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39 Pollux Cir W
B Composite 71.94
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

39 Pollux Cir W · Portsmouth, VA 23701
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,143 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1941 $86/sqft · 52% below area Est $258k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in the heart of Portsmouth, this property offers a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to put their own touch on a home. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, and major commuting routes. Inside, you will find original hardwood flooring, carpeted bedrooms, and a kitchen that comes complete with appliances. The home features a generously sized family room just off the kitchen with a fireplace that creates a comfortable gathering space. The backyard offers plenty of room for outdoor activities, entertaining, or future improvements. With some updates and creativity, this property has strong potential to become a great home or investment.

Key facts

  • Fireplace
  • Built 1941
  • Listed 42 days

Tags

ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORINGKITCHEN WITH APPLIANCESGENEROUSLY SIZED FAMILY ROOMFIREPLACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $432 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $179k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.6% in Portsmouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#172 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Portsmouth City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #107 of 131 in VA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.9%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 300 units permitted in Portsmouth city in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,391/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 580% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $179,450 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
9.10%
Cash-on-cash
10.01%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$257,500
List price
$185,000
Delta
-28.16%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
41 Pollux Cir E 0.07mi 4/2.5 2,054 (-4%) 2mo $376,200 $183 88
4438 Winchester Dr 0.53mi 4/2.0 2,088 (-3%) 1mo $390,000 $187 68
117 Wyoming Ave 0.60mi 4/3.0 2,132 (-0%) 6mo $350,000 $164 64
4303 Scott St 0.63mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,100 (-2%) 2mo $350,000 $167 60
4323 Caroline Ave 0.62mi 4/2.0 2,300 (+7%) 1mo $306,000 $133 56
4125 Caroline Ave 0.67mi 4/2.0 2,209 (+3%) 8mo $340,000 $154 55
49 Greeneland Blvd 0.24mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,860 (-13%) 5mo $255,000 $137 52
4703 Valhalla Dr 0.70mi 4/2.0 2,000 (-7%) 5mo $295,000 $148 50
4316 Portsmouth Blvd 0.66mi 4/2.0 1,953 (-9%) 6mo $230,000 $118 47
3 California Ave 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,873 (-13%) 1mo $330,000 $176 46
4408 Winchester Dr 0.54mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,449 (+14%) 1mo $348,900 $142 43
4423 King St 0.75mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,882 (-12%) 7mo $316,400 $168 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.8%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$10,333
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
18.8%
Equity multiple
2.98×
Total profit
$102,554
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23701

Rents YoY
11.9%
Active inventory
167
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,391 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$410 /mo · $4,916/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$502
Net cashflow
$432

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,844
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $537 -5% $485 +0% $432 +5% $380 +10% $327
Rent -10% $243 -5% $338 +0% $432 +5% $527 +10% $621
Rate -1.0pp $525 -0.5pp $479 base $432 +0.5pp $384 +1.0pp $336

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4205 Dartmouth St Portsmouth, VA 4.0 3.5 2100 $2,400 $1.14 17d 1 0.68mi
318 Edgewood Rd Portsmouth, VA 3.0 1.0 1421 $2,300 $1.62 44d 1 0.87mi
1203 Baskerville Ln Portsmouth, VA 4.0 2.0 1550 $900 $0.58 24d 1 0.98mi
1203 Baskerville Ln Portsmouth, VA 4.0 2.0 1550 $2,300 $1.48 13d 1 0.98mi
119 Jacquelyn Dr Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.5 1800 $2,500 $1.39 24d 1 1.00mi
119 Jacquelyn Dr Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.5 1800 $2,250 $1.25 3d 1 1.00mi
300 Russell St Portsmouth, VA 3.0 1.5 1534 $2,250 $1.47 24d 1 1.12mi
3817 High St Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.0 1999 $2,300 $1.15 11d 1 1.27mi
3401 Brighton St Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.5 1439 $2,195 $1.53 3d 1 1.33mi
1507 Hodges Ferry Rd Portsmouth, VA 3.0 1.5 1827 $1,650 $0.90 44d 1 1.36mi
310 Sycamore Rd Portsmouth, VA 4.0 2.5 2759 $2,895 $1.05 24d 1 1.36mi
22 Radford St Portsmouth, VA 4.0 3.0 1651 $2,550 $1.54 3d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-05-16
    status Under Contract 670-char remark
    Show marketing remark (670 chars)

    Located in the heart of Portsmouth, this property offers a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to put their own touch on a home. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, and major commuting routes. Inside, you will find original hardwood flooring, carpeted bedrooms, and a kitchen that comes complete with appliances. The home features a generously sized family room just off the kitchen with a fireplace that creates a comfortable gathering space. The backyard offers plenty of room for outdoor activities, entertaining, or future improvements. With some updates and creativity, this property has strong potential to become a great home or investment.

  2. 2026-05-04
    price $185,000 670-char remark
    Show marketing remark (670 chars)

    Located in the heart of Portsmouth, this property offers a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to put their own touch on a home. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, and major commuting routes. Inside, you will find original hardwood flooring, carpeted bedrooms, and a kitchen that comes complete with appliances. The home features a generously sized family room just off the kitchen with a fireplace that creates a comfortable gathering space. The backyard offers plenty of room for outdoor activities, entertaining, or future improvements. With some updates and creativity, this property has strong potential to become a great home or investment.

