612 Pine Ave · Cheswick, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Cheswick, owned and maintained by the same family for over 30 years. The home offers a functional layout with three bedrooms, providing flexibility for living space, a home office, or guest use. A covered front porch adds usable outdoor space and a great place to relax. Inside, the home is comfortable as-is, with the opportunity for light updates over time to add value and personalize the space. This property presents a solid option for buyers entering the market, those looking to simplify their space, or anyone interested in the convenience of main-level living. Convenient location with access to shopping, amenities, and major routes.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Functional layout
- Convenient location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $186 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (1.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $154k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#176 in PA, #1,469 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Allegheny Valley SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #341 of 539 in PA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 31y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $159k implies a 209% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.01%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $197,506
- List price
- $159,000
- Delta
- -19.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 808 Thompson Run Rd | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 920 (+5%) | 9mo | $137,000 | $149 | 58 |
| 107 Orr Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 884 (+1%) | 12mo | $145,000 | $164 | 56 |
| 812 Orchard St | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 823 (-6%) | 20mo | $161,000 | $196 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-13,934
- Equity at exit
- $23,707
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $3,079
- Equity at exit
- $13,747
Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15024
- Home prices YoY
- -9.2%
- Active inventory
- 31
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,562 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax from tax record
- −$148 /mo · $1,781/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$328
- Net cashflow
- $186
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,750
- Closing costs
- $4,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-07status $159,000 Pending 54 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,000 Contingent 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,000 Contingent 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,000 Contingent 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,000 Contingent 51 DOM
-
2026-05-15historical Contingent 685-char remark
Show marketing remark (685 chars)
Welcome to this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Cheswick, owned and maintained by the same family for over 30 years. The home offers a functional layout with three bedrooms, providing flexibility for living space, a home office, or guest use. A covered front porch adds usable outdoor space and a great place to relax. Inside, the home is comfortable as-is, with the opportunity for light updates over time to add value and personalize the space. This property presents a solid option for buyers entering the market, those looking to simplify their space, or anyone interested in the convenience of main-level living. Convenient location with access to shopping, amenities, and major routes.
-
2026-04-10$159,000 Active 685-char remark
Show marketing remark (685 chars)
Welcome to this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Cheswick, owned and maintained by the same family for over 30 years. The home offers a functional layout with three bedrooms, providing flexibility for living space, a home office, or guest use. A covered front porch adds usable outdoor space and a great place to relax. Inside, the home is comfortable as-is, with the opportunity for light updates over time to add value and personalize the space. This property presents a solid option for buyers entering the market, those looking to simplify their space, or anyone interested in the convenience of main-level living. Convenient location with access to shopping, amenities, and major routes.
-
1995-10-20soldstatus $51,500 76-char remark
Show marketing remark (76 chars)
PERFECT STARTER MOVE IN CONDITION REAL DOLL HOUSE ALL NEGOTIONS THRU L/AGENT
-
1995-08-15soldstatus $51,500
-
1995-05-15$53,900 76-char remark
Show marketing remark (76 chars)
PERFECT STARTER MOVE IN CONDITION REAL DOLL HOUSE ALL NEGOTIONS THRU L/AGENT
-
1982-06-07soldstatus $31,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,781 · $148/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,147 · $179/mo
- Expected delta
- +$366/yr (+$30/mo · 20.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,749
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,906
- − Property taxes
- −$1,781
- − Insurance
- −$795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,500
- − Management
- −$1,500
- − Depreciation
- −$4,625
- Taxable loss
- −$358
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$86
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,316/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allegheny Valley SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202190
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,049
- Composite
- 35.04/100
- National rank
- #5037
- State rank
- #341 of 539 in PA
Livability — Cheswick
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #176
- US rank
- #1469
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cheswick, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,192
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Asian 3% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Chinese 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -25.38%
- Current HPI
- 248.9181
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+412.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $159,000 West Penn MLS
- 1995-10-20 Sold (MLS) $51,500 West Penn MLS
- 1995-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $51,500 Public Records
- 1995-05-15 Listed $53,900 West Penn MLS
- 1982-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2026): $1,781 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…