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5115 Gibbs Rd
D Composite 41.27
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.1/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.2/30.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

5115 Gibbs Rd · Avon, IN 46168
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,232 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1969 0.73 ac lot $223/sqft · 13% below area Est $314k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Enjoy country living, but not too far from shopping? This is the one! Enjoy the country setting on .73 acres and be downtown Plainfield within only 5 minutes. Great starter or rightsizing home that has been well loved and cared for. Offering 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, 1,232 sq ft, brick ranch. Move-in ready with gorgeous hardwood flooring, newer remodeled bath with tile, and a breakfast room with sliding glass door to back patio for grilling and outside entertaining convenience. Back yard is partially fenced for the little ones and / or your fur babies.

Key facts

  • Private backyard
  • Natural light
  • No hoa

Tags

PEACEFUL COUNTRY SETTINGNO HOAPRIVATE BACKYARDNEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESBEAUTIFUL HARDWOOD FLOORSNATURAL LIGHT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car, 336 sq ft)
  • Utilities: Private water source; Septic system
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Brick construction; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Mini barn; Exterior storage; Partial fencing; Yard with mature trees

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Microwave with hood; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (propane); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Hardwood floors; Water softener (owned)
  • Laundry & utility: Water softener (owned)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-208 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (13.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (29.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $195k (29.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.8% in Avon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#75 in IN, #4,686 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Avon Community School Corporation (suburban): math 51% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #32 of 301 in IN (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Avon High School (math 44% / reading 76%, grade C+, #46 of 369 statewide, top 13%, 3,348 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 38% FRL vs 20% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 284 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,294 units permitted in Hendricks County in 2024 (18 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hendricks County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $195,329 (29.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
5.39%
Cash-on-cash
-3.24%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
11.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$314,382
List price
$275,000
Delta
-12.53%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5115 Gibbs Rd 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,232 (0%) 0mo $270,000 $219 100

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.1%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-56,573
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
-13.3%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-61,212
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46168

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
284
Price-to-rent
11.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,953 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$194 /mo · $2,330/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$410
Net cashflow
$-208

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,216
Max offer price $238,292
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4487 Connaught East Dr Plainfield, IN 3.0 2.5 1352 $1,905 $1.41 2d 1 1.31mi
4518 Redcliff South Ln Plainfield, IN 3.0 2.5 1423 $1,769 $1.24 2d 1 1.39mi
4525 Connaught East Dr Plainfield, IN 3.0 2.5 1470 $1,919 $1.31 2d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-03
    status Pending 1010-char remark
  2. 2026-04-27
    listed $275,000 Active 1010-char remark
  3. 2023-01-26
    soldstatus $237,900 Closed 564-char remark
    Show marketing remark (564 chars)

    Enjoy country living, but not too far from shopping? This is the one! Enjoy the country setting on .73 acres and be downtown Plainfield within only 5 minutes. Great starter or rightsizing home that has been well loved and cared for. Offering 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, 1,232 sq ft, brick ranch. Move-in ready with gorgeous hardwood flooring, newer remodeled bath with tile, and a breakfast room with sliding glass door to back patio for grilling and outside entertaining convenience. Back yard is partially fenced for the little ones and / or your fur babies.

  4. 2023-01-24
    status Pending 564-char remark
    Show marketing remark (564 chars)

    Enjoy country living, but not too far from shopping? This is the one! Enjoy the country setting on .73 acres and be downtown Plainfield within only 5 minutes. Great starter or rightsizing home that has been well loved and cared for. Offering 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, 1,232 sq ft, brick ranch. Move-in ready with gorgeous hardwood flooring, newer remodeled bath with tile, and a breakfast room with sliding glass door to back patio for grilling and outside entertaining convenience. Back yard is partially fenced for the little ones and / or your fur babies.

  5. 2023-01-24
    listed $234,900 Active 564-char remark
    Show marketing remark (564 chars)

    Enjoy country living, but not too far from shopping? This is the one! Enjoy the country setting on .73 acres and be downtown Plainfield within only 5 minutes. Great starter or rightsizing home that has been well loved and cared for. Offering 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, 1,232 sq ft, brick ranch. Move-in ready with gorgeous hardwood flooring, newer remodeled bath with tile, and a breakfast room with sliding glass door to back patio for grilling and outside entertaining convenience. Back yard is partially fenced for the little ones and / or your fur babies.

