507 Cushman Ave · Collings Lakes, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTOR ALERT! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath, 1600-square-foot home sits on a large lot. However, it needs a total renovation from the rooter to the tooter. Priced to sell, and being sold as-is. CALLING all investors and cash buyers. This would be a great investment. Call NOW to schedule your private tour!
Key facts
- 1,600 sq ft lot
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1955
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above-grade finished living area reported as 1,600 (source: assessor)
- Financial info: Property listed in fee simple ownership; Property condition listed as below average and in need of major rehab
- HOA & community: Annual HOA fee of $641
Exterior
- Parking: Three total garage and parking spaces (includes driveway spaces)
- Utilities: Well water; Private septic tank; Natural gas available
- Home design: Detached structure; Estimated year built; Crawl space foundation; Insulated windows
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood siding
- Exterior features: Detached property; Gravel driveway; Three driveway parking spaces
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level, one on upper level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Doors with lever handles; No basement; Seven total rooms including living and dining areas
- Laundry & utility: Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $110k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#460 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living B, housing B; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Buena Regional School District (rural): math 11% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #425 of 472 in NJ (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 270 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $110k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.9% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.56%
- DSCR
- 2.89
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $340,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 Delwyn Ln | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,501 (-6%) | 3mo | $169,000 | $113 | 82 |
| 105 Cloverdale Ln | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (0%) | 1mo | $390,000 | $244 | 80 |
| 323 Woodlawn Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,728 (+8%) | 5mo | $300,000 | $174 | 62 |
| 119 W Collings Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,500 (-6%) | 6mo | $320,000 | $213 | 61 |
| 207 Woodlawn Ave | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,722 (+8%) | 3mo | $389,000 | $226 | 57 |
| 309 Jays Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,422 (-11%) | 3mo | $350,000 | $246 | 55 |
| 309 W Collings Dr | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,632 (+2%) | 14mo | $350,000 | $214 | 53 |
| 202 Wayne Ave | 0.51mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,728 (+8%) | 6mo | $275,000 | $159 | 51 |
| 119 E Collings Dr | 0.50mi | 3/3.0 | 1,830 (+14%) | 4mo | $405,000 | $221 | 46 |
| 315 Jays Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,422 (-11%) | 18mo | $300,000 | $211 | 43 |
| 310 Fairmont Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,423 (-11%) | 19mo | $255,000 | $179 | 41 |
| 313 Jays Ave | 0.46mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,422 (-11%) | 16mo | $303,000 | $213 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $51,974
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 45.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.41×
- Total profit
- $135,855
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08094
- Active inventory
- 270
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,805 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$450 /mo · $5,395/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$53
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$589
- Net cashflow
- $1,091
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,480 | -5% $1,442 | +0% $1,091 | +5% $1,060 | +10% $1,029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $870 | -5% $981 | +0% $1,091 | +5% $1,202 | +10% $1,313 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,147 | -0.5pp $1,119 | base $1,091 | +0.5pp $1,063 | +1.0pp $1,034 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $53 · $636/yr
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $109,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 301-char remark
-
2026-06-17$109,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,395 · $450/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,395 · $450/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,664
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$5,395
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,693
- − Management
- −$2,693
- − HOA
- −$636
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $12,343
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,962
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,135/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buena Regional School District
- NCES district ID
- 3402400
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,887
- Composite
- 18.53/100
- National rank
- #8915
- State rank
- #425 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Collings Lakes
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #460
- US rank
- #17498
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Collings Lakes, NJ
- County
- Gloucester County · 160,422 people
- City population
- 50,264
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,595
- Household income
- $96,699
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 721.0
Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 268,948 people
- By 2030
- 264,497 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 252,261 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 237,846 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 210,650 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 180,234 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -213.12%
- Current HPI
- 278.3849
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+399.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-16 Listed $109,900 SJSRMLS
- 1981-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,395 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…