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534-536 Highland Ave
B+ Composite 75.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

534-536 Highland Ave · Johnstown, PA 15902
6 bd · 0.0 ba · 2,408 sqft · SingleFamily · 5 Days on market
Built 1900 4,792 sqft lot Est $92k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

WELL MAINTAINED BRICK DUPLEX IN THE CITY OF JOHNSTOWN'S 17TH WARD IS IDEAL FOR REAL ESTATE INVESTORS. .. each of the units comes complete with living room, dining room, kitchen, 3 bedrooms, full bath, attic, and basement. Unit 534 has been recently updated with laminate floors and new furnace (2023). Both units are currently vacant, had all windows replaced (2010), have separate utilities, and offer covered front and rear porches, fenced yard, and off-street parking for 3 vehicles. Conveniently located to transportation, shopping, restaurants, hospital/medical facilities, and recreation/entertainment venues. This is a must-see property. Call today for more information, to receive your tour

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Kitchen
  • Brick duplex

Tags

BRICK DUPLEXLIVING ROOMDINING ROOMKITCHENUPDATED LAMINATE FLOORSCOVERED FRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 40 x 120 (0.11 acres); Zoned residential
  • Financial info: Tax annual amount available
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Multi-family residential income property; 2 stories
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Range; Oven
  • Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Wood
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Hot water heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $590 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 15.0% in Johnstown — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#363 in PA, #3,168 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Greater Johnstown SD (urban): math 9% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #509 of 539 in PA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.23%
Cap rate
19.22%
Cash-on-cash
46.18%
DSCR
3.05
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$91,504
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
609 Coleman Ave 0.29mi 5/2.5 (-1) 2,232 (-7%) 14mo $85,000 $38 48
1100 Boyd Ave 0.64mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,688 (+12%) 16mo $63,000 $23 21

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.9%
Equity multiple
2.66×
Total profit
$27,918
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
45.4%
Equity multiple
5.35×
Total profit
$72,904
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15902

Home prices YoY
-28.8%
Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,338 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $869/yr
Insurance
$25
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$590

Break-even live

Break-even rent $591
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $624 -5% $607 +0% $590 +5% $573 +10% $556
Rent -10% $484 -5% $537 +0% $590 +5% $643 +10% $696
Rate -1.0pp $620 -0.5pp $605 base $590 +0.5pp $574 +1.0pp $559

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-07
    listed $59,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$869 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$907 · $76/mo
Expected delta
+$39/yr (+$3/mo · 4.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥93°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,054
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$869
− Insurance
−$966
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,284
− Management
−$1,284
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$6,553
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,573
After-tax cash flow
$5,506/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greater Johnstown SD
NCES district ID
4210950
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,890
Composite
13.25/100
National rank
#9550
State rank
#509 of 539 in PA

Livability — Johnstown

Score
77/100
State rank
#363
US rank
#3168

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Johnstown, PA
County
Cambria County · 30,791 people
City population
30,791
Metro
Johnstown, PA
Population (ZIP)
11,462
Household income
$44,215
Rent vs Own
35.7% rent · 64.3% own
Severe rent burden
266.0

Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,754 people
By 2030
115,827 · -5.6%
By 2040
101,309 · -17.5%
By 2050
88,379 · -28.0%
By 2075
65,237 · -46.9%
By 2100
46,909 · -61.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Two or more races 14% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Hungarian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Cambria

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -43.86%
Current HPI
108.2198
Rent YoY
Metro
Johnstown, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending CSMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $59,900 CSMLS

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $869 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…