Plan 1416 Modeled Plan · San Antonio, TX 78222

$199,995

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,417 sqft · SingleFamily · 529 Days on market

Good condition ↓ 5% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +8.8/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +3.6/5.0
• 1% rule +2.7/10.0
• DSCR +2.4/10.0
• Schools +1.9/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

* Walk-in closet at primary bedroom and bedroom 2 * Spacious kitchen countertops * Colonial baseboards * Whirlpool® stainless steel kitchen appliances * 42-in. garden tub/shower combination at primary bath * Smart thermostat * Front porch * Open floor plan * Split-bedroom layout * Den * Dedicated laundry room * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Playground * Near local schools * Close to medical facilities * Near entertainment and leisure * Close to family friendly parks * Biking trails nearby

Key facts

• Open floor plan
• Walk-in closet
• Front porch

Tags

• WALK-IN CLOSET
• SPACIOUS KITCHEN COUNTERTOPS
• GARDEN TUB SHOWER COMBINATION
• SMART THERMOSTAT
• FRONT PORCH
• OPEN FLOOR PLAN

🏗️ New construction. The $199,995 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $221,030.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-184 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $194k (2.8% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (14.9% below list).
• Recommended offer: $170k (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
• East Central ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #758 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Pecan Valley El (math 17% / reading 19%, grade F, #3,785 of 4,322 statewide, top 88%, 487 students, 76% FRL); Legacy Middle (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 1,137 students, 58% FRL); East Central H S (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,264 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 3,252 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 62% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 444 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 529 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $170,101 (14.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 529 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.77% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.30%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.56%
• DSCR: 0.84
• GRM: 10.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $221,030
• List price: $199,995
• Delta: -9.52%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4107 Perrito Dr	0.23mi	3/2.0	1,604 (+13%)	1mo	$229,662	$143	66
4663 Otra Otra Dr	0.48mi	3/2.5	1,520 (+7%)	1mo	$197,066	$130	63
4539 Gato Calico Dr	0.65mi	3/2.5	1,373 (-3%)	2mo	$206,342	$150	60
5527 Rosillo Hl	0.60mi	3/2.0	1,310 (-8%)	1mo	$189,900	$145	58
8627 Green Bliss	0.73mi	3/2.5	1,360 (-4%)	1mo	$174,999	$129	57
8567 Green Bliss	0.73mi	3/2.5	1,360 (-4%)	1mo	$153,999	$113	56
8527 Green Bliss	0.73mi	3/2.5	1,360 (-4%)	2mo	$153,999	$113	56
4615 Flying Hooves	0.72mi	3/2.5	1,286 (-9%)	0mo	$199,990	$156	49
4631 Flying Hooves	0.70mi	3/2.5	1,286 (-9%)	2mo	$214,990	$167	48
4534 Otra Otra Dr	0.68mi	3/2.0	1,245 (-12%)	4mo	$205,385	$165	45
8523 Green Bliss	0.73mi	4/2.5 (+1)	1,535 (+8%)	3mo	$179,999	$117	43
3515 Salado Brk	0.69mi	3/2.5	1,626 (+15%)	2mo	$225,000	$138	40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -20.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.27×
• Total profit: $-45,149
• Equity at exit: $32,956

10-year hold

• IRR: -11.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.28×
• Total profit: $-44,399
• Equity at exit: $19,111

Cash invested: $61,888 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78222

• Home prices YoY: -4.8%
• Rents YoY: 4.3%
• Active inventory: 444
• Price-to-rent: 9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,701 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,159
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$276 /mo · $3,315/yr
• Insurance: −$92
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$357
• Net cashflow: $-184

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,934

Max offer price $194,450

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-31	-5% $-107	+0% $-184	+5% $-260	+10% $-336
Rent	-10% $-318	-5% $-251	+0% $-184	+5% $-117	+10% $-49
Rate	-1.0pp $-72	-0.5pp $-127	base $-184	+0.5pp $-241	+1.0pp $-299

