111 Union Dr · Princeton, WV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$109,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great home situated on a large level lot of almost an acre. Perfect starter home with 4 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Front yard is fully fenced for your four-legged friends. Garage with paved driveway. Covered front porch and a wrap around back deck. Home needs TLC but ready for your special touches and to make your own. It has endless possibilities. Come see today.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Large level lot
- 0.69 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Block and vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Front porch; Storm doors; Fenced yard
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heat (natural gas); Window cooling units; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $101k (8.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.7% in Princeton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#53 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: amenities D, commute F, employment F.
- Mercer County Schools (town): math 26% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #28 of 55 in WV (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($757 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Mercer County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 313 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $110k implies a 943% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 313 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.71%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $148,608
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 Thornton Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,447 (+5%) | 22mo | $111,600 | $77 | 52 |
| 502 Brookman Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,278 (-7%) | 17mo | $150,000 | $117 | 46 |
| 908 Christie Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,395 (+1%) | 21mo | $150,500 | $108 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.19×
- Total profit
- $67,259
- Equity at exit
- $98,646
- IRR
- 24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.26×
- Total profit
- $191,973
- Equity at exit
- $212,734
Cash invested: $30,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24740
- Home prices YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 48
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,005 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$574
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $649/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$211
- Net cashflow
- $120
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $182 | -5% $151 | +0% $120 | +5% $89 | +10% $58 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $41 | -5% $81 | +0% $120 | +5% $160 | +10% $200 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $175 | -0.5pp $148 | base $120 | +0.5pp $92 | +1.0pp $63 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,375
- Closing costs
- $3,285
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,500 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $109,500 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-04-04price $109,500
-
2026-02-10status Active
-
2025-12-30status Active
-
2025-11-24historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-10-03status Active
-
2025-06-17$129,000 Active
-
1972-09-06soldstatus $10,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $649 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $649 · $54/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,064
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,134
- − Property taxes
- −$649
- − Insurance
- −$548
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$965
- − Management
- −$965
- − Depreciation
- −$3,185
- Taxable loss
- −$382
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$92
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,535/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mercer County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400840
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,064
- Composite
- 25.98/100
- National rank
- #7325
- State rank
- #28 of 55 in WV
Livability — Princeton
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #6278
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Mercer County · 33,615 people
- City population
- 16,498
- Metro
- Bluefield, WV-VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,498
- Household income
- $44,793
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 438.0
Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,860 people
- By 2030
- 55,781 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 51,365 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 47,476 · -17.9%
- By 2075
- 38,851 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 30,053 · -48.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mercer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.3) · D 20.6% · R 77.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.6pp · 2024: -57.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.3 2020: R+54.4 2016: R+55.3 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.67%
- Current HPI
- 220.0694
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Bluefield, WV-VA
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+942.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-04 Price Changed $109,500 MTCBOR
- 2026-02-10 Relisted — MTCBOR
- 2025-12-30 Relisted — MTCBOR
- 2025-11-24 Contingent — MTCBOR
- 2025-10-03 Relisted — MTCBOR
- 2025-06-17 Listed $129,000 MTCBOR
- 1972-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $10,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $649 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…