1309 Iselin Ave · Sheldon, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Here is a nice 2-story, 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located on Iselin Avenue. With great income potential, this property features a nice size front porch, living spaces and an unfinished basement. The convenience of a 2-stall detached garage adds extra value and the backyard is great for grilling or relaxing. Whether you're looking to invest or settle down, this home maybe right for you! UTILITIES INFO - AVERAGE MONTHLY TOTAL: $252.00 - Gas/Electric: MidAmerican Energy; Garbage/Recycling: City of Sheldon; Water/Sewer: City of Sheldon
Key facts
- Front porch
- Unfinished basement
- Backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $464 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 3.6% in Sheldon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#23 in IA, #688 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Sheldon Community School District (town): math 74% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #63 of 289 in IA (top 22%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Sheldon Middle School (math 70% / reading 78%, grade A, #83 of 246 statewide, top 34%, 320 students, 47% FRL); Sheldon High School (math 73% / reading 81%, grade A-, #60 of 336 statewide, top 21%, 342 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in O'Brien County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- O'Brien County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.10%
- DSCR
- 1.89
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $160,832
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1309 Iselin Ave | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,616 (+12%) | 1mo | $84,000 | $52 | 73 |
| 806 10th St | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,440 (+0%) | 6mo | $150,000 | $104 | 66 |
| 609 11th St | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 | 1,565 (+9%) | 10mo | $125,000 | $80 | 62 |
| 711 7th St | 0.64mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,388 (-3%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $151 | 58 |
| 711 8th St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,492 (+4%) | 6mo | $182,000 | $122 | 57 |
| 620 3rd Ave | 0.63mi | 4/1.8 | 1,428 (-1%) | 20mo | $160,000 | $112 | 52 |
| 823 8th | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 1,592 (+11%) | 3mo | $83,000 | $52 | 50 |
| 713 8th St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,566 (+9%) | 13mo | $206,500 | $132 | 43 |
| 1510 Thorman Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,624 (+13%) | 20mo | $260,000 | $160 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $13,523
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.80×
- Total profit
- $49,833
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51201
- Home prices YoY
- -25.9%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,401 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $984/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $464
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-20status Pending
-
2026-04-13price $99,000
-
2026-03-16$110,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $984 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,269 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- +$285/yr (+$24/mo · 29.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,810
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$984
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,345
- − Management
- −$1,345
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $4,216
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,012
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,559/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sheldon Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1925980
- Math proficiency
- 74% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,644
- Composite
- 64.39/100
- National rank
- #545
- State rank
- #63 of 289 in IA
Livability — Sheldon
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #23
- US rank
- #688
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sheldon, IA
- City population
- 6,226
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,226
Population outlook (O'Brien County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,353 people
- By 2030
- 13,040 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 12,422 · -7.0%
- By 2050
- 11,887 · -11.0%
- By 2075
- 11,132 · -16.6%
- By 2100
- 10,176 · -23.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 24% Portuguese 6% Ukrainian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · O'Brien
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.9) · D 19.0% · R 80.0% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.1pp toward R · 2008: -34.9pp · 2024: -60.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.9 2020: R+56.8 2016: R+60.2 2012: R+45.2 2008: R+34.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.15%
- Current HPI
- 214.5955
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-10.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — NWIA
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $99,000 NWIA
- 2026-03-16 Listed $110,000 NWIA
Property tax history
+18.9%/yrLatest (2025): $984 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…