602 Lacewood Dr · Edgewood, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity knocks at 602 Lacewood Drive. This 4-bedroom, 2 full bath split foyer offers solid bones, valuable updates, and the chance to create equity through renovation. While the home requires a complete cosmetic overhaul, several major components have already been addressed, including a roof replaced in 2019, modern replacement windows, and a water heater that is only two years old. The spacious layout includes a desirable family room addition off the kitchen, providing extra living space rarely found in similar homes. Outside, you'll find a generous yard with plenty of room for entertaining, gardening, or future improvements, along with a storage shed featuring a newer roof. Sold stric
Key facts
- Generous yard
- Family room addition
- Water heater
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric for cooling
- Home design: Detached structure; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Permanent foundation; Major rehab needed; Year built per assessor
- Exterior features: Ground rent paid annually; No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; One bedroom on the lower level
- Bathrooms: One full and one half bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom on the lower level (total two full, one half)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Natural gas fuel for heating and hot water
- Interior features: Fully finished basement; Living area per assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $404 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 5.5% in Edgewood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#118 in MD, #4,991 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F.
- Harford County Public Schools (suburban): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #9 of 24 in MD (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Edgewood High (math 43% / reading 54%, grade D, #111 of 222 statewide, top 50%, 1,415 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 24% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 48% at this address vs 30% district-wide (+18 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Harford County Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 803 units permitted in Harford County in 2024 (26 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.69%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $336,371
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605 Banyan Ct | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 | 1,720 (+4%) | 8mo | $332,300 | $193 | 78 |
| 2407 Sycamore Ln | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 | 1,683 (+2%) | 13mo | $325,000 | $193 | 71 |
| 2425 Sycamore Ln | 0.21mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,843 (+11%) | 3mo | $279,000 | $151 | 62 |
| 2216 Perry Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,593 (-4%) | 12mo | $325,000 | $204 | 62 |
| 1918 Bayberry Rd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,647 (-1%) | 1mo | $335,000 | $203 | 56 |
| 2405 Papaya Rd | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,826 (+10%) | 13mo | $310,900 | $170 | 54 |
| 2014 Cherry Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,575 (-5%) | 11mo | $325,000 | $206 | 48 |
| 2203 Willoughby Beach Rd | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,461 (-12%) | 2mo | $318,000 | $218 | 46 |
| 2029 Cherry Ct | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 | 1,449 (-13%) | 8mo | $355,000 | $245 | 45 |
| 2212 Pine St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,512 (-9%) | 4mo | $235,000 | $155 | 41 |
| 2020 Hanson Rd | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,412 (-15%) | 3mo | $285,000 | $202 | 39 |
| 3011 Ebbtide Dr | 0.73mi | 4/2.5 | 1,496 (-10%) | 11mo | $340,000 | $227 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-6,151
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- 9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $47,362
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21040
- Home prices YoY
- -29.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,347 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$177 /mo · $2,123/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$493
- Net cashflow
- $404
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 619 Hartwood Ln Edgewood, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1716 | $2,300 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2816 Profitt Path Edgewood, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1660 | $2,900 | $1.75 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1046 Agate Dr Unit 1 Edgewood, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $2,150 | $1.49 | 17d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 705 Bayberry Rd Edgewood, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1657 | $2,600 | $1.57 | 17d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2828 Beckon Dr Edgewood, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1764 | $2,300 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2033 Armstrong St Edgewood, MD | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $1,974 | $1.97 | 1d | 6 | 0.95mi |
| 2842 Beckon Dr Unit 1 Edgewood, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $2,100 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3184 Ebbtide Dr Edgewood, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1224 | $2,600 | $2.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3184 Ebbtide Dr Edgewood, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1224 | $2,600 | $2.12 | 20d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 313 Winterberry Dr Edgewood, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1798 | $2,095 | $1.17 | 19d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1857 Simons Ct Edgewood, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1240 | $1,700 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 802 Kingston Ct Edgewood, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1007 | $1,883 | $1.87 | 1d | 15 | 1.38mi |
| 962 Topview Dr Edgewood, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1278 | $1,700 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 700 Saint Peters Ct Edgewood, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1524 | $1,100 | $0.72 | 17d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 8 Lasonia Ct Edgewood, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1468 | $2,224 | $1.51 | 14d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-19remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-19$225,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,123 · $177/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,288 · $191/mo
- Expected delta
- +$165/yr (+$14/mo · 7.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,167
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$2,123
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,253
- − Management
- −$2,253
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable income
- $1,264
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$303
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,542/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harford County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400390
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $79,569
- Composite
- 29.38/100
- National rank
- #6527
- State rank
- #9 of 24 in MD
Livability — Edgewood
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #118
- US rank
- #4991
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Edgewood, MD
- County
- Harford County · 198,512 people
- City population
- 24,960
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,960
- Household income
- $81,704
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 859.0
Population outlook (Harford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 262,292 people
- By 2030
- 266,437 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 269,954 · +2.9%
- By 2050
- 265,659 · +1.3%
- By 2075
- 252,886 · -3.6%
- By 2100
- 224,014 · -14.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 45% White 36% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harford
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.8) · D 41.9% · R 55.7% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.0pp toward D · 2008: -18.8pp · 2024: -13.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.8 2020: R+12.0 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+19.5 2008: R+18.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -106.14%
- Current HPI
- 254.2305
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.92%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+18.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-05-27 Sold (MLS) $208,050 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-01-21 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-01-21 Listed $190,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,123 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…