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $55,257
• Closing costs: $6,631
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4742 Pico Pico St San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1780	$1,850	$1.04	45d	1	0.31mi
5365 Southcross Ranch Rd San Antonio, TX	3.0	1.0–2.0	1568	$85,000	$54.21	3d	1	0.40mi
4226 Toledo Mist San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.5	944	$1,600	$1.69	25d	1	0.56mi
4570 Gato Calico Dr San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1245	$1,475	$1.18	45d	1	0.59mi
5322 Flying Hooves San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1604	$1,900	$1.18	22d	1	0.64mi
5322 Flying Hooves San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1604	$1,900	$1.18	0d	1	0.64mi
5227 Hickory Pl San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1199	$1,700	$1.42	25d	1	0.64mi
4550 Otra Otra Dr San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1245	$1,575	$1.27	19d	1	0.65mi
5334 Hickory Pl San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1401	$1,650	$1.18	45d	1	0.69mi
8523 Green Bliss San Antonio, TX	4.0	2.5	1535	$1,549	$1.01	16d	1	0.71mi
2719 Bermuda Dr San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1298	$1,350	$1.04	0d	1	0.77mi
2825 S WW White Rd San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	1007	$927	$0.92	45d	1	0.78mi
2718 Bermuda Dr San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1080	$1,400	$1.30	0d	1	0.78mi
2819 S WW White Rd Unit 710 San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	1007	$1,192	$1.18	0d	1	0.89mi
5910 Sandy Lake St San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1389	$2,100	$1.51	45d	1	0.90mi
3510 Bottomless Lk San Antonio, TX	2.0	2.0	1068	$1,150	$1.08	45d	1	0.92mi
4430 Valleyfield Dr San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.5	1444	$1,150	$0.80	45d	1	0.99mi
6023 Lake Victoria St San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1368	$1,575	$1.15	14d	1	1.00mi
2434 Bermuda Dr San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1298	$1,390	$1.07	0d	1	1.01mi
2430 Bermuda Dr San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1298	$1,390	$1.07	14d	1	1.02mi
4243 Family Tree San Antonio, TX	2.0	1.0	900	$1,072	$1.19	6d	8	1.03mi
5334 Natho St San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1298	$1,325	$1.02	6d	1	1.06mi
3535 Honey Mdw San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1438	$1,400	$0.97	18d	1	1.06mi
5338 Natho St San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1298	$1,349	$1.04	14d	1	1.06mi
2911 Lakebriar St San Antonio, TX	4.0	2.0	1440	$1,695	$1.18	4d	1	1.11mi
2911 Lakebriar St San Antonio, TX	4.0	2.0	1440	$1,695	$1.18	23d	1	1.11mi
5011 Blue Rnch San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1529	$1,740	$1.14	45d	1	1.15mi
4910 Sandstone Way San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1849	$1,750	$0.95	23d	1	1.15mi
4910 Sandstone Way San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1850	$1,750	$0.95	5d	1	1.15mi
5107 Blue Rnch San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1529	$1,740	$1.14	25d	1	1.16mi
5823 Hematite Rim San Antonio, TX	4.0	2.0	1524	$1,695	$1.11	25d	1	1.17mi
5962 Celestite Bnd San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1190	$1,723	$1.45	0d	1	1.17mi
5119 Blue Rnch San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1272	$1,615	$1.27	25d	1	1.18mi
5418 Tourmaline Loop San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1388	$1,575	$1.13	6d	1	1.18mi
5102 Blue Rnch San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1272	$1,615	$1.27	25d	1	1.19mi
5106 Blue Rnch San Antonio, TX	4.0	2.5	1798	$1,820	$1.01	45d	1	1.19mi
5203 Blue Rnch San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1272	$1,615	$1.27	25d	1	1.19mi
4734 Shale Cv San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.0	1247	$1,725	$1.38	25d	1	1.20mi
5011 Jade Xing San Antonio, TX	3.0	2.5	1239	$1,590	$1.28	45d	1	1.20mi
5015 Jade Xing San Antonio, TX	4.0	2.5	1798	$1,820	$1.01	13d	1	1.20mi

Listing history 27 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $199,995 Active 529 DOM
2. 2026-06-19
   price $199,995 Active 526 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $210,995 Active 526 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $210,995 Active 525 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   days on market $210,995 Active 524 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $210,995 Active 523 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $210,995 Active 521 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $210,995 Active 517 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $210,995 Active 516 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $210,995 Active 515 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $210,995 Active 512 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $210,995 Active 511 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $210,995 Active 510 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,995 Active 509 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,995 Active 508 DOM
16. 2026-04-28
    price $210,995 536-char remark

