218 Jones St · Quitaque, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$89,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this beautiful, like-new 2021 1manufactured home in charming Quitaque, TX! This inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is filled with natural light and offers a spacious, comfortable layout you'll love. The private primary suite features its own en suite bath and generous walk-in closets, all wrapped in warm, welcoming tones throughout. Enjoy a well-appointed kitchen and dining area, nicely sized bedrooms, and the convenience of central heat and air. Step outside to a lovely deck--perfect for relaxing or hosting a backyard BBQ--plus a handy storage shed for extra space. Situated on a large corner lot, this move-in ready home is the perfect place to settle in and enjoy small-town living. Come experience Quitaque--home to Caprock Canyons State Park & Trailway and the state's largest
Key facts
- Large corner lot
- Walk-in closets
- En suite bath
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $199 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#951 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Turkey-Quitaque ISD (rural): math 60% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #262 of 1,141 in TX (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($619 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Briscoe County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.52%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $23,470
- Equity at exit
- $40,243
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.63×
- Total profit
- $65,863
- Equity at exit
- $62,019
Cash invested: $25,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79255
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,061 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$469
- Tax from tax record
- −$133 /mo · $1,597/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $199
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,375
- Closing costs
- $2,685
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,500 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,500 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-13historical Active Under Contract 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
Welcome home to this beautiful, like-new 2021 1manufactured home in charming Quitaque, TX! This inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is filled with natural light and offers a spacious, comfortable layout you'll love. The private primary suite features its own en suite bath and generous walk-in closets, all wrapped in warm, welcoming tones throughout. Enjoy a well-appointed kitchen and dining area, nicely sized bedrooms, and the convenience of central heat and air. Step outside to a lovely deck--perfect for relaxing or hosting a backyard BBQ--plus a handy storage shed for extra space. Situated on a large corner lot, this move-in ready home is the perfect place to settle in and enjoy small-town living. Come experience Quitaque--home to Caprock Canyons State Park & Trailway and the state's largest
-
2026-04-21$89,500 Active 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
Welcome home to this beautiful, like-new 2021 1manufactured home in charming Quitaque, TX! This inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is filled with natural light and offers a spacious, comfortable layout you'll love. The private primary suite features its own en suite bath and generous walk-in closets, all wrapped in warm, welcoming tones throughout. Enjoy a well-appointed kitchen and dining area, nicely sized bedrooms, and the convenience of central heat and air. Step outside to a lovely deck--perfect for relaxing or hosting a backyard BBQ--plus a handy storage shed for extra space. Situated on a large corner lot, this move-in ready home is the perfect place to settle in and enjoy small-town living. Come experience Quitaque--home to Caprock Canyons State Park & Trailway and the state's largest
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2021-10-29soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,597 · $133/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,638 · $136/mo
- Expected delta
- +$40/yr (+$3/mo · 2.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,737
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,013
- − Property taxes
- −$1,597
- − Insurance
- −$448
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,019
- − Management
- −$1,019
- − Depreciation
- −$2,604
- Taxable income
- $1,037
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$249
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,136/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Turkey-Quitaque ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4843400
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,595
- Composite
- 47.3/100
- National rank
- #5051
- State rank
- #262 of 1141 in TX
Livability — Quitaque
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #951
- US rank
- #16927
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Quitaque, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 448
Population outlook (Briscoe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,366 people
- By 2030
- 1,300 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 1,176 · -13.9%
- By 2050
- 1,054 · -22.8%
- By 2075
- 865 · -36.7%
- By 2100
- 691 · -49.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Briscoe
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+79.8) · D 9.7% · R 89.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.2pp toward R · 2008: -49.6pp · 2024: -79.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+79.8 2020: R+77.4 2016: R+72.8 2012: R+65.6 2008: R+49.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Contingent — PARMLS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $89,500 PARMLS
- 2021-10-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+41.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,597 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…