🏗️ New Construction
7165 Inlet Isles Ct · Lakewood Ranch, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +7.1/10.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.2/5.0
- Cash flow +0.4/30.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$706,204
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Pool included! Step inside this beautifully designed 2,247 square foot home and discover an open-concept layout that seamlessly connects the kitchen, family and dining rooms-perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen is a true showstopper, featuring quartz countertops, a smooth cooktop with vent hood, built-in stainless steel wall oven and microwave, plus a French door refrigerator and designer cabinetry. Just off the entry, a flexible den awaits, ideal for a home office or gym, while a nearby secondary suite offers privacy for guests. The owner's suite is tucked at the back for ultimate retreat. Enjoy the convenience of ceramic tile flooring in the kitchen and baths, LED recessed lighting and 2" designer window blinds throughout. Energy efficiency is built in with a Ring Video Doorbell Pro, Honeywell Home T6 Pro Wifi thermostat and smart front door lock. The spacious 2-car garage features a hurricane-rated door, keyless entry pad and brick paver walkway. Homes with this level of thoughtful design and premium finishes are in high demand-schedule your tour before it's gone!
Key facts
- Gated community
- 6,760 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $706k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5k ($-55k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $373k (47.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $370k (47.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $370k (47.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 1.0% vs local median 2.9% in Lakewood Ranch — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Robert Willis Elementary School (math 83% / reading 79%, grade A+, #95 of 2,144 statewide, top 5%, 765 students, 22% FRL); R. Dan Nolan Middle School (math 79% / reading 72%, grade A, #38 of 571 statewide, top 7%, 760 students, 28% FRL); Lakewood Ranch High School (math 47% / reading 63%, grade C, #135 of 667 statewide, top 20%, 2,435 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools average 24% FRL vs 51% district-wide (27 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+18 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Manatee average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.2%/yr); 1554 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 82d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 79% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($120k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $31k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.36% ✗
- Cap rate
- 0.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- -18.93%
- DSCR
- 0.16
- GRM
- 23.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,033,702
- List price
- $706,204
- Delta
- -31.68%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14507 Stirling Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,148 (-4%) | 0mo | $765,000 | $356 | 71 |
| 14511 Leopard Creek Pl | 0.26mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,479 (+10%) | 0mo | $1,130,000 | $456 | 63 |
| 15719 Seaton Pl | 0.64mi | 4/3.0 | 2,231 (-1%) | 4mo | $929,000 | $416 | 62 |
| 13987 Siena Loop | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,289 (+2%) | 2mo | $760,000 | $332 | 60 |
| 7232 Presidio Gln | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,160 (-4%) | 3mo | $650,000 | $301 | 58 |
| 15406 Castle Park Ter | 0.41mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,401 (+7%) | 2mo | $1,120,000 | $466 | 58 |
| 7228 Whittlebury Trl | 0.49mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,363 (+5%) | 3mo | $950,000 | $402 | 57 |
| 13828 Siena Loop | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,311 (+3%) | 4mo | $799,000 | $346 | 54 |
| 15509 Leven Links Pl | 0.60mi | 4/3.0 | 2,428 (+8%) | 1mo | $840,000 | $346 | 54 |
| 7208 Whittlebury Trl | 0.55mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,439 (+9%) | 1mo | $1,186,000 | $486 | 50 |
| 14652 Newtonmore Ln | 0.36mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,579 (+15%) | 2mo | $1,025,000 | $397 | 48 |
| 15308 Helmsdale Pl | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,028 (-10%) | 4mo | $685,000 | $338 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -57.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.62×
- Total profit
- $-468,967
- Equity at exit
- $154,128
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.85×
- Total profit
- $-823,775
- Equity at exit
- $89,376
Cash invested: $289,437 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 18 active · 21 under contract
- Months of supply
- 3.1 mo (32%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $1,070,000 ($428/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 96 d
- This list price
- 11% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +7.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 34211
- Home prices YoY
- -27.5%
- Rents YoY
- -5.2%
- Active inventory
- 1554
- Price-to-rent
- 15.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,705 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,421
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1,292 /mo · $15,506/yr
- Insurance
- −$431
- HOA
- −$350
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$778
- Net cashflow
- $-4,567
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-3,853 | -5% $-4,210 | +0% $-4,567 | +5% $-4,924 | +10% $-5,281 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-4,860 | -5% $-4,713 | +0% $-4,567 | +5% $-4,421 | +10% $-4,274 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-4,046 | -0.5pp $-4,304 | base $-4,567 | +0.5pp $-4,835 | +1.0pp $-5,107 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $258,426
- Closing costs
- $31,011
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14551 Whitemoss Ter Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2148 | $3,700 | $1.72 | 80d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 14551 Whitemoss Ter Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2148 | $3,700 | $1.72 | 88d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 14551 Whitemoss Ter Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2148 | $3,100 | $1.44 | 2d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 7423 Riviera Cv Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1970 | $3,000 | $1.52 | 88d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 7423 Riviera Cv Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1970 | $3,000 | $1.52 | 99d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 7423 Riviera Cv Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1970 | $3,000 | $1.52 | 80d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 7244 Orchid Island Pl Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2538 | $5,800 | $2.29 | 99d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 7131 Whittlebury Trl Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2717 | $5,500 | $2.02 | 107d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 7236 Orchid Island Pl Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2289 | $8,750 | $3.82 | 2d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 14527 Stellar Pl Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1539 | $2,700 | $1.75 | 88d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 14506 Stellar Pl Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1848 | $3,525 | $1.91 | 80d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 8044 Gulfstream Ct Bradenton, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 2.5–3.0 | 1783 | $4,180 | $2.34 | 65d | 5 | 0.81mi |
