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439 Morgan Ave
B+ Composite 78.31
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

439 Morgan Ave · Pottsville, PA 17901
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,665 sqft · Townhouse public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1920 1,307 sqft lot Est $92k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This corporate owned property located in Pottsville, PA is being sold As Is. No Sellers disclosure. Buyer is encouraged to complete any inspections prior to writing an offer; buyer is responsible for de-winterizing property for inspections if needed and utilities if they are not already on. Buyer and buyer's agent are responsible for coordinating any inspections. Please see instructions posted in property for offer presentation.

Key facts

  • Simple layout
  • Convenient location
  • Steady rental use

Tags

CONVENIENT LOCATIONSTEADY RENTAL USESIMPLE LAYOUT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership is fee simple; Estimated finished area above grade: 1,440; Estimated below-grade unfinished area: 660

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 Amp electrical service; Above-ground utilities
  • Home design: Semi-detached; Estimated year built
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Above-grade other structures
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Lot dimensions approximately 15.00 x 75.00

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level (Bedroom 1, Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Sun/Florida room; Office; Dining room; Living room; Outside entrance to basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup on the main floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $696 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Cap rate 19.1% vs local median 7.5% in Pottsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#442 in PA, #4,025 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
  • Pottsville Area SD (town): math 29% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #395 of 539 in PA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lengel Ms (math 22% / reading 43%, grade F, #355 of 512 statewide, top 70%, 699 students, 66% FRL); Pottsville Area Hs (math 52% / reading 74%, grade B-, #69 of 437 statewide, top 16%, 898 students, 57% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 177 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $65k implies a 348% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $65,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.26%
Cap rate
19.15%
Cash-on-cash
45.91%
DSCR
3.04
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$91,575
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
713 N 3rd St 0.07mi 4/1.0 1,559 (-6%) 6mo $136,000 $87 73
222 Fairview St 0.11mi 4/1.0 1,884 (+13%) 4mo $50,000 $27 62
1017 Laurel Blvd 0.37mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,596 (-4%) 6mo $50,000 $31 58
292 N 8th St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,527 (-8%) 6mo $58,000 $38 51
519 Greenwood Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,678 (+1%) 2mo $133,000 $79 50
1101 W Norwegian St 0.57mi 5/1.5 (+1) 1,732 (+4%) 6mo $130,000 $75 50
621 Laurel Blvd 0.25mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,889 (+14%) 7mo $95,000 $50 47
714 W Norwegian St 0.47mi 5/1.0 (+1) 1,808 (+9%) 8mo $100,000 $55 45
855 Water St 0.53mi 4/2.0 1,910 (+15%) 6mo $141,000 $74 41
306 S 2nd St 0.62mi 4/1.0 1,432 (-14%) 1mo $60,000 $42 39
243 Pierce St 0.64mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,448 (-13%) 1mo $76,000 $52 36
1222 W Market St W 0.58mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,456 (-13%) 5mo $130,000 $89 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.7% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
46.2%
Equity multiple
3.08×
Total profit
$37,935
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
53.2%
Equity multiple
6.93×
Total profit
$107,997
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17901

Home prices YoY
-21.2%
Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
177
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,466 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$308
Net cashflow
$696

Break-even live

Break-even rent $584
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $733 -5% $715 +0% $696 +5% $678 +10% $660
Rent -10% $581 -5% $638 +0% $696 +5% $754 +10% $812
Rate -1.0pp $729 -0.5pp $713 base $696 +0.5pp $679 +1.0pp $662

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
210 Harrison St Pottsville, PA 3.0 1.0 1078 $1,200 $1.11 45d 1 0.16mi
321 N 3rd St Pottsville, PA 4.0 1.5 1260 $1,400 $1.11 45d 1 0.24mi
631 W Race St Pottsville, PA 3.0 1.0 1340 $1,200 $0.90 45d 1 0.29mi
517 W Norwegian St Pottsville, PA 5.0 1.5 2006 $1,500 $0.75 45d 1 0.43mi
1023 W Market St Pottsville, PA 3.0 1.0 1950 $1,100 $0.56 45d 1 0.50mi
426 Adams St Pottsville, PA 3.0 1.0 1104 $1,350 $1.22 45d 1 0.60mi
525 E Market St Pottsville, PA 4.0 1.0 1120 $1,250 $1.12 45d 1 0.61mi
1132 Mahantongo St Pottsville, PA 5.0 1.5 1569 $1,800 $1.15 45d 1 0.61mi
119 S 11th St Pottsville, PA 3.0 1.5 1140 $1,450 $1.27 45d 1 0.62mi
8 N Wolfe St Pottsville, PA 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,795 $1.42 45d 1 0.70mi
2063 King Ave Pottsville, PA 3.0 2.5 1656 $1,600 $0.97 45d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $65,000 Pending 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $65,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-05-26
    listed $65,000 Active
  8. 2005-12-29
    soldstatus $14,500 432-char remark
    Show marketing remark (432 chars)

    This corporate owned property located in Pottsville, PA is being sold As Is. No Sellers disclosure. Buyer is encouraged to complete any inspections prior to writing an offer; buyer is responsible for de-winterizing property for inspections if needed and utilities if they are not already on. Buyer and buyer's agent are responsible for coordinating any inspections. Please see instructions posted in property for offer presentation.

  9. 2005-11-02
    listed $16,055 432-char remark
    Show marketing remark (432 chars)

    This corporate owned property located in Pottsville, PA is being sold As Is. No Sellers disclosure. Buyer is encouraged to complete any inspections prior to writing an offer; buyer is responsible for de-winterizing property for inspections if needed and utilities if they are not already on. Buyer and buyer's agent are responsible for coordinating any inspections. Please see instructions posted in property for offer presentation.

  10. 2005-11-02
    historical
    Show marketing remark (432 chars)

    This corporate owned property located in Pottsville, PA is being sold As Is. No Sellers disclosure. Buyer is encouraged to complete any inspections prior to writing an offer; buyer is responsible for de-winterizing property for inspections if needed and utilities if they are not already on. Buyer and buyer's agent are responsible for coordinating any inspections. Please see instructions posted in property for offer presentation.

  11. 2005-11-01
    listed $16,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,125 · $94/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,125 · $94/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,590
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$1,125
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,407
− Management
−$1,407
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$7,794
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,870
After-tax cash flow
$6,485/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pottsville Area SD
NCES district ID
4219710
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$39,157
Composite
31.32/100
National rank
#6002
State rank
#395 of 539 in PA

Livability — Pottsville

Score
75/100
State rank
#442
US rank
#4025

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pottsville, PA
County
Schuylkill County · 22,371 people
City population
22,371
Metro
Pottsville, PA
Population (ZIP)
22,371
Household income
$62,484
Rent vs Own
29.9% rent · 70.1% own
Severe rent burden
622.0

Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
137,447 people
By 2030
133,121 · -3.1%
By 2040
124,172 · -9.7%
By 2050
115,611 · -15.9%
By 2075
100,796 · -26.7%
By 2100
86,667 · -36.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Iranian 5% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.14%
Current HPI
200.6516
Rent YoY
▲ 5.70%
Metro
Pottsville, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+284.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-12-29 Sold (MLS) $14,500 GLVRMLS
  • 2005-11-02 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2005-11-02 Listed $16,055 GLVRMLS
  • 2005-11-01 Listed $16,900 GLVRMLS

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,125 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…