300 S Wall St · Itasca, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.5/30.0
- ARV discount +11.8/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located on a desirable corner lot in Itasca, this well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,228 square feet of comfortable living space with thoughtful updates throughout. Major improvements have already been taken care of, including a roof replaced just 2 years ago and extensive upgrades completed within the last year featuring mini-split systems, updated flooring, modern kitchen countertops, new windows, and fresh exterior paint. The property stands out with exceptional parking and workspace options, offering a total of 5 covered parking spaces along with a spacious 2-car garage that doubles perfectly as a workshop. With its combination of recent updates, functional layout, and prim
Key facts
- 9,757 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1935
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Deed restrictions; Will not subdivide
- Financial info: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, and VA financing; Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage indicated
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Carport (3 spaces); Additional parking; Driveway; Total covered parking for 5 vehicles
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected; No municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Attached status: yes; Built in 1935; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Composition roof
- Construction: Preowned
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Covered patio/porch; Chain link fencing; Workshop with electricity; Utilities easement; Corner lot with few trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Gas range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Other heating type; Wall unit cooling
- Interior features: Granite counters; High-speed internet available; Six total rooms; One living area; One dining area; One-story layout
- Laundry & utility: Utility room with full-size washer/dryer area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $105 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (12.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $158k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 5.7% in Itasca — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#832 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Itasca ISD (rural): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #636 of 826 in TX (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Itasca El (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 295 students, 74% FRL).
- Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 65 units permitted in Hill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hill County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.50%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $199,183
- List price
- $180,000
- Delta
- -9.63%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 S Lamar St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,220 (-1%) | 5mo | $244,900 | $201 | 80 |
| 604 S Aquilla St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,215 (-1%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $202 | 74 |
| 303 S Lamar | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,220 (-1%) | 19mo | $269,999 | $221 | 69 |
| 104 S College St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,232 (+0%) | 9mo | $99,999 | $81 | 57 |
| 602 S Aquilla St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,086 (-12%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $212 | 54 |
| 102 Allie Ct | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-2%) | 15mo | $235,000 | $196 | 52 |
| 403 E Adams St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,278 (+4%) | 22mo | $269,900 | $211 | 52 |
| 133 Don Ln | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,179 (-4%) | 23mo | $222,000 | $188 | 45 |
| 114 Don Ln | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,380 (+12%) | 15mo | $239,900 | $174 | 40 |
| 106 Don Ln | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (+14%) | 13mo | $225,000 | $161 | 39 |
| 104 Don Ln | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (+14%) | 14mo | $225,000 | $161 | 39 |
| 100 Allie Ct | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,110 (-10%) | 22mo | $215,000 | $194 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.08×
- Total profit
- $104,684
- Equity at exit
- $162,158
- IRR
- 22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.01×
- Total profit
- $302,934
- Equity at exit
- $349,700
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76055
- Home prices YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,575 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,443/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $105
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $207 | -5% $156 | +0% $105 | +5% $54 | +10% $3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-19 | -5% $43 | +0% $105 | +5% $167 | +10% $229 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $196 | -0.5pp $151 | base $105 | +0.5pp $58 | +1.0pp $11 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 W Adams St Itasca, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,650 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 108 E Adams St Itasca, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,650 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 202 E Henderson St Itasca, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1485 | $1,750 | $1.18 | 12d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 107 E Marrion St Unit 4 Itasca, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $875 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 111 Minnie Dr Itasca, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,775 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $180,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $180,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $190,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $190,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $190,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $190,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $190,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $190,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $190,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $190,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-04-27$190,000 Active 830-char remark
-
2026-04-14historical
-
2026-02-06price $200,000
-
2025-10-15$215,000 Active
-
2000-01-03soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,443 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,294 · $274/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,851/yr (+$154/mo · 128.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,900
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$1,443
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,512
- − Management
- −$1,512
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$1,786
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$429
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,689/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Itasca ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4824480
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,224
- Composite
- 25.26/100
- National rank
- #7499
- State rank
- #636 of 826 in TX
Livability — Itasca
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #832
- US rank
- #14977
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Itasca, TX
- City population
- 3,719
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,719
Population outlook (Hill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,013 people
- By 2030
- 33,289 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 31,688 · -6.8%
- By 2050
- 30,100 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 26,818 · -21.2%
- By 2100
- 22,918 · -32.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 9% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 11% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hill
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.4) · D 17.5% · R 81.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.0pp toward R · 2008: -41.4pp · 2024: -64.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.4 2020: R+60.7 2016: R+58.4 2012: R+53.0 2008: R+41.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.37%
- Current HPI
- 264.5221
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-16.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Price Changed $180,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $190,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-14 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $200,000 NTREIS
- 2025-10-15 Listed $215,000 NTREIS
- 2000-01-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,443 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…