12178 Yancy St NE Unit B · Blaine, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
WOW Buyers - come take a look now! Newer carpet up, newer paint throughout! Park in your 2 stall garage and walk into the kitchen featuring a center island! Open concept floor plan with a front porch that looks at the pond! Lots of walking trails throughout, and a beach and park are just blocks away! The location is fantastic - close to Hwy 65, with lots of restaurants, and shopping! Come purchase your new home now - most likely cheaper than your rent! Investors - this is a great unit as well!! Located in the sought-after The Lakes of Radisson Community, Crown Meadows HOA. There is an additional Lakes of Radisson Master Association additional yearly fee of $404.
Key facts
- Front porch
- Center island
- Walking trails
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is approximately 24 x 74 with city street frontage, curbs, paved streets, and street lights; road is association maintained
- HOA & community: HOA managed by RG Property Services; Monthly association fee; Association amenities include beach access, dock, and in-ground sprinkler system; Association fee covers beach access, hazard insurance, lawn care, grounds maintenance, professional management, shared amenities, and snow removal
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with automatic door opener; 2-car garage (approximately 23 x 19.5, 7' door height, 16' door width)
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas
- Home design: Attached residential property; Two levels; Entry on main level
- Construction: Block construction; Slab foundation; Built above grade (1,406 finished area total)
- Exterior features: Front porch; Stone and vinyl exterior; Pond on property; No fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with center island; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (one on the upper level)
- Bathrooms: One full bath (upper level); One half bath (main floor)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Natural woodwork; Water softener (owned); Air-to-air exchanger; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Upper-level laundry room; Washer and dryer included; Washer/dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-32 ($-385/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $269k (2.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $254k (7.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $254k (7.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.0% in Blaine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#315 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Spring Lake Park Public Schools (suburban): math 41% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #162 of 301 in MN (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Woodcrest El. Spanish Immersion (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #423 of 857 statewide, top 55%, 542 students, 37% FRL); Westwood Intermediate & Middle Sch (math 34% / reading 54%, grade D, #126 of 258 statewide, top 49%, 1,691 students, 49% FRL); Spring Lake Park Senior High (math 47% / reading 32%, grade F, #246 of 471 statewide, top 59%, 1,947 students, 46% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 245 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,083 units permitted in Anoka County in 2024 (134 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Anoka County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.50%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-42,793
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-23,809
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55449
- Home prices YoY
- -23.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 245
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,545 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$246 /mo · $2,949/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$240
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$534
- Net cashflow
- $-32
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $124 | -5% $46 | +0% $-32 | +5% $-110 | +10% $-188 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-233 | -5% $-133 | +0% $-32 | +5% $68 | +10% $169 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $106 | -0.5pp $38 | base $-32 | +0.5pp $-103 | +1.0pp $-176 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12210 Urbank St NE Unit B Blaine, MN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1632 | $2,295 | $1.41 | 0d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 2444 120th Ln NE Blaine, MN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1858 | $3,345 | $1.80 | 0d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2445 120th Cir NE Blaine, MN | 2.0–4.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1894 | $2,795 | $1.48 | 0d | 18 | 1.05mi |
| 1558 126th Ave NE Unit 1545 Blaine, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,675 | $1.73 | 5d | 1 | 1.30mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $240 · $2,880/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $275,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $275,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $275,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $275,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $275,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $275,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $280,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $280,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $280,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $280,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $280,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $280,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $280,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $280,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27$280,000 Active
-
2025-07-14historical $2,195
-
2025-06-14$2,195
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,949 · $246/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,014 · $251/mo
- Expected delta
- +$66/yr (+$5/mo · 2.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,537
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$2,949
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,443
- − Management
- −$2,443
- − HOA
- −$2,880
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$4,957
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,190
- After-tax cash flow
- $805/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Spring Lake Park Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2733330
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,602
- Composite
- 40.11/100
- National rank
- #3802
- State rank
- #162 of 301 in MN
Livability — Blaine
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #315
- US rank
- #7073
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Blaine, MN
- County
- Anoka County · 277,116 people
- City population
- 67,472
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,443
- Household income
- $131,832
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 275.0
Population outlook (Anoka County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 375,223 people
- By 2030
- 387,850 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 407,239 · +8.5%
- By 2050
- 417,541 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 448,447 · +19.5%
- By 2100
- 464,954 · +23.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Asian 10% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 10% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Arabic 4% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Anoka
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.0% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: -4.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+9.7 2012: R+2.6 2008: R+2.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.24%
- Current HPI
- 225.2348
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.42%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+12656.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $280,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-14 Rental Removed $2,195 Avail
- 2025-06-14 Listed for Rent $2,195 Avail
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2026): $2,949 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…