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4700 Avenue R
B- Composite 65.76
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.7/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

4700 Avenue R · Birmingham, AL 35208
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,632 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 343 Days on market
Built 1920 6,969 sqft lot $43/sqft · 6% above area Est $66k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTORS ARE WELCOME!! Needs complete rehab. Three good-sized bedrooms and two full bathrooms. Fireplace. Large eat-in kitchen. There is a nice-sized laundry and storage room.

Key facts

  • Large eat-in kitchen
  • 6,969 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920

Tags

LARGE EAT-IN KITCHENLAUNDRY AND STORAGE ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $378 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 343 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $70k implies a 367% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 343 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.70%
Cap rate
12.77%
Cash-on-cash
23.15%
DSCR
2.03
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$65,839
List price
$70,000
Delta
6.32%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1644 42nd St 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,632 (0%) 8mo $162,000 $99 78
1527 46th Street Ensley 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,571 (-4%) 6mo $35,000 $22 71
1825 49th St 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,532 (-6%) 4mo $51,000 $33 70
1607 43rd St 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,435 (-12%) 5mo $85,000 $59 63
1611 50th St Ensley 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,482 (-9%) 7mo $98,000 $66 62
1420 47th St 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,526 (-6%) 10mo $68,000 $45 61
1424 47th St W 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,550 (-5%) 10mo $85,000 $55 60
1340 43rd St 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,540 (-6%) 7mo $85,000 $55 59
1563 Martin Ave 0.29mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,848 (+13%) 6mo $69,000 $37 54
1627 49th St 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,863 (+14%) 9mo $79,500 $43 54
4716 Avenue 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,810 (+11%) 9mo $115,000 $64 52
1310 43rd St 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,401 (-14%) 9mo $78,000 $56 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.3%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$18,097
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
32.4%
Equity multiple
4.61×
Total profit
$70,753
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35208

Home prices YoY
-18.1%
Rents YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,191 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$166 /mo · $1,995/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$250
Net cashflow
$378

Break-even live

Break-even rent $712
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4619 Terrace Q Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1198 $900 $0.75 43d 1 0.07mi
1757 48th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1164 $1,295 $1.11 3d 1 0.12mi
1606 49th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1136 $1,100 $0.97 43d 1 0.18mi
4817 Court R Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1530 $1,300 $0.85 16d 1 0.21mi
1556 Burgin Ave Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1168 $1,100 $0.94 19d 1 0.24mi
1556 Burgin Ave Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1168 $1,100 $0.94 21d 1 0.24mi
1563 Martin Ave Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1848 $1,495 $0.81 1d 1 0.26mi
1604 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 23d 1 0.27mi
1607 43rd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1435 $1,150 $0.80 23d 1 0.27mi
1632 51st St W Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1337 $1,000 $0.75 2d 1 0.29mi
1632 51st Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1337 $1,100 $0.82 43d 1 0.29mi
4801 Avenue S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1310 $1,000 $0.76 43d 1 0.30mi
1515 45th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1440 $875 $0.61 3d 1 0.31mi
4732 Court S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1372 $1,100 $0.80 43d 1 0.32mi
4736 Court S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,200 $0.92 3d 1 0.32mi
1781 51st Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1069 $950 $0.89 43d 1 0.32mi
1617 42nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1413 $1,030 $0.73 16d 1 0.33mi
4825 Avenue S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1310 $1,050 $0.80 16d 1 0.33mi
4637 Court S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1225 $975 $0.80 2d 1 0.34mi
1509 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1260 $1,123 $0.89 11d 1 0.35mi
4105 Avenue Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL 3.0 3.0 1760 $1,250 $0.71 3d 1 0.36mi
4813 Court S Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1118 $1,125 $1.01 43d 1 0.37mi
5219 Court Q Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1082 $1,200 $1.11 19d 1 0.37mi
4612 Terrace S Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1612 $1,050 $0.65 43d 1 0.39mi
1436 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1435 $1,495 $1.04 1d 1 0.40mi
1526 42nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.5 1600 $1,050 $0.66 43d 1 0.42mi
1410 46th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,000 $0.83 43d 1 0.43mi
4636 Avenue T Unit T Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.5 1842 $1,500 $0.81 1d 1 0.44mi
5320 Ter Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1116 $1,250 $1.12 43d 1 0.45mi
1417 Bessemer Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1688 $1,200 $0.71 43d 1 0.46mi
1520 41st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1068 $1,195 $1.12 43d 1 0.47mi
1345 46th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1617 $1,175 $0.73 3d 1 0.48mi
2017 48th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1383 $1,250 $0.90 43d 1 0.52mi
5604 Terrace O Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1072 $1,325 $1.24 43d 1 0.60mi
1420 Warrior Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1061 $1,050 $0.99 43d 1 0.60mi
2133 47th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1308 $1,300 $0.99 43d 1 0.60mi
2520 Avenue U Unit A Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1260 $1,200 $0.95 43d 1 0.62mi
5713 Avenue P Unit P Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,100 $0.85 19d 1 0.65mi
1112 47th St W Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1166 $975 $0.84 43d 1 0.65mi
312 25th St SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 1.0 1159 $1,000 $0.86 23d 1 0.66mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 343 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 342 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 341 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 340 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $70,000 Active 338 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $70,000 Active 335 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,000 Active 334 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,000 Active 333 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 332 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $70,000 Active 328 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $70,000 Active 327 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,000 Active 326 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 325 DOM
  14. 2025-07-10
    listed $70,000 Active 176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    INVESTORS ARE WELCOME!! Needs complete rehab. Three good-sized bedrooms and two full bathrooms. Fireplace. Large eat-in kitchen. There is a nice-sized laundry and storage room.

  15. 2018-12-04
    soldstatus $15,000 Sold 378-char remark
    Show marketing remark (378 chars)

    INVESTORS WELCOME!!! This jewel could shine again with a little work. Hardwoods under carpet. 3 good size bedrooms and 2 full baths. The master bath had a small fire but could be repaired quickly. Living room has built ins around the fireplace. Large eat in kitchen. Nice size laundry room and storage room. 1 car detached garage. Come make this your new home. "AS IS"

  16. 2018-11-03
    historical 378-char remark
    Show marketing remark (378 chars)

    INVESTORS WELCOME!!! This jewel could shine again with a little work. Hardwoods under carpet. 3 good size bedrooms and 2 full baths. The master bath had a small fire but could be repaired quickly. Living room has built ins around the fireplace. Large eat in kitchen. Nice size laundry room and storage room. 1 car detached garage. Come make this your new home. "AS IS"

  17. 2018-10-22
    listed $20,000 Active 378-char remark
    Show marketing remark (378 chars)

    INVESTORS WELCOME!!! This jewel could shine again with a little work. Hardwoods under carpet. 3 good size bedrooms and 2 full baths. The master bath had a small fire but could be repaired quickly. Living room has built ins around the fireplace. Large eat in kitchen. Nice size laundry room and storage room. 1 car detached garage. Come make this your new home. "AS IS"

  18. 2005-02-07
    soldstatus $68,000
  19. 1996-07-25
    soldstatus $42,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,995 · $166/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,995 · $166/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,287
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,995
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,143
− Management
−$1,143
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$3,699
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$888
After-tax cash flow
$3,649/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
210,422
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
13,412
Household income
$38,561
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
573.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.99%
Current HPI
153.414
Rent YoY
▲ 7.24%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+64.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2025-07-10 Listed $70,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2018-12-04 Sold (MLS) $15,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2018-11-03 Delisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2018-10-22 Listed $20,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2005-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
  • 1996-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,995 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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