3259 Hunters Glen Dr · Missouri City, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.2/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Appreciation +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$290,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
4 bedroom 2 and half bath home extremely well kept and clean. The house is located in a cul-de-sac. Very open living area, kitchen with island. Tile entry with fireplace. Big game room upstairs. Great backyard with covered patio. Minutes from Quail Valley Golf course.
Key facts
- Quiet cul-de-sac
- Open layout
- Covered patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area approximately 2,132; 11 total rooms; Disclosures: Municipal Utility District Disclosure, Seller Disclosure
- HOA & community: Community association managed by Marshall Mgt. Group; Annual association fee of $171; Curbs in the community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Concrete road access
- Home design: Residential property; Full ownership; Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Construction: Brick and wood siding construction; Built in 1976
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Deck; Fenced backyard; Corner lot; Cul-de-sac lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Granite counters
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (17x14); Additional bedroom on the first floor (14x12); Additional bedroom on the first floor (14x12); Bedroom on the second floor (12x12)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Primary bathroom on the first floor (12x12)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Granite counters; Tub/shower
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-183 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $258k (11.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $246k (15.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $246k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.5% in Missouri City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#526 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Fort Bend ISD (suburban): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #140 of 826 in TX (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lantern Lane El (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #2,791 of 4,322 statewide, top 68%, 472 students, 77% FRL); Quail Valley Middle (math 55% / reading 57%, grade B-, #234 of 1,662 statewide, top 14%, 1,043 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 35% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 1215 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.7%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.71%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $287,820
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2818 Eaglerock Cir | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 | 2,146 (+1%) | 2mo | $289,000 | $135 | 78 |
| 2503 Fall Meadow Dr | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 | 2,319 (+9%) | 2mo | $279,990 | $121 | 69 |
| 2914 Quail Valley East Dr | 0.60mi | 4/2.5 | 2,146 (+1%) | 2mo | $299,000 | $139 | 67 |
| 2230 Quail Valley East Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,838 (-14%) | 2mo | $224,900 | $122 | 64 |
| 3043 Bonney Briar Dr | 0.62mi | 4/2.5 | 2,206 (+4%) | 1mo | $309,900 | $140 | 62 |
| 2726 Valley Forest Dr | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 1,937 (-9%) | 4mo | $298,000 | $154 | 61 |
| 2134 Hilton Head Dr | 0.29mi | 4/2.5 | 2,420 (+14%) | 1mo | $259,777 | $107 | 61 |
| 1747 Hilton Head Dr | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 | 2,030 (-5%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $148 | 60 |
| 1927 S Bend Cir | 0.46mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,985 (-7%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $134 | 55 |
| 3815 Lamplighter Cir | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 | 2,343 (+10%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $128 | 54 |
| 4014 S Sandy Ct | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 | 2,367 (+11%) | 0mo | $299,900 | $127 | 46 |
| 3019 Quail Valley East Dr | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 1,868 (-12%) | 4mo | $264,900 | $142 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.67% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-49,222
- Equity at exit
- $60,821
- IRR
- -12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-70,263
- Equity at exit
- $56,335
Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77459
- Home prices YoY
- -0.8%
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 1215
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,457 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,521
- Tax from tax record
- −$468 /mo · $5,619/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$14
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$516
- Net cashflow
- $-183
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,500
- Closing costs
- $8,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2319 Quail Valley East Dr Missouri City, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2235 | $2,000 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2010 Quail Valley East Dr Missouri City, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2651 | $2,695 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2307 Hilton Head Dr Missouri City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2606 | $2,239 | $0.86 | 16d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3618 Quail Meadow Dr Missouri City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1618 | $1,966 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3907 Kiamesha Dr Missouri City, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2896 | $2,750 | $0.95 | 17d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1919 Doliver Cir Missouri City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1515 | $2,000 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4039 Mission Valley Dr Missouri City, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2364 | $2,495 | $1.06 | 22d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1323 Park Crest Dr Missouri City, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2607 | $2,600 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2910 Fawn Ct Missouri City, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2330 | $2,220 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3912 Cedar Valley Dr Missouri City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2151 | $2,200 | $1.02 | 20d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 17318 Edgehaven Dr Missouri City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $1,695 | $1.17 | 20d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1109 Lakes Edge Ln Missouri City, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2847 | $2,800 | $0.98 | 20d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3327 Shady Glen Ln Missouri City, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2232 | $2,250 | $1.01 | 12d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3512 Talia Wood Ct Missouri City, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2950 | $2,900 | $0.98 | 10d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1935 Poco Dr Missouri City, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2868 | $2,326 | $0.81 | 22d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $14 · $168/yr
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $290,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $290,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $290,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $290,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $290,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $290,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $290,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $290,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $290,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $290,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $290,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $290,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $290,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-05-18$290,000 Active
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2021-11-19soldstatus
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2016-10-31soldstatus
-
2016-10-28soldstatus Sold 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
4 bedroom 2 and half bath home extremely well kept and clean. The house is located in a cul-de-sac. Very open living area, kitchen with island. Tile entry with fireplace. Big game room upstairs. Great backyard with covered patio. Minutes from Quail Valley Golf course.
-
2016-10-10status Pending 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
4 bedroom 2 and half bath home extremely well kept and clean. The house is located in a cul-de-sac. Very open living area, kitchen with island. Tile entry with fireplace. Big game room upstairs. Great backyard with covered patio. Minutes from Quail Valley Golf course.
-
2016-10-01status Option Pending 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
4 bedroom 2 and half bath home extremely well kept and clean. The house is located in a cul-de-sac. Very open living area, kitchen with island. Tile entry with fireplace. Big game room upstairs. Great backyard with covered patio. Minutes from Quail Valley Golf course.
-
2016-09-27$178,000 Active 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
4 bedroom 2 and half bath home extremely well kept and clean. The house is located in a cul-de-sac. Very open living area, kitchen with island. Tile entry with fireplace. Big game room upstairs. Great backyard with covered patio. Minutes from Quail Valley Golf course.
-
2007-12-11soldstatus
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2007-12-05soldstatus
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2007-08-13historical
-
2007-02-20$97,500
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2007-01-02historical
-
2006-11-01$109,999
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2003-10-20soldstatus
-
1993-04-06soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,619 · $468/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,619 · $468/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,479
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,245
- − Property taxes
- −$5,619
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,358
- − Management
- −$2,358
- − HOA
- −$168
- − Depreciation
- −$8,436
- Taxable loss
- −$7,156
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,717
- After-tax cash flow
- $-481/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Bend ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819650
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $82,360
- Composite
- 44.61/100
- National rank
- #2779
- State rank
- #140 of 826 in TX
Livability — Missouri City
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #526
- US rank
- #10308
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Missouri City, TX
- County
- Fort Bend County · 836,777 people
- City population
- 123,513
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 84,221
- Household income
- $129,151
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1004.0
Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,004,526 people
- By 2030
- 1,153,104 · +14.8%
- By 2040
- 1,453,718 · +44.7%
- By 2050
- 1,753,781 · +74.6%
- By 2075
- 2,455,772 · +144.5%
- By 2100
- 2,930,528 · +191.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 34% Black 26% Asian 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 8% Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.67%
- Current HPI
- 212.3573
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.15%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+163.6% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $290,000 HARMLS
- 2021-11-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-10-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-10-28 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2016-10-10 Pending — HARMLS
- 2016-10-01 Pending — HARMLS
- 2016-09-27 Listed $178,000 HARMLS
- 2007-12-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-12-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-08-13 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2007-02-20 Listed $97,500 HARMLS
- 2007-01-02 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2006-11-01 Listed $109,999 HARMLS
- 2003-10-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1993-04-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $5,619 · -7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…