| 7036 Highgate Ln Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2231 | $6,000 | $2.69 | 9d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 8142 Miramar Way Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2262 | $2,950 | $1.30 | 82d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 8143 Miramar Way Unit 8143 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1616 | $2,100 | $1.30 | 82d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 13931 Wood Duck Cir Lakewood Ranch, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2349 | $3,500 | $1.49 | 78d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 7564 Divot Loop Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1748 | $7,250 | $4.15 | 9d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 7342 Divot Loop Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1748 | $2,800 | $1.60 | 99d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 8263 Miramar Way Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1812 | $4,000 | $2.21 | 99d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 8263 Miramar Way Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1812 | $4,000 | $2.21 | 119d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 8261 Miramar Way #202 Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1812 | $2,600 | $1.43 | 73d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 8361 Miramar Way Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1812 | $2,650 | $1.46 | 9d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 8363 Miramar Way Unit 203 Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1812 | $3,000 | $1.66 | 80d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 7328 Lake Forest Gln Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1876 | $5,000 | $2.67 | 119d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 7703 British Open Way Lakewood Ranch, FL | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2697 | $5,490 | $2.04 | 93d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 7703 British Open Way Lakewood Ranch, FL | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2697 | $5,490 | $2.04 | 9d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 14956 Amberjack Ter #103 Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $1,975 | $1.28 | 119d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 6836 Bay Hill Dr Lakewood Ranch, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2132 | $2,950 | $1.38 | 82d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Projected completion date: 2026-09-30Lot approximately 0.15 acresLandscaping includes treesCommunity features include reclaimed water irrigation
- Financial info
- CDD presentLease restrictions apply
- HOA & community
- HOA managed by ICON ManagementMonthly HOA fee of $350.33 (includes internet, grounds maintenance, management)Association approval requiredDeed restrictionsCommunity mailboxSidewalks and street lightsPets allowed
Exterior
- Parking
- Deeded drivewayAttached 2-car garage
- Security
- Gated community
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity available and connectedCable availableBB/HS internet availableUnderground utilitiesSprinkler meter and recycled sprinkler
- Home design
- Single family residenceOne storyUnder constructionProperty faces northwest
- Construction
- Concrete constructionTile roofSlab foundationNew construction by Lennar Homes (Model: Maria)
- Exterior features
- Covered, screened rear porchPatioIn-ground heated pool with screen enclosureIn-ground spaExterior lightingSidewalksLandscaped yardIrrigation equipmentPaved surfaces
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherDisposalExhaust fanFreezerMicrowaveRangeRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 4 bedrooms
- Flooring
- Tile flooring
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Central air conditioning
- Interior features
- Eat-in kitchenKitchen/family room comboLiving room/dining room comboOpen floorplanSplit bedroom layoutThermostatWalk-in closetsWindow treatmentsStorm windows
- Laundry & utility
- Inside laundry roomWasherDryerInside utility
HOA detail $350/mo · $4,200/yr
- Likely covers
- internetpoolgym
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23pricedays on market $706,204 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $704,204 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $704,204 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $704,204 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $704,204 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $704,204 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $704,204 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $704,204 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $704,204 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $704,204 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $704,204 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $704,204 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $704,204 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $704,204 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $704,204 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $704,204 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $704,204 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $704,204 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $704,204 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $704,204 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $704,204 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $704,204 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $704,204 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $704,204 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $704,204 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $704,204 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $704,204 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $704,204 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $704,204 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $704,204 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $704,204 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $704,204 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $704,204 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $704,204 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $704,204 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $704,204 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $704,204 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $704,204 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $704,204 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $704,204 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $704,204 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $704,204 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $704,204 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $704,204 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $704,204 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $704,204 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $704,204 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $704,204 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $704,204 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $704,204 Active 53 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $44,455
- − Mortgage interest
- −$57,903
- − Property taxes
- −$15,506
- − Insurance
- −$5,169
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,556
- − Management
- −$3,556
- − HOA
- −$4,200
- − Depreciation
- −$30,071
- Taxable loss
- −$75,506
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$18,121
- After-tax cash flow
- $-36,683/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This brand new single-family home in Lakewood Ranch is move-in ready with excellent condition and modern design. It offers a spacious living area, a well-equipped kitchen, and a beautiful bathroom. The landscaping and curb appeal are already well-maintained, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property. ↑
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can make the home look more inviting and modern. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lakewood Ranch
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lakewood Ranch, FL
- County
- Manatee County · 447,342 people
- City population
- 52,177
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,980
- Household income
- $119,911
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Asian 3% Black 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -100.84%
- Current HPI
- 265.946
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -5.17%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-1.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-09-23 Listed $706,204 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-09-02 Price Changed $706,204 Zillow
- 2026-06-01 Listed $704,204 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $704,204 Zillow
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $684,204 Zillow
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $704,204 Zillow
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $684,204 Zillow
- 2026-04-17 Listed $718,204 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
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