  3. 2026-04-28
    status Active 670-char remark
    Show marketing remark (670 chars)

    Located in the heart of Portsmouth, this property offers a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to put their own touch on a home. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, and major commuting routes. Inside, you will find original hardwood flooring, carpeted bedrooms, and a kitchen that comes complete with appliances. The home features a generously sized family room just off the kitchen with a fireplace that creates a comfortable gathering space. The backyard offers plenty of room for outdoor activities, entertaining, or future improvements. With some updates and creativity, this property has strong potential to become a great home or investment.

  4. 2026-04-10
    status Under Contract 670-char remark
    Show marketing remark (670 chars)

    Located in the heart of Portsmouth, this property offers a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to put their own touch on a home. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, and major commuting routes. Inside, you will find original hardwood flooring, carpeted bedrooms, and a kitchen that comes complete with appliances. The home features a generously sized family room just off the kitchen with a fireplace that creates a comfortable gathering space. The backyard offers plenty of room for outdoor activities, entertaining, or future improvements. With some updates and creativity, this property has strong potential to become a great home or investment.

  5. 2026-04-02
    price $199,000 670-char remark
    Show marketing remark (670 chars)

    Located in the heart of Portsmouth, this property offers a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to put their own touch on a home. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, and major commuting routes. Inside, you will find original hardwood flooring, carpeted bedrooms, and a kitchen that comes complete with appliances. The home features a generously sized family room just off the kitchen with a fireplace that creates a comfortable gathering space. The backyard offers plenty of room for outdoor activities, entertaining, or future improvements. With some updates and creativity, this property has strong potential to become a great home or investment.

  6. 2026-03-24
    price $205,000 670-char remark
    Show marketing remark (670 chars)

    Located in the heart of Portsmouth, this property offers a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to put their own touch on a home. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, and major commuting routes. Inside, you will find original hardwood flooring, carpeted bedrooms, and a kitchen that comes complete with appliances. The home features a generously sized family room just off the kitchen with a fireplace that creates a comfortable gathering space. The backyard offers plenty of room for outdoor activities, entertaining, or future improvements. With some updates and creativity, this property has strong potential to become a great home or investment.

  7. 2026-03-17
    listed $215,000 Active 670-char remark
    Show marketing remark (670 chars)

    Located in the heart of Portsmouth, this property offers a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to put their own touch on a home. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, and major commuting routes. Inside, you will find original hardwood flooring, carpeted bedrooms, and a kitchen that comes complete with appliances. The home features a generously sized family room just off the kitchen with a fireplace that creates a comfortable gathering space. The backyard offers plenty of room for outdoor activities, entertaining, or future improvements. With some updates and creativity, this property has strong potential to become a great home or investment.

  8. 2021-05-18
    soldstatus $300,000
  9. 2021-04-15
    status Under Contract
  10. 2021-04-14
    status Active
  11. 2021-03-25
    status Under Contract
  12. 2021-03-24
    listed $287,000 Active
  13. 2020-06-18
    soldstatus $267,300
  14. 2020-05-25
    status Under Contract
  15. 2020-04-09
    historical Active Under Contract
  16. 2020-04-03
    listed $279,900 Active
  17. 2019-06-03
    status Under Contract
  18. 2019-05-28
    listed $45,000 Active
  19. 2018-01-29
    status Under Contract
  20. 2017-11-16
    listed $130,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,916 · $410/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,916 · $410/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 57% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,695
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$4,916
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,296
− Management
−$2,296
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable income
$2,519
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$604
After-tax cash flow
$4,582/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Portsmouth City Public School District
NCES district ID
5103000
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -40.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$46,152
Composite
39.01/100
National rank
#4071
State rank
#107 of 131 in VA

Livability — Portsmouth

Score
73/100
State rank
#172
US rank
#5381

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Portsmouth, VA
County
Portsmouth City · 96,366 people
City population
96,366
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
24,298
Household income
$62,349
Rent vs Own
31.0% rent · 69.0% own
Severe rent burden
580.0

Population outlook (Portsmouth County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
96,730 people
By 2030
96,760 · +0.0%
By 2040
96,573 · -0.2%
By 2050
95,606 · -1.2%
By 2075
93,579 · -3.3%
By 2100
83,756 · -13.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 52% White 39% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Portsmouth

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.6) · D 68.6% · R 30.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-0.7pp no change · 2008: 39.3pp · 2024: 38.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.6 2020: D+40.8 2016: D+36.5 2012: D+39.6 2008: D+39.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -218.96%
Current HPI
310.8218
Rent YoY
▲ 11.92%
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+42.3% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Pending REINMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $185,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted REINMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Pending REINMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $199,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $205,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $215,000 REINMLS
  • 2021-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
  • 2021-04-15 Pending REINMLS
  • 2021-04-14 Relisted REINMLS
  • 2021-03-25 Pending REINMLS
  • 2021-03-24 Listed $287,000 REINMLS
  • 2020-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $267,300 Public Records
  • 2020-05-25 Pending REINMLS
  • 2020-04-09 Contingent REINMLS
  • 2020-04-03 Listed $279,900 REINMLS
  • 2019-06-03 Pending REINMLS
  • 2019-05-28 Listed $45,000 REINMLS
  • 2018-01-29 Pending REINMLS
  • 2017-11-16 Listed $130,000 REINMLS

Property tax history

+11.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,916 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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