🏗️ New Construction
10075 W 9th Pl · Kennewick, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 14 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.6/30.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.1/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$2,095
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MLS# 275309 * * 4.99% or 5.5% FHA/VA or 5.75% and 5.99% CONVENTIONAL 30 YEAR FIXED INTEREST RATE * * The Clark floor plan at Crimson Hills spans 1,657 square feet over two stories, featuring 3 bedrooms, a loft, 2.5 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. Step inside and be greeted by the open layout of the main floor, perfect for entertaining or unwinding after a long day. The thoughtfully designed kitchen boasts a pantry, stainless steel appliances, and solid surface countertops. Upstairs, you'll find the bedrooms, laundry, and a second full bathroom. The versatile loft is ideal for a home office or play area. The primary bedroom suite features a spacious walk-in closet and private bathroom. Additional features of the Clark include professionally designed front yard landscaping, a Smart Home technology package, and a 10-year limited warranty. * * OUR MODEL HOME LOCATED AT 931 ZEELAR IS OPEN WEDNESDAY - MONDAY 11-5:30 P. M. * *
Key facts
- Stone countertops
- Modern kitchen
- Oversized windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $2k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-792 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $2k).
- Recommended offer: $2k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#131 in WA, #2,599 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D+, amenities D+, crime F.
- Kennewick School District (urban): math 43% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #141 of 291 in WA (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 286 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,532 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Benton County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($2k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 270.0% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.61% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.00%
- DSCR
- 0.60
- GRM
- 13.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $377,162
- List price
- $2,095
- Delta
- -99.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 883 S Zeelar St | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 | 1,657 (-4%) | 3mo | $364,995 | $220 | 86 |
| 915 S Zeelar St | 0.10mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,819 (+5%) | 3mo | $409,995 | $225 | 80 |
| 501 S Yolo Pl | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 | 1,657 (-4%) | 5mo | $364,995 | $220 | 80 |
| 755 S Zeelar St | 0.12mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,819 (+5%) | 6mo | $384,995 | $212 | 76 |
| 9644 W 5th Pl | 0.20mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,819 (+5%) | 3mo | $410,995 | $226 | 75 |
| 9708 W 5th Pl | 0.20mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,819 (+5%) | 4mo | $399,995 | $220 | 74 |
| 560 S Zeelar St | 0.20mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,819 (+5%) | 6mo | $389,995 | $214 | 72 |
| 867 S Zeelar St | 0.10mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,929 (+11%) | 3mo | $389,995 | $202 | 69 |
| 899 S Zeelar St | 0.10mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,929 (+11%) | 3mo | $423,926 | $220 | 69 |
| 517 S Yolo Pl | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 | 1,499 (-14%) | 4mo | $359,995 | $240 | 65 |
| 9676 W 5th Pl | 0.21mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,929 (+11%) | 3mo | $421,531 | $219 | 64 |
| 9740 W 5th Pl | 0.21mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,929 (+11%) | 4mo | $389,995 | $202 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -31.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.05×
- Total profit
- $-110,623
- Equity at exit
- $56,236
- IRR
- -34.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.49×
- Total profit
- $-157,402
- Equity at exit
- $32,610
Cash invested: $105,605 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99336
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 286
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,297 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,978
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$471 /mo · $5,657/yr
- Insurance
- −$157
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$482
- Net cashflow
- $-792
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $94,291
- Closing costs
- $11,315
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 883 S Zeelar St Kennewick, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1735 | $2,395 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 867 S Zeelar St Kennewick, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1968 | $2,495 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 10251 Ridgeline Dr Kennewick, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $1,739 | $1.93 | 14d | 27 | 0.71mi |
| 8180 W 4th Ave Kennewick, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $2,299 | $1.91 | 14d | 4 | 0.87mi |
| 8831 W Entiat Ave Kennewick, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,995 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 7968 W 10th Ave Kennewick, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 951 | $2,200 | $2.31 | 14d | 10 | 1.00mi |
| 7960 W 10th Ave Kennewick, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 946 | $2,345 | $2.48 | 14d | 9 | 1.11mi |
| 7803 W Deschutes Ave Kennewick, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $2,010 | $2.17 | 14d | 13 | 1.28mi |
