1150 W Prince Rd #13 · Tucson, AZ 85705

$51,200

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 560 sqft · Manufactured · 174 Days on market

Built 2023

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• Built 2023
• Listed 174 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Active listing (modified Jun 10, 2026)
• Financial info: List price $51,200

Exterior

• Utilities: Central air conditioning
• Home design: Spec new construction, plan 92513
• Exterior features: Living area approximately 560

Interior

• Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
• Bathrooms: 1 bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Central air conditioning

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $51k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($849 rent vs $51k).
• Recommended offer: $45k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 3.7% in Tucson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#17 in AZ, #4,502 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
• Flowing Wells Unified District (4405) (suburban): math 23% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #143 of 249 in AZ (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 177 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $354 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 174 days — a 12% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $45,056 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 174 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.66% ✓
• Cap rate: 13.72%
• Cash-on-cash: 26.54%
• DSCR: 2.18
• GRM: 5.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $17,360
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3426 N Romero Rd #45	0.66mi	1/1.0	480 (-14%)	20mo	$15,000	$31	29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 17.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.67×
• Total profit: $9,664
• Equity at exit: $7,634

10-year hold

• IRR: 23.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.80×
• Total profit: $25,737
• Equity at exit: $4,427

Cash invested: $14,336 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 85705

• Rents YoY: 0.3%
• Active inventory: 177
• Price-to-rent: 5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $849 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$268
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$64 /mo · $768/yr
• Insurance: −$21
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$178
• Net cashflow: $317

Break-even live

Break-even rent $448

Max offer price $51,200

Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,800
• Closing costs: $1,536
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3802 N Flowing Wells Rd Tucson, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0	555	$800	$1.44	44d	5	0.16mi
1355 W Roger Rd Tucson, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	627	$798	$1.27	44d	4	0.27mi
1215 W Roger Rd Unit 1241-14 Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	670	$895	$1.34	44d	1	0.28mi
3700 N Fairview Ave Unit 104 Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	444	$949	$2.14	3d	1	0.34mi
822 W Thurber Rd Unit B Tucson, AZ	2.0	1.0	750	$825	$1.10	44d	1	0.39mi
1700 W Prince Rd Tucson, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0	618	$823	$1.33	2d	25	0.57mi
570 W Prince Rd Tucson, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0	788	$800	$1.02	44d	13	0.60mi
532 W Simmons Rd Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	566	$1,000	$1.77	17d	1	0.65mi
520 W Prince Rd Tucson, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0	557	$838	$1.50	3d	16	0.69mi
620 W Limberlost Dr Unit E24 Tucson, AZ	2.0	1.0	672	$1,200	$1.79	24d	1	0.83mi
1089 W Schafer Dr Unit 4 Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	350	$750	$2.14	21d	1	0.84mi
311 W Pastime Rd Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	720	$995	$1.38	21d	1	0.91mi
3055 N Flowing Wells Rd Tucson, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0	652	$849	$1.30	3d	3	0.94mi
120 W Prince Rd Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	480	$702	$1.46	3d	2	1.05mi
239 W Limberlost Dr Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	680	$795	$1.17	44d	1	1.08mi
50 W King Rd Apt 11 Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	650	$795	$1.22	20d	1	1.10mi
50 W King Rd Unit 09 Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	600	$775	$1.29	3d	1	1.10mi
124 W Pastime Rd Tucson, AZ	2.0	1.0	650	$1,075	$1.65	3d	1	1.11mi
3985 N Stone Ave Tucson, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	625	$929	$1.49	44d	1	1.13mi
3985 N Stone Ave Tucson, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	625	$695	$1.11	16d	21	1.13mi
95 W Windsor St Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	700	$965	$1.38	44d	1	1.14mi
3985 N Stone Ave Unit 251 Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	500	$695	$1.39	12d	1	1.15mi
3985 N Stone Ave Unit 248 Tucson, AZ	2.0	1.0	700	$979	$1.40	12d	1	1.15mi
115 W Limberlost Dr Tucson, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	806	$1,025	$1.27	24d	1	1.18mi
219 W Fort Lowell Rd Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	476	$850	$1.79	44d	2	1.24mi
3450 N Stone Ave Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	651	$850	$1.31	44d	1	1.27mi
3450 N Stone Ave Tucson, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0	706	$850	$1.20	12d	7	1.27mi
3066 N Balboa Ave Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	550	$844	$1.53	24d	2	1.29mi
13 E Limberlost Dr Tucson, AZ	—	1.0	420	$653	$1.55	21d	1	1.29mi
1990 W Amy Pl Unit B Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	600	$900	$1.50	20d	1	1.29mi
3450 N Stone Ave Apt 215 Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	651	$1,091	$1.68	44d	1	1.30mi
15 E Limberlost Dr Tucson, AZ	—	1.0	420	$543	$1.29	3d	1	1.31mi
1 E Navajo Rd Apt 14 Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	650	$750	$1.15	24d	1	1.33mi
1 E Navajo Rd Apt 15 Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	650	$750	$1.15	3d	1	1.33mi
102 E Mohave Rd Unit 206 Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	475	$750	$1.58	16d	1	1.33mi
102 E Mohave Rd Unit Mohave102-101 Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	475	$650	$1.37	3d	1	1.33mi
102 E Mohave Rd Unit 101 Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	475	$750	$1.58	3d	1	1.33mi
208 E Prince Rd Unit POP1101 Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	391	$725	$1.85	24d	1	1.34mi
208 E Prince Rd Unit POP1121 Tucson, AZ	—	1.0	391	$675	$1.73	24d	1	1.34mi
30 E Camino Villas Tucson, AZ	1.0	1.0	440	$753	$1.71	21d	1	1.34mi

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $51,200 Active 174 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $51,200 Active 173 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $51,200 Active 172 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $51,200 Active 171 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   listed $51,200 Active 169 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥107°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $10,191
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,868
• − Property taxes: −$768
• − Insurance: −$256
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$815
• − Management: −$815
• − Depreciation: −$1,489
• Taxable income: $3,179
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$763
• After-tax cash flow: $3,042/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Flowing Wells Unified District (4405)
• NCES district ID: 0403010
• Math proficiency: 23% ▼ -19.00%
• Reading proficiency: 30% ▼ -14.00%
• Median HH income: $33,361
• Composite: 21.69/100
• National rank: #8271
• State rank: #143 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Tucson

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #17
• US rank: #4502

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Tucson, AZ
• County: Pima County · 1,012,107 people
• City population: 839,336
• Metro: Tucson, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 54,700
• Household income: $37,194
• Rent vs Own: 55.1% rent · 44.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 4240.0

Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,066,056 people
• By 2030: 1,086,684 · +1.9%
• By 2040: 1,117,160 · +4.8%
• By 2050: 1,149,778 · +7.9%
• By 2075: 1,271,480 · +19.3%
• By 2100: 1,321,160 · +23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 45% White 41% Two or more races 18% Asian 4% Black 3% Native American 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 41%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 18% · Canada, China, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 65% English-only · Spanish 30% Chinese 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pima

• 2024 margin: D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -163.31%
• Current HPI: 283.0647
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.30%
• Metro: Tucson, AZ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B