  6. 2023-01-10
    soldstatus $237,900 Closed 564-char remark
    Show marketing remark (564 chars)

    Enjoy country living, but not too far from shopping? This is the one! Enjoy the country setting on .73 acres and be downtown Plainfield within only 5 minutes. Great starter or rightsizing home that has been well loved and cared for. Offering 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, 1,232 sq ft, brick ranch. Move-in ready with gorgeous hardwood flooring, newer remodeled bath with tile, and a breakfast room with sliding glass door to back patio for grilling and outside entertaining convenience. Back yard is partially fenced for the little ones and / or your fur babies.

  7. 2022-12-14
    status Pending 564-char remark
    Show marketing remark (564 chars)

    Enjoy country living, but not too far from shopping? This is the one! Enjoy the country setting on .73 acres and be downtown Plainfield within only 5 minutes. Great starter or rightsizing home that has been well loved and cared for. Offering 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, 1,232 sq ft, brick ranch. Move-in ready with gorgeous hardwood flooring, newer remodeled bath with tile, and a breakfast room with sliding glass door to back patio for grilling and outside entertaining convenience. Back yard is partially fenced for the little ones and / or your fur babies.

  8. 2022-11-14
    listed $234,900 Active 564-char remark
    Show marketing remark (564 chars)

    Enjoy country living, but not too far from shopping? This is the one! Enjoy the country setting on .73 acres and be downtown Plainfield within only 5 minutes. Great starter or rightsizing home that has been well loved and cared for. Offering 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, 1,232 sq ft, brick ranch. Move-in ready with gorgeous hardwood flooring, newer remodeled bath with tile, and a breakfast room with sliding glass door to back patio for grilling and outside entertaining convenience. Back yard is partially fenced for the little ones and / or your fur babies.

  9. 2001-09-13
    soldstatus $99,900
    Show marketing remark (363 chars)

    ESCAPE TO PEACEFUL COUNTRY LIVING. THIS THREE BEDROOM TWO BATH BRICK RANCH IS LOCATED IN THE COUNTRY, YET MINUTES FROM US 36 AND US 40. WELL MAINTAINED, YOU WILL LOVE THE PLUSH BEIGE CARPET IN THE LIVING ROOM, AND UPDA TED KITCHEN WITH BREAKFAST BAR. HARDWOOD FLOORS AND SPACIOUS BEDRMS CALL NOW,SEE IT TODAY!******ALL OFFERS ARE SUBJECT TO BANK APPROVAL********

  10. 2001-01-19
    listed $104,900
    Show marketing remark (363 chars)

    ESCAPE TO PEACEFUL COUNTRY LIVING. THIS THREE BEDROOM TWO BATH BRICK RANCH IS LOCATED IN THE COUNTRY, YET MINUTES FROM US 36 AND US 40. WELL MAINTAINED, YOU WILL LOVE THE PLUSH BEIGE CARPET IN THE LIVING ROOM, AND UPDA TED KITCHEN WITH BREAKFAST BAR. HARDWOOD FLOORS AND SPACIOUS BEDRMS CALL NOW,SEE IT TODAY!******ALL OFFERS ARE SUBJECT TO BANK APPROVAL********

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,330 · $194/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,334 · $194/mo
Expected delta
+$4/yr ($0/mo · 0.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,439
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$2,330
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,875
− Management
−$1,875
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$7,420
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,781
After-tax cash flow
$-713/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Avon Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1800270
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$75,987
Composite
46.93/100
National rank
#2362
State rank
#32 of 301 in IN

Livability — Avon

Score
74/100
State rank
#75
US rank
#4686

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Avon, IN
County
Hendricks County · 143,373 people
City population
43,353
Metro
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
Population (ZIP)
38,826
Household income
$90,000
Rent vs Own
33.4% rent · 66.6% own
Severe rent burden
1029.0

Population outlook (Hendricks County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,418 people
By 2030
201,494 · +7.5%
By 2040
228,487 · +21.9%
By 2050
253,068 · +35.0%
By 2075
308,920 · +64.8%
By 2100
336,510 · +79.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hendricks

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.5) · D 38.4% · R 59.9% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+1.9pp toward D · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -21.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.5 2020: R+23.9 2016: R+34.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+23.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -136.23%
Current HPI
205.5963
Rent YoY
▲ 3.65%
Metro
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+157.4% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $270,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-03 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $275,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-26 Sold (MLS) $237,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-24 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-24 Listed $234,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-10 Sold (MLS) $237,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-14 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-14 Listed $234,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-09-13 Sold (MLS) $99,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-01-19 Listed $104,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,330 · +14.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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