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214 E Harding Ave
B- Composite 69.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

214 E Harding Ave · Harlingen, TX 78550
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 964 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1960 7,420 sqft lot $103/sqft · 22% below area Est $126k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment 2 bedrooms 1 bath inside laundry . living room dining room , needs some TLC located well with quick access to Expressway and Business 77. Roof a few years old and water heater is just 1 yr old

Key facts

  • Roof a few years old
  • Inside laundry
  • 7,420 sq ft lot

Tags

INSIDE LAUNDRYQUICK ACCESS TO EXPRESSWAYQUICK ACCESS TO BUSINESS 77ROOF A FEW YEARS OLDWATER HEATER 1 YR OLD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.8% in Harlingen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#217 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, commute F.
  • Harlingen CISD (urban): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #647 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 465 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,030 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
9.35%
Cash-on-cash
10.91%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$126,387
List price
$99,000
Delta
-21.67%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
210 W Mckinley Ave 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 984 (+2%) 20mo $118,000 $120 57
710 5th St 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,008 (+5%) 7mo $160,000 $159 52
314 W Lincoln Ave 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,000 (+4%) 9mo $172,500 $173 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.5%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$573
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$23,514
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78550

Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
465
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,197 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$134 /mo · $1,603/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$252

Break-even live

Break-even rent $878
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1604 Clinton St Unit 1 Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,495 $1.42 43d 1 0.29mi
1600 Clinton St Unit 1 Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,495 $1.42 43d 1 0.29mi
1704 Clinton St Unit 2 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 956 $1,295 $1.35 43d 1 0.30mi
1704 Clinton St Unit 2 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 1010 $1,295 $1.28 21d 1 0.30mi
1704 Clinton St Unit 1 Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 1010 $1,495 $1.48 43d 1 0.30mi
1725 Clinton St Unit A Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 807 $1,295 $1.60 21d 1 0.33mi
1725 Clinton St Unit A Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 807 $1,295 $1.60 43d 1 0.33mi
225 E New Hampshire St Unit 14 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 936 $1,300 $1.39 21d 1 0.69mi
1501 Sam Houston Dr Apt 6H Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.5 1015 $775 $0.76 43d 1 0.74mi
619 E Pierce Ave Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 1000 $800 $0.80 43d 1 0.76mi
3936 Bourbon St Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 880 $750 $0.85 21d 1 0.80mi
602 Scotch St Unit 1 Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $600 $0.67 43d 1 0.82mi
602 Scotch St Unit 8 Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $650 $0.72 43d 1 0.82mi
602 Scotch St Unit 16 Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $600 $0.67 21d 1 0.82mi
501 W Pierce Ave Harlingen, TX 3.0 2.0 847 $950 $1.12 21d 1 0.87mi
4402 Glasscock Ave Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 845 $895 $1.06 43d 1 0.87mi
1005 W Garfield St Apt C2 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.0 1120 $995 $0.89 21d 1 0.92mi
1608 Sam Houston Dr Harlingen, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 790 $839 $1.06 13d 11 1.07mi
204 S 7th St Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 713 $725 $1.02 21d 1 1.13mi
317 Oklahoma St Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 684 $900 $1.32 21d 1 1.22mi
106 S A St Harlingen, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 877 $850 $0.97 13d 3 1.24mi
709 E Jackson St Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,050 $0.95 13d 1 1.26mi
504 Rock Cir Unit 1 Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.5 1050 $925 $0.88 21d 1 1.28mi
1722 Stone Dr Unit 2 Harlingen, TX 2.0 2.5 1100 $1,000 $0.91 43d 1 1.29mi
409 E Madison Ave Unit 4 Harlingen, TX 2.0 1.0 770 $750 $0.97 43d 1 1.38mi
1902 E Tyler Ave Harlingen, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1007 $1,060 $1.05 13d 6 1.39mi
2020 S 23rd St Harlingen, TX 3.0 1.0 961 $1,200 $1.25 21d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,000 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,000 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,000 Active 38 DOM
  15. 2026-04-21
    listed $99,000 Active 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Great investment 2 bedrooms 1 bath inside laundry . living room dining room , needs some TLC located well with quick access to Expressway and Business 77. Roof a few years old and water heater is just 1 yr old

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,603 · $134/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,812 · $151/mo
Expected delta
+$209/yr (+$17/mo · 13.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,369
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,603
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,150
− Management
−$1,150
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$1,546
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$371
After-tax cash flow
$2,652/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harlingen CISD
NCES district ID
4822530
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -28.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,182
Composite
24.94/100
National rank
#7566
State rank
#647 of 826 in TX

Livability — Harlingen

Score
73/100
State rank
#217
US rank
#5347

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harlingen, TX
County
Cameron County · 310,734 people
City population
95,667
Metro
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
Population (ZIP)
53,335
Household income
$49,007
Rent vs Own
49.5% rent · 50.5% own
Severe rent burden
2251.0

Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
441,603 people
By 2030
448,113 · +1.5%
By 2040
456,385 · +3.3%
By 2050
456,294 · +3.3%
By 2075
423,851 · -4.0%
By 2100
342,787 · -22.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (83%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 83% Two or more races 29% White 14% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 76%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
51% English-only · Spanish 48%

Political lean MEDSL · Cameron

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
2008→2024 swing
-34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.60%
Current HPI
167.7038
Rent YoY
▲ 3.45%
Metro
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $99,000 RGVMLS

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,603 · +82.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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