567 S Haworth Ave · Decatur, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great potential in this 2 bedroom bungalow home with detached garage, full basement and true curb appeal!
Key facts
- Full basement
- Curb appeal
- Bungalow home
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Built in 1918
- Construction: Shingle roof; Not new construction
- Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 160
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (approx. 10 x 10)
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms (both on the main level); Bedroom 1 approximately 10 x 11; Bedroom 2 approximately 10 x 10
- Flooring: Flooring listed as Other in main rooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full, unfinished basement; No fireplaces; Egress windows in some bedrooms
- Laundry & utility: Basement provides utility/storage space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $528 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($942 rent vs $30k).
- Cap rate 27.5% vs local median 7.0% in Decatur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,076 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Decatur SD 61 (urban): math 3% / reading 6% proficiency, ranked #605 of 620 in IL (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 89% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 63 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macon County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 75.66%
- DSCR
- 4.37
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $45,000
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1048 Tuttle St | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 882 (-2%) | 19mo | $46,000 | $52 | 76 |
| 553 S Boyd St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 1,016 (+13%) | 2mo | $38,000 | $37 | 74 |
| 228 Home Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 966 (+7%) | 0mo | $15,000 | $16 | 65 |
| 1061 W Decatur St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 828 (-8%) | 9mo | $25,000 | $30 | 62 |
| 1087 W Tuttle St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 768 (-15%) | 3mo | $38,500 | $50 | 60 |
| 705 S Oakland Ct | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 780 (-13%) | 10mo | $100 | — | 52 |
| 1021 W Cerro Gordo St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 950 (+6%) | 14mo | $70,000 | $74 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 75.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.44×
- Total profit
- $28,792
- Equity at exit
- $4,458
- IRR
- 79.3%
- Equity multiple
- 9.17×
- Total profit
- $68,441
- Equity at exit
- $2,585
Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62522
- Home prices YoY
- -16.9%
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $942 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $561/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$198
- Net cashflow
- $528
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,475
- Closing costs
- $897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1035 S Main St Decatur, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 847 | $880 | $1.04 | 14d | 7 | 0.86mi |
| 853 N College St Decatur, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $925 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1045 N Monroe St Decatur, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1094 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 759 E Lawrence St Decatur, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $695 | $0.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 803 E Whitmer St Decatur, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $935 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1311 N Walnut Grove Ave Decatur, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 781 | $1,100 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1245 N Union St Decatur, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $995 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1345 N Fairview Ave Decatur, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 785 | $985 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1091 N Oakcrest Ave Decatur, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $950 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $29,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $29,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $29,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $29,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $29,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 105-char remark
-
2026-06-13$29,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $561 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $620 · $52/mo
- Expected delta
- +$59/yr (+$5/mo · 10.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,299
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,675
- − Property taxes
- −$561
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$904
- − Management
- −$904
- − Depreciation
- −$870
- Taxable income
- $6,236
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,497
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,837/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Decatur SD 61
- NCES district ID
- 1711850
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 6% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,864
- Composite
- 3.99/100
- National rank
- #10059
- State rank
- #605 of 620 in IL
Livability — Decatur
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1076
- US rank
- #20533
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Decatur, IL
- County
- Macon County · 78,333 people
- City population
- 78,333
- Metro
- Decatur, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,185
- Household income
- $50,669
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 321.0
Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 99,568 people
- By 2030
- 94,973 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 85,250 · -14.4%
- By 2050
- 75,920 · -23.8%
- By 2075
- 55,962 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 36,468 · -63.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 28% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Macon
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -18.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.9 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+18.1 2012: R+5.2 2008: D+1.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -36.64%
- Current HPI
- 180.7847
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Decatur, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $29,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2024): $561 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…