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218 Jones St
B- Composite 65.56
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.1/30.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$89,500

218 Jones St · Quitaque, TX 79255
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,140 sqft · Manufactured · 56 Days on market
Built 2021

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this beautiful, like-new 2021 1manufactured home in charming Quitaque, TX! This inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is filled with natural light and offers a spacious, comfortable layout you'll love. The private primary suite features its own en suite bath and generous walk-in closets, all wrapped in warm, welcoming tones throughout. Enjoy a well-appointed kitchen and dining area, nicely sized bedrooms, and the convenience of central heat and air. Step outside to a lovely deck--perfect for relaxing or hosting a backyard BBQ--plus a handy storage shed for extra space. Situated on a large corner lot, this move-in ready home is the perfect place to settle in and enjoy small-town living. Come experience Quitaque--home to Caprock Canyons State Park & Trailway and the state's largest

Key facts

  • Large corner lot
  • Walk-in closets
  • En suite bath

Tags

PRIVATE PRIMARY SUITEEN SUITE BATHWALK-IN CLOSETSWELL-APPOINTED KITCHENHANDY STORAGE SHEDLARGE CORNER LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $199 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#951 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Turkey-Quitaque ISD (rural): math 60% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #262 of 1,141 in TX (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($619 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Briscoe County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $86,815 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
8.96%
Cash-on-cash
9.52%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
1.94×
Total profit
$23,470
Equity at exit
$40,243
10-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
3.63×
Total profit
$65,863
Equity at exit
$62,019

Cash invested: $25,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79255

Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,061 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$469
Tax from tax record
$133 /mo · $1,597/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$223
Net cashflow
$199

Break-even live

Break-even rent $810
Max offer price $89,500
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,375
Closing costs
$2,685
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,500 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,500 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,500 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,500 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,500 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,500 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,500 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,500 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,500 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,500 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,500 Active 43 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,500 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,500 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,500 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,500 Active 38 DOM
  16. 2026-05-13
    historical Active Under Contract 806-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    Welcome home to this beautiful, like-new 2021 1manufactured home in charming Quitaque, TX! This inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is filled with natural light and offers a spacious, comfortable layout you'll love. The private primary suite features its own en suite bath and generous walk-in closets, all wrapped in warm, welcoming tones throughout. Enjoy a well-appointed kitchen and dining area, nicely sized bedrooms, and the convenience of central heat and air. Step outside to a lovely deck--perfect for relaxing or hosting a backyard BBQ--plus a handy storage shed for extra space. Situated on a large corner lot, this move-in ready home is the perfect place to settle in and enjoy small-town living. Come experience Quitaque--home to Caprock Canyons State Park & Trailway and the state's largest

  17. 2026-04-21
    listed $89,500 Active 806-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    Welcome home to this beautiful, like-new 2021 1manufactured home in charming Quitaque, TX! This inviting 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is filled with natural light and offers a spacious, comfortable layout you'll love. The private primary suite features its own en suite bath and generous walk-in closets, all wrapped in warm, welcoming tones throughout. Enjoy a well-appointed kitchen and dining area, nicely sized bedrooms, and the convenience of central heat and air. Step outside to a lovely deck--perfect for relaxing or hosting a backyard BBQ--plus a handy storage shed for extra space. Situated on a large corner lot, this move-in ready home is the perfect place to settle in and enjoy small-town living. Come experience Quitaque--home to Caprock Canyons State Park & Trailway and the state's largest

  18. 2021-10-29
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,597 · $133/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,638 · $136/mo
Expected delta
+$40/yr (+$3/mo · 2.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,737
− Mortgage interest
−$5,013
− Property taxes
−$1,597
− Insurance
−$448
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,019
− Management
−$1,019
− Depreciation
−$2,604
Taxable income
$1,037
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$249
After-tax cash flow
$2,136/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Turkey-Quitaque ISD
NCES district ID
4843400
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$34,595
Composite
47.3/100
National rank
#5051
State rank
#262 of 1141 in TX

Livability — Quitaque

Score
62/100
State rank
#951
US rank
#16927

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Quitaque, TX
Population (ZIP)
448

Population outlook (Briscoe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,366 people
By 2030
1,300 · -4.8%
By 2040
1,176 · -13.9%
By 2050
1,054 · -22.8%
By 2075
865 · -36.7%
By 2100
691 · -49.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Briscoe

2024 margin
Solid R (+79.8) · D 9.7% · R 89.5%
2008→2024 swing
-30.2pp toward R · 2008: -49.6pp · 2024: -79.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+79.8 2020: R+77.4 2016: R+72.8 2012: R+65.6 2008: R+49.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Contingent PARMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $89,500 PARMLS
  • 2021-10-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+41.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,597 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…