemporary paint palette. The living space extends to the newly finished basement, which serves as the ultimate entertainment hub - complete with a custom wet bar! Outside, enjoy the durability of the brick exterior and the convenience of off-street parking. Located minutes from schools, parks, and expressways, this home offers the perfect blend of modern luxury and commuter convenience. Seller financing available! Schedule your tour today!

  18. 2026-05-16
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (869 chars)

    STUNNING TOTAL RENOVATION! This solid 3-bedroom brick ranch has been completely transformed and is ready for its new owner. No detail was spared in this top-to-bottom update, featuring a brand-new roof on both the home and the garage, plus all-new windows throughout for maximum efficiency. Step inside to a bright, modern interior boasting a fully updated kitchen, stylish new flooring, a refreshed bathroom, and a crisp, contemporary paint palette. The living space extends to the newly finished basement, which serves as the ultimate entertainment hub - complete with a custom wet bar! Outside, enjoy the durability of the brick exterior and the convenience of off-street parking. Located minutes from schools, parks, and expressways, this home offers the perfect blend of modern luxury and commuter convenience. Seller financing available! Schedule your tour today!

  19. 2026-04-04
    listed $82,500 Active 869-char remark
    Show marketing remark (869 chars)

    STUNNING TOTAL RENOVATION! This solid 3-bedroom brick ranch has been completely transformed and is ready for its new owner. No detail was spared in this top-to-bottom update, featuring a brand-new roof on both the home and the garage, plus all-new windows throughout for maximum efficiency. Step inside to a bright, modern interior boasting a fully updated kitchen, stylish new flooring, a refreshed bathroom, and a crisp, contemporary paint palette. The living space extends to the newly finished basement, which serves as the ultimate entertainment hub - complete with a custom wet bar! Outside, enjoy the durability of the brick exterior and the convenience of off-street parking. Located minutes from schools, parks, and expressways, this home offers the perfect blend of modern luxury and commuter convenience. Seller financing available! Schedule your tour today!

  20. 2026-04-04
    listed $82,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (869 chars)

    STUNNING TOTAL RENOVATION! This solid 3-bedroom brick ranch has been completely transformed and is ready for its new owner. No detail was spared in this top-to-bottom update, featuring a brand-new roof on both the home and the garage, plus all-new windows throughout for maximum efficiency. Step inside to a bright, modern interior boasting a fully updated kitchen, stylish new flooring, a refreshed bathroom, and a crisp, contemporary paint palette. The living space extends to the newly finished basement, which serves as the ultimate entertainment hub - complete with a custom wet bar! Outside, enjoy the durability of the brick exterior and the convenience of off-street parking. Located minutes from schools, parks, and expressways, this home offers the perfect blend of modern luxury and commuter convenience. Seller financing available! Schedule your tour today!

  21. 2026-04-02
    historical $82,500 869-char remark
    Show marketing remark (869 chars)

    STUNNING TOTAL RENOVATION! This solid 3-bedroom brick ranch has been completely transformed and is ready for its new owner. No detail was spared in this top-to-bottom update, featuring a brand-new roof on both the home and the garage, plus all-new windows throughout for maximum efficiency. Step inside to a bright, modern interior boasting a fully updated kitchen, stylish new flooring, a refreshed bathroom, and a crisp, contemporary paint palette. The living space extends to the newly finished basement, which serves as the ultimate entertainment hub - complete with a custom wet bar! Outside, enjoy the durability of the brick exterior and the convenience of off-street parking. Located minutes from schools, parks, and expressways, this home offers the perfect blend of modern luxury and commuter convenience. Seller financing available! Schedule your tour today!

  22. 2025-12-15
    historical
  23. 2025-09-17
    price $85,900
  24. 2025-09-17
    price $85,900
  25. 2025-08-08
    listed $89,900 Active
  26. 2025-08-08
    listed $89,900 Active
  27. 2025-08-04
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,562 · $130/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,562 · $130/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,775
− Mortgage interest
−$4,812
− Property taxes
−$1,562
− Insurance
−$430
− Repairs & maintenance
−$942
− Management
−$942
− Depreciation
−$2,499
Taxable income
$589
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$141
After-tax cash flow
$1,764/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
City population
93,814
Population (ZIP)
23,873

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 24% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -101.67%
Current HPI
94.3111
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.2% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-16 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-04 Listed $82,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-04 Listed $82,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-02 Coming Soon $82,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-17 Price Changed $85,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-17 Price Changed $85,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-08 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-08 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-04 Coming Soon MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+7.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,562 · +62.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…