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12706 Crystal Creek Pkwy
D Composite 42.76
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.3/30.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$335,000

12706 Crystal Creek Pkwy · Fort Wayne, IN 46845
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,224 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 2003 0.30 ac lot Est $374k · 10% under $27/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Gorgeous Conditioned 4 bedroom 2 1/2 bath home in Chapel Creek is a must see! HUGE fenced back yard with raised garden beds, fire pit, hookup for hot tub & extended patio area for outdoor entertaining. Low maintenance landscaping rock with pavers. This well-thought-out floor plan offers roomy bedrooms & a spacious Master Suite with HIS & HER walk-in closets, crown molding, double vanity & tile backsplash in shower. Newer ceiling & light fixtures throughout the home. Ceramic tile in laundry, kitchen, foyer & all baths. Kitchen has a great open-concept layout with tons of cabinet space, counter space, pantry & breakfast bar. NEWER improvements & upgrades include tile backsplash, faucet, deep granite sink, hardware, counter tops, disposal & gas range. All appliances stay (but are not warranted) including front loader washer & dryer. Separate laundry room on main floor. Solid 6-panel doors. Whole house air purification system (hospital grade). 3-CAR GARAGE boasts epoxy flooring (Rustoleum), generator plug, garage heater & newer 50 gallon water heater. Newer front storm door & slider to back yard. Fresh exterior paint. outdoor & indoor LED lighting. Conveniently located in NWAC schools, near shopping, restaurants & the new Union Chapel exit to I-69. Hassle-Free, Well Maintained Home, Excellent Condition. Move-In-Ready.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Move in ready
  • Spacious family room

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANSPACIOUS FAMILY ROOMFULLY FENCED BACKYARDABUNDANT NATURAL LIGHTMOVE IN READY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $335k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-243 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $292k (12.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (29.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $235k (29.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#6 in IN, #676 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+.
  • Northwest Allen County Schools (rural): math 51% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #25 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Oak View Elementary School (math 66% / reading 55%, grade B-, #122 of 994 statewide, top 12%, 453 students, 14% FRL); Maple Creek Middle School (math 41% / reading 60%, grade C, #43 of 330 statewide, top 14%, 957 students, 14% FRL); Carroll High School (math 59% / reading 86%, grade B+, #10 of 369 statewide, top 3%, 2,554 students, 21% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $205k; list at $335k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $235,298 (29.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.42%
Cash-on-cash
-3.10%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
11.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$373,632
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12706 Crystal Creek Pkwy 0.00mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,224 (0%) 1mo $335,000 $151 94
1443 Brandon Way 0.33mi 3/2.5 2,170 (-2%) 2mo $435,000 $200 79
12720 Cavendish Ct 0.15mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,118 (-5%) 8mo $332,000 $157 73
1309 Crooked Creek Pkwy 0.43mi 3/2.5 2,067 (-7%) 0mo $350,000 $169 68
12920 Jade Cv 0.71mi 3/2.0 2,217 (-0%) 0mo $410,000 $185 64
2017 Falcon Ridge Ct 0.71mi 3/3.0 2,259 (+2%) 6mo $342,500 $152 57
12124 Wellingham Ct 0.48mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,452 (+10%) 3mo $330,000 $135 53
1225 Clarion Dr 0.66mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,160 (-3%) 9mo $276,500 $128 52
2024 Millennium Xing 0.58mi 3/2.5 1,974 (-11%) 7mo $331,000 $168 48
2004 Millennium Xing 0.58mi 3/2.5 1,926 (-13%) 5mo $332,000 $172 47
1933 Millennium Xing 0.62mi 3/2.5 1,937 (-13%) 8mo $377,000 $195 43
813 Seamist Pt 0.73mi 3/2.0 2,014 (-9%) 7mo $290,000 $144 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.6%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-57,402
Equity at exit
$49,950
10-year hold
IRR
-1.8%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-13,680
Equity at exit
$28,965

Cash invested: $93,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46845

Home prices YoY
-34.6%
Rents YoY
10.5%
Active inventory
224
Price-to-rent
11.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,353 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,757
Tax from tax record
$178 /mo · $2,138/yr
Insurance
$140
HOA
$27
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$494
Net cashflow
$-243

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,660
Max offer price $292,128
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-53 -5% $-148 +0% $-243 +5% $-338 +10% $-432
Rent -10% $-429 -5% $-336 +0% $-243 +5% $-150 +10% $-57
Rate -1.0pp $-74 -0.5pp $-157 base $-243 +0.5pp $-329 +1.0pp $-418

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$83,750
Closing costs
$10,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13101 Union Club Blvd Fort Wayne, IN 3.0 1.0–2.0 1183 $2,279 $1.93 15d 10 1.02mi
562 Highfields Cv Fort Wayne, IN 4.0 2.5 2413 $2,700 $1.12 23d 1 1.40mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$27 · $324/yr
Likely covers
watergaslandscaping

