5309 Marja St · Flint, MI 48505

$14,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,313 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market

Built 1952 5,227 sqft lot

---

Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +6.3/10.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.1/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Investor special! 3 bedroom ranch with full basement on decent sized lot. Home needs work. big backyard. Fenced in area for dog. Sold as is.

Key facts

• Fenced in area
• Big backyard
• Full basement

Tags

• FULL BASEMENT
• BIG BACKYARD
• FENCED IN AREA

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: No garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
• Construction: Block foundation
• Exterior features: Private maintained road access; Private road frontage; Lot approximately 0.12 acres (50 x 100)

Interior

• Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (bedrooms included)
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
• Interior features: Unfinished basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $706 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
• Recommended offer: $15k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 63.2% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
• Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $501 of equity ($103 loan paydown + $398 appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
• Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($15k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 10 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $14,676 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 6.87% ✓
• Cap rate: 63.15%
• Cash-on-cash: 203.07%
• DSCR: 10.04
• GRM: 1.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $51,207
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
5705 Winthrop Blvd	0.21mi	3/1.0	1,375 (+5%)	4mo	$55,000	$40	79
5913 Glenn Ave	0.34mi	3/1.5	1,272 (-3%)	4mo	$35,000	$28	73
4911 Birchcrest Dr	0.57mi	3/2.0	1,310 (-0%)	0mo	$30,000	$23	69
1323 Chatham Dr	0.51mi	3/1.5	1,374 (+5%)	2mo	$51,000	$37	65
5714 Suburban Ct	0.45mi	3/1.0	1,426 (+9%)	3mo	$63,500	$45	62
5302 Susan St	0.08mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,508 (+15%)	6mo	$53,000	$35	62
609 W Marengo Ave	0.48mi	3/1.0	1,412 (+8%)	7mo	$55,000	$39	59
5709 Suburban Ct	0.42mi	3/1.5	1,440 (+10%)	8mo	$74,900	$52	56
606 Stewart Ave	0.71mi	3/2.0	1,375 (+5%)	3mo	$5,000	$4	53
6611 Sally Ct	0.62mi	3/1.0	1,120 (-15%)	2mo	$21,420	$19	45
6610 Cranwood Dr	0.72mi	3/2.0	1,452 (+11%)	5mo	$78,000	$54	41
618 W Austin Ave	0.65mi	4/1.5 (+1)	1,500 (+14%)	3mo	$85,900	$57	37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 12.15×
• Total profit: $46,520
• Equity at exit: $6,428

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 25.67×
• Total profit: $102,936
• Equity at exit: $9,700

Cash invested: $4,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 48505

• Home prices YoY: 1.3%
• Active inventory: 99
• Price-to-rent: 1.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,024 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$78
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$19 /mo · $224/yr
• Insurance: −$6
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$215
• Net cashflow: $706

Break-even live

Break-even rent $130

Max offer price $14,900

Occupancy floor 26%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $3,725
• Closing costs: $447
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 8 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
5413 DuPont St Flint, MI	4.0	1.5	1038	$900	$0.87	21d	1	0.35mi
5813 Edwards Ave Flint, MI	3.0	1.0	1500	$899	$0.60	13d	1	0.40mi
5905 Griggs Dr Flint, MI	3.0	1.0	940	$1,000	$1.06	13d	1	0.42mi
411 W Marengo Ave Flint, MI	3.0	1.0	1350	$1,072	$0.79	13d	1	0.63mi
100 Rosewood Mnr Flint, MI	2.0	1.5	1159	$947	$0.82	13d	1	0.75mi
6802 DuPont St Flint, MI	3.0	1.0	1200	$1,000	$0.83	21d	1	0.85mi
514 W Alma Ave Flint, MI	3.0	1.0	894	$925	$1.03	13d	1	0.93mi
711 W Dewey St Flint, MI	3.0	1.0	1011	$925	$0.91	21d	1	1.21mi

Listing history 23 events

1. 2026-06-03
   status $14,900 Pending 18 DOM
2. 2026-06-02
   days on market $14,900 Active 18 DOM
3. 2026-06-01
   days on market $14,900 Active 17 DOM
4. 2026-05-31
   days on market $14,900 Active 16 DOM
5. 2026-05-30
   days on market $14,900 Active 15 DOM
6. 2026-05-15
   listed $14,900 Active 140-char remark

   Show marketing remark (140 chars)

   Investor special! 3 bedroom ranch with full basement on decent sized lot. Home needs work. big backyard. Fenced in area for dog. Sold as is.

7. 2026-05-15
   listed $14,900 Active

   Show marketing remark (140 chars)

   Investor special! 3 bedroom ranch with full basement on decent sized lot. Home needs work. big backyard. Fenced in area for dog. Sold as is.

8. 2015-04-23
   historical
9. 2015-04-21
   historical
10. 2015-03-03
    listed $7,000
11. 2015-03-03
    listed $7,000
12. 2010-12-06
    historical
13. 2010-12-06
    historical
14. 2010-12-03
    historical
15. 2009-03-24
    historical
16. 2008-09-24
    listed $45,500
17. 2008-09-24
    listed $45,500
18. 2004-02-22
    historical
19. 2003-08-25
    listed $52,300
20. 2003-08-25
    listed $52,300
21. 2003-06-12
    historical
22. 2002-11-12
    listed $57,900
23. 2002-11-12
    listed $57,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,288
• − Mortgage interest: −$835
• − Property taxes: −$224
• − Insurance: −$74
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$983
• − Management: −$983
• − Depreciation: −$433
• Taxable income: $8,756
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,101
• After-tax cash flow: $6,371/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Flint School District
• NCES district ID: 2614520
• Math proficiency: 7% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 13% ▲ 3.00%
• Median HH income: $25,954
• Composite: 10.97/100
• National rank: #14642
• State rank: #714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #196
• US rank: #4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Flint, MI
• County: Genesee County · 221,329 people
• City population: 93,814
• Metro: Flint, MI
• Population (ZIP): 18,032
• Household income: $33,283
• Rent vs Own: 51.7% rent · 48.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 960.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 381,312 people
• By 2030: 362,731 · -4.9%
• By 2040: 321,550 · -15.7%
• By 2050: 279,212 · -26.8%
• By 2075: 193,336 · -49.3%
• By 2100: 128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (79%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 79% White 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 2.67%
• Current HPI: 202.4878
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Flint, MI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B

Price history

-74.3% since first listed

18 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-15 Listed $14,900 REALCOMP
• 2026-05-15 Listed $14,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2015-04-23 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2015-04-21 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
• 2015-03-03 Listed $7,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2015-03-03 Listed $7,000 REALCOMP
• 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
• 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
• 2010-12-03 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
• 2009-03-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2008-09-24 Listed $45,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2008-09-24 Listed $45,500 REALCOMP
• 2004-02-22 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2003-08-25 Listed $52,300 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2003-08-25 Listed $52,300 REALCOMP
• 2003-06-12 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2002-11-12 Listed $57,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2002-11-12 Listed $57,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,163 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.