| 1080 N Montana St Kennewick, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1842 | $2,600 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 725 N Center Pkwy Kennewick, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1086 | $2,195 | $2.02 | 14d | 9 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-12$2,095
-
2026-05-11$2,095 Active 2243-char remark
-
2024-07-25soldstatus $385,000 Closed 941-char remark
Show marketing remark (941 chars)
MLS# 275309 * * 4.99% or 5.5% FHA/VA or 5.75% and 5.99% CONVENTIONAL 30 YEAR FIXED INTEREST RATE * * The Clark floor plan at Crimson Hills spans 1,657 square feet over two stories, featuring 3 bedrooms, a loft, 2.5 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. Step inside and be greeted by the open layout of the main floor, perfect for entertaining or unwinding after a long day. The thoughtfully designed kitchen boasts a pantry, stainless steel appliances, and solid surface countertops. Upstairs, you'll find the bedrooms, laundry, and a second full bathroom. The versatile loft is ideal for a home office or play area. The primary bedroom suite features a spacious walk-in closet and private bathroom. Additional features of the Clark include professionally designed front yard landscaping, a Smart Home technology package, and a 10-year limited warranty. * * OUR MODEL HOME LOCATED AT 931 ZEELAR IS OPEN WEDNESDAY - MONDAY 11-5:30 P. M. * *
-
2024-05-26status Pending 941-char remark
Show marketing remark (941 chars)
MLS# 275309 * * 4.99% or 5.5% FHA/VA or 5.75% and 5.99% CONVENTIONAL 30 YEAR FIXED INTEREST RATE * * The Clark floor plan at Crimson Hills spans 1,657 square feet over two stories, featuring 3 bedrooms, a loft, 2.5 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. Step inside and be greeted by the open layout of the main floor, perfect for entertaining or unwinding after a long day. The thoughtfully designed kitchen boasts a pantry, stainless steel appliances, and solid surface countertops. Upstairs, you'll find the bedrooms, laundry, and a second full bathroom. The versatile loft is ideal for a home office or play area. The primary bedroom suite features a spacious walk-in closet and private bathroom. Additional features of the Clark include professionally designed front yard landscaping, a Smart Home technology package, and a 10-year limited warranty. * * OUR MODEL HOME LOCATED AT 931 ZEELAR IS OPEN WEDNESDAY - MONDAY 11-5:30 P. M. * *
-
2024-04-18$385,995 Active 941-char remark
Show marketing remark (941 chars)
MLS# 275309 * * 4.99% or 5.5% FHA/VA or 5.75% and 5.99% CONVENTIONAL 30 YEAR FIXED INTEREST RATE * * The Clark floor plan at Crimson Hills spans 1,657 square feet over two stories, featuring 3 bedrooms, a loft, 2.5 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. Step inside and be greeted by the open layout of the main floor, perfect for entertaining or unwinding after a long day. The thoughtfully designed kitchen boasts a pantry, stainless steel appliances, and solid surface countertops. Upstairs, you'll find the bedrooms, laundry, and a second full bathroom. The versatile loft is ideal for a home office or play area. The primary bedroom suite features a spacious walk-in closet and private bathroom. Additional features of the Clark include professionally designed front yard landscaping, a Smart Home technology package, and a 10-year limited warranty. * * OUR MODEL HOME LOCATED AT 931 ZEELAR IS OPEN WEDNESDAY - MONDAY 11-5:30 P. M. * *
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,561
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,127
- − Property taxes
- −$5,657
- − Insurance
- −$1,886
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,205
- − Management
- −$2,205
- − Depreciation
- −$10,972
- Taxable loss
- −$16,491
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,958
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,547/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kennewick School District
- NCES district ID
- 5303930
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,191
- Composite
- 45.56/100
- National rank
- #5667
- State rank
- #141 of 291 in WA
Livability — Kennewick
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #131
- US rank
- #2599
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kennewick, WA
- County
- Benton County · 186,895 people
- City population
- 104,655
- Metro
- Kennewick-Richland, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,735
- Household income
- $62,527
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2605.0
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 219,421 people
- By 2030
- 233,813 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 262,134 · +19.5%
- By 2050
- 290,100 · +32.2%
- By 2075
- 363,525 · +65.7%
- By 2100
- 418,667 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 15% Black 3% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 29% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.9) · D 37.7% · R 59.6% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -21.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.9 2020: R+21.0 2016: R+26.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+26.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -408.26%
- Current HPI
- 256.1143
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.39%
- Metro
- Kennewick-Richland, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
||
Price history
-99.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Rental Removed $2,095 APPFOLIO
- 2026-05-12 Listed for Rent $2,095 APPFOLIO
- 2024-07-25 Sold (MLS) $385,000 PACMLS
- 2024-05-26 Pending — PACMLS
- 2024-04-18 Listed $385,995 PACMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…