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12178 Yancy St NE Unit B
D Composite 41.86
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

12178 Yancy St NE Unit B · Blaine, MN 55449
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,406 sqft · Townhouse public records · 25 Days on market
Built 2004 1,742 sqft lot $240/mo HOA · 9% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

WOW Buyers - come take a look now! Newer carpet up, newer paint throughout! Park in your 2 stall garage and walk into the kitchen featuring a center island! Open concept floor plan with a front porch that looks at the pond! Lots of walking trails throughout, and a beach and park are just blocks away! The location is fantastic - close to Hwy 65, with lots of restaurants, and shopping! Come purchase your new home now - most likely cheaper than your rent! Investors - this is a great unit as well!! Located in the sought-after The Lakes of Radisson Community, Crown Meadows HOA. There is an additional Lakes of Radisson Master Association additional yearly fee of $404.

Key facts

  • Front porch
  • Center island
  • Walking trails

Tags

CENTER ISLANDOPEN CONCEPT FLOOR PLANFRONT PORCHWALKING TRAILSSOUGHT-AFTER COMMUNITY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is approximately 24 x 74 with city street frontage, curbs, paved streets, and street lights; road is association maintained
  • HOA & community: HOA managed by RG Property Services; Monthly association fee; Association amenities include beach access, dock, and in-ground sprinkler system; Association fee covers beach access, hazard insurance, lawn care, grounds maintenance, professional management, shared amenities, and snow removal

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with automatic door opener; 2-car garage (approximately 23 x 19.5, 7' door height, 16' door width)
  • Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas
  • Home design: Attached residential property; Two levels; Entry on main level
  • Construction: Block construction; Slab foundation; Built above grade (1,406 finished area total)
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Stone and vinyl exterior; Pond on property; No fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with center island; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (one on the upper level)
  • Bathrooms: One full bath (upper level); One half bath (main floor)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Natural woodwork; Water softener (owned); Air-to-air exchanger; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Upper-level laundry room; Washer and dryer included; Washer/dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-32 ($-385/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $269k (2.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $254k (7.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $254k (7.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.0% in Blaine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#315 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Spring Lake Park Public Schools (suburban): math 41% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #162 of 301 in MN (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Woodcrest El. Spanish Immersion (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #423 of 857 statewide, top 55%, 542 students, 37% FRL); Westwood Intermediate & Middle Sch (math 34% / reading 54%, grade D, #126 of 258 statewide, top 49%, 1,691 students, 49% FRL); Spring Lake Park Senior High (math 47% / reading 32%, grade F, #246 of 471 statewide, top 59%, 1,947 students, 46% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 245 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,083 units permitted in Anoka County in 2024 (134 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Anoka County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $254,477 (7.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.15%
Cash-on-cash
-0.50%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.4%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-42,793
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
-4.4%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-23,809
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55449

Home prices YoY
-23.8%
Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
245
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,545 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$246 /mo · $2,949/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$240
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$534
Net cashflow
$-32

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,585
Max offer price $269,332
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $124 -5% $46 +0% $-32 +5% $-110 +10% $-188
Rent -10% $-233 -5% $-133 +0% $-32 +5% $68 +10% $169
Rate -1.0pp $106 -0.5pp $38 base $-32 +0.5pp $-103 +1.0pp $-176

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12210 Urbank St NE Unit B Blaine, MN 2.0 1.5 1632 $2,295 $1.41 0d 1 0.18mi
2444 120th Ln NE Blaine, MN 3.0 2.5 1858 $3,345 $1.80 0d 1 0.29mi
2445 120th Cir NE Blaine, MN 2.0–4.0 2.5–3.5 1894 $2,795 $1.48 0d 18 1.05mi
1558 126th Ave NE Unit 1545 Blaine, MN 3.0 1.0 970 $1,675 $1.73 5d 1 1.30mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$240 · $2,880/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $275,000 Active 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $275,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $275,000 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $275,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $275,000 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $275,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $280,000 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $280,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $280,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $280,000 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $280,000 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $280,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $280,000 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $280,000 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-27
    listed $280,000 Active
  16. 2025-07-14
    historical $2,195
  17. 2025-06-14
    listed $2,195

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,949 · $246/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,014 · $251/mo
Expected delta
+$66/yr (+$5/mo · 2.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,537
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$2,949
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,443
− Management
−$2,443
− HOA
−$2,880
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$4,957
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,190
After-tax cash flow
$805/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Spring Lake Park Public Schools
NCES district ID
2733330
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$65,602
Composite
40.11/100
National rank
#3802
State rank
#162 of 301 in MN

Livability — Blaine

Score
71/100
State rank
#315
US rank
#7073

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Blaine, MN
County
Anoka County · 277,116 people
City population
67,472
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
34,443
Household income
$131,832
Rent vs Own
12.1% rent · 87.9% own
Severe rent burden
275.0

Population outlook (Anoka County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
375,223 people
By 2030
387,850 · +3.4%
By 2040
407,239 · +8.5%
By 2050
417,541 · +11.3%
By 2075
448,447 · +19.5%
By 2100
464,954 · +23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Asian 10% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
79% English-only · Arabic 4% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Anoka

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.0% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: -4.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: R+9.7 2012: R+2.6 2008: R+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -70.24%
Current HPI
225.2348
Rent YoY
▲ 4.42%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+12656.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $280,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-14 Rental Removed $2,195 Avail
  • 2025-06-14 Listed for Rent $2,195 Avail

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,949 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…