    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    * Walk-in closet at primary bedroom and bedroom 2 * Spacious kitchen countertops * Colonial baseboards * Whirlpool® stainless steel kitchen appliances * 42-in. garden tub/shower combination at primary bath * Smart thermostat * Front porch * Open floor plan * Split-bedroom layout * Den * Dedicated laundry room * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Playground * Near local schools * Close to medical facilities * Near entertainment and leisure * Close to family friendly parks * Biking trails nearby

17. 2026-04-06
    price $209,995 536-char remark

    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    * Walk-in closet at primary bedroom and bedroom 2 * Spacious kitchen countertops * Colonial baseboards * Whirlpool® stainless steel kitchen appliances * 42-in. garden tub/shower combination at primary bath * Smart thermostat * Front porch * Open floor plan * Split-bedroom layout * Den * Dedicated laundry room * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Playground * Near local schools * Close to medical facilities * Near entertainment and leisure * Close to family friendly parks * Biking trails nearby

18. 2026-03-07
    price $204,995 536-char remark

    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    * Walk-in closet at primary bedroom and bedroom 2 * Spacious kitchen countertops * Colonial baseboards * Whirlpool® stainless steel kitchen appliances * 42-in. garden tub/shower combination at primary bath * Smart thermostat * Front porch * Open floor plan * Split-bedroom layout * Den * Dedicated laundry room * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Playground * Near local schools * Close to medical facilities * Near entertainment and leisure * Close to family friendly parks * Biking trails nearby

19. 2026-02-27
    price $209,995 536-char remark

    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    * Walk-in closet at primary bedroom and bedroom 2 * Spacious kitchen countertops * Colonial baseboards * Whirlpool® stainless steel kitchen appliances * 42-in. garden tub/shower combination at primary bath * Smart thermostat * Front porch * Open floor plan * Split-bedroom layout * Den * Dedicated laundry room * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Playground * Near local schools * Close to medical facilities * Near entertainment and leisure * Close to family friendly parks * Biking trails nearby

20. 2026-01-24
    price $199,995 536-char remark

    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    * Walk-in closet at primary bedroom and bedroom 2 * Spacious kitchen countertops * Colonial baseboards * Whirlpool® stainless steel kitchen appliances * 42-in. garden tub/shower combination at primary bath * Smart thermostat * Front porch * Open floor plan * Split-bedroom layout * Den * Dedicated laundry room * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Playground * Near local schools * Close to medical facilities * Near entertainment and leisure * Close to family friendly parks * Biking trails nearby

21. 2025-10-18
    price $209,995 536-char remark

    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    * Walk-in closet at primary bedroom and bedroom 2 * Spacious kitchen countertops * Colonial baseboards * Whirlpool® stainless steel kitchen appliances * 42-in. garden tub/shower combination at primary bath * Smart thermostat * Front porch * Open floor plan * Split-bedroom layout * Den * Dedicated laundry room * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Playground * Near local schools * Close to medical facilities * Near entertainment and leisure * Close to family friendly parks * Biking trails nearby

22. 2025-10-14
    price $205,995 536-char remark

    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    * Walk-in closet at primary bedroom and bedroom 2 * Spacious kitchen countertops * Colonial baseboards * Whirlpool® stainless steel kitchen appliances * 42-in. garden tub/shower combination at primary bath * Smart thermostat * Front porch * Open floor plan * Split-bedroom layout * Den * Dedicated laundry room * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Playground * Near local schools * Close to medical facilities * Near entertainment and leisure * Close to family friendly parks * Biking trails nearby

23. 2025-09-03
    price $203,995 536-char remark

    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    * Walk-in closet at primary bedroom and bedroom 2 * Spacious kitchen countertops * Colonial baseboards * Whirlpool® stainless steel kitchen appliances * 42-in. garden tub/shower combination at primary bath * Smart thermostat * Front porch * Open floor plan * Split-bedroom layout * Den * Dedicated laundry room * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Playground * Near local schools * Close to medical facilities * Near entertainment and leisure * Close to family friendly parks * Biking trails nearby