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-23
    listed $335,000 Active
  3. 2019-11-27
    listed $239,900
  4. 2017-06-27
    soldstatus $205,000 1419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1419 chars)

    Gorgeous Conditioned 4 bedroom 2 1/2 bath home in Chapel Creek is a must see! HUGE fenced back yard with raised garden beds, fire pit, hookup for hot tub & extended patio area for outdoor entertaining. Low maintenance landscaping rock with pavers. This well-thought-out floor plan offers roomy bedrooms & a spacious Master Suite with HIS & HER walk-in closets, crown molding, double vanity & tile backsplash in shower. Newer ceiling & light fixtures throughout the home. Ceramic tile in laundry, kitchen, foyer & all baths. Kitchen has a great open-concept layout with tons of cabinet space, counter space, pantry & breakfast bar. NEWER improvements & upgrades include tile backsplash, faucet, deep granite sink, hardware, counter tops, disposal & gas range. All appliances stay (but are not warranted) including front loader washer & dryer. Separate laundry room on main floor. Solid 6-panel doors. Whole house air purification system (hospital grade). 3-CAR GARAGE boasts epoxy flooring (Rustoleum), generator plug, garage heater & newer 50 gallon water heater. Newer front storm door & slider to back yard. Fresh exterior paint. outdoor & indoor LED lighting. Conveniently located in NWAC schools, near shopping, restaurants & the new Union Chapel exit to I-69. Hassle-Free, Well Maintained Home, Excellent Condition. Move-In-Ready.

  5. 2017-05-15
    listed $209,900 1419-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1419 chars)

    Gorgeous Conditioned 4 bedroom 2 1/2 bath home in Chapel Creek is a must see! HUGE fenced back yard with raised garden beds, fire pit, hookup for hot tub & extended patio area for outdoor entertaining. Low maintenance landscaping rock with pavers. This well-thought-out floor plan offers roomy bedrooms & a spacious Master Suite with HIS & HER walk-in closets, crown molding, double vanity & tile backsplash in shower. Newer ceiling & light fixtures throughout the home. Ceramic tile in laundry, kitchen, foyer & all baths. Kitchen has a great open-concept layout with tons of cabinet space, counter space, pantry & breakfast bar. NEWER improvements & upgrades include tile backsplash, faucet, deep granite sink, hardware, counter tops, disposal & gas range. All appliances stay (but are not warranted) including front loader washer & dryer. Separate laundry room on main floor. Solid 6-panel doors. Whole house air purification system (hospital grade). 3-CAR GARAGE boasts epoxy flooring (Rustoleum), generator plug, garage heater & newer 50 gallon water heater. Newer front storm door & slider to back yard. Fresh exterior paint. outdoor & indoor LED lighting. Conveniently located in NWAC schools, near shopping, restaurants & the new Union Chapel exit to I-69. Hassle-Free, Well Maintained Home, Excellent Condition. Move-In-Ready.

  6. 2015-07-28
    soldstatus $194,900
  7. 2015-06-14
    listed $194,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,138 · $178/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,493 · $208/mo
Expected delta
+$355/yr (+$30/mo · 16.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,236
− Mortgage interest
−$18,765
− Property taxes
−$2,138
− Insurance
−$1,675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,259
− Management
−$2,259
− HOA
−$324
− Depreciation
−$9,745
Taxable loss
−$8,930
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,143
After-tax cash flow
$-769/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northwest Allen County Schools
NCES district ID
1808250
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$78,952
Composite
49.26/100
National rank
#2027
State rank
#25 of 301 in IN

Livability — Fort Wayne

Score
84/100
State rank
#6
US rank
#676

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Allen County · 326,813 people
City population
326,813
Metro
Fort Wayne, IN
Population (ZIP)
29,583
Household income
$112,676
Rent vs Own
16.0% rent · 84.0% own
Severe rent burden
467.0

Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
394,020 people
By 2030
405,128 · +2.8%
By 2040
423,476 · +7.5%
By 2050
435,137 · +10.4%
By 2075
450,293 · +14.3%
By 2100
424,101 · +7.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Asian 4% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Vietnam, Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allen

2024 margin
R (+12.5) · D 42.9% · R 55.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-8.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.3pp · 2024: -12.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.5 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+4.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.27%
Current HPI
212.3516
Rent YoY
▲ 10.47%
Metro
Fort Wayne, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+71.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending IRMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $335,000 IRMLS
  • 2019-11-27 Listed $239,900 IRMLS
  • 2017-06-27 Sold (MLS) $205,000 IRMLS
  • 2017-05-15 Listed $209,900 IRMLS
  • 2015-07-28 Sold (MLS) $194,900 IRMLS
  • 2015-06-14 Listed $194,900 IRMLS

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,138 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…