24. 2025-07-16
    price $201,995 536-char remark

    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    * Walk-in closet at primary bedroom and bedroom 2 * Spacious kitchen countertops * Colonial baseboards * Whirlpool® stainless steel kitchen appliances * 42-in. garden tub/shower combination at primary bath * Smart thermostat * Front porch * Open floor plan * Split-bedroom layout * Den * Dedicated laundry room * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Playground * Near local schools * Close to medical facilities * Near entertainment and leisure * Close to family friendly parks * Biking trails nearby

25. 2025-03-01
    price $199,995 536-char remark

    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    * Walk-in closet at primary bedroom and bedroom 2 * Spacious kitchen countertops * Colonial baseboards * Whirlpool® stainless steel kitchen appliances * 42-in. garden tub/shower combination at primary bath * Smart thermostat * Front porch * Open floor plan * Split-bedroom layout * Den * Dedicated laundry room * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Playground * Near local schools * Close to medical facilities * Near entertainment and leisure * Close to family friendly parks * Biking trails nearby

26. 2025-01-13
    price $229,995 536-char remark

    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    * Walk-in closet at primary bedroom and bedroom 2 * Spacious kitchen countertops * Colonial baseboards * Whirlpool® stainless steel kitchen appliances * 42-in. garden tub/shower combination at primary bath * Smart thermostat * Front porch * Open floor plan * Split-bedroom layout * Den * Dedicated laundry room * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Playground * Near local schools * Close to medical facilities * Near entertainment and leisure * Close to family friendly parks * Biking trails nearby

27. 2025-01-08
    listed $222,995 Active 536-char remark

    Show marketing remark (536 chars)

    * Walk-in closet at primary bedroom and bedroom 2 * Spacious kitchen countertops * Colonial baseboards * Whirlpool® stainless steel kitchen appliances * 42-in. garden tub/shower combination at primary bath * Smart thermostat * Front porch * Open floor plan * Split-bedroom layout * Den * Dedicated laundry room * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Playground * Near local schools * Close to medical facilities * Near entertainment and leisure * Close to family friendly parks * Biking trails nearby

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,412
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,381
• − Property taxes: −$3,315
• − Insurance: −$1,105
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,633
• − Management: −$1,633
• − Depreciation: −$6,430
• Taxable loss: −$6,085
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,461
• After-tax cash flow: $-744/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a cosmetic rehab level and is move-in ready with minimal repairs needed.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
• Both Smart home integration — Modernizes home and adds convenience

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
• Both Smart home integration — Modernizes home and adds convenience ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: East Central ISD
• NCES district ID: 4817850
• Math proficiency: 16% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 25% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $53,941
• Composite: 18.67/100
• National rank: #8887
• State rank: #758 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #31
• US rank: #1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: San Antonio, TX
• County: Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
• City population: 1,806,925
• Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
• Population (ZIP): 26,476
• Household income: $66,362
• Rent vs Own: 28.5% rent · 71.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 686.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,336,851 people
• By 2030: 2,560,728 · +9.6%
• By 2040: 3,020,569 · +29.3%
• By 2050: 3,493,522 · +49.5%
• By 2075: 4,668,459 · +99.8%
• By 2100: 5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Hispanic (64%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 64% Two or more races 26% White 19% Black 14% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 55%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 14% · Canada
• Languages at home: 61% English-only · Spanish 37% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -14.18%
• Current HPI: 278.8429
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.35%
• Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-5.4% since first listed

12 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-28 Price Changed $210,995 Zillow
• 2026-04-06 Price Changed $209,995 Zillow
• 2026-03-07 Price Changed $204,995 Zillow
• 2026-02-27 Price Changed $209,995 Zillow
• 2026-01-24 Price Changed $199,995 Zillow
• 2025-10-18 Price Changed $209,995 Zillow
• 2025-10-14 Price Changed $205,995 Zillow
• 2025-09-03 Price Changed $203,995 Zillow
• 2025-07-16 Price Changed $201,995 Zillow
• 2025-03-01 Price Changed $199,995 Zillow
• 2025-01-13 Price Changed $229,995 Zillow
• 2025-01-08 Listed $222,995 Zillow