1012 2nd Ave · Troy, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Clean well kept cottage with many upgrades. This house has new siding and ceramic tile. A newer 200 amp service. Hardwood floors in the living room and a carport. Enjoy the big family room. It has a nice fenced in yard with a storage shed. Low taxes and priced to sell. Very Good Condition
Key facts
- Off street parking
- Enclosed bonus room
- Carport
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Two parking spaces total; Off-street parking; Carport; Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Level lot; private with road frontage
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood siding; Shingle roof; Combination foundation; Built/updated (updated/remodeled noted)
- Exterior features: Deck; Back yard fencing; Paved driveway
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor; One half bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Updated/remodeled condition; Sliding doors; Partial unfinished basement; Six total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $663 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 5.3% in Troy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#88 in NY, #1,350 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Lansingburgh Central School District (urban): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #566 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $120k implies a 560% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.70%
- DSCR
- 2.05
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $194,376
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1014 2nd Ave | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 | 1,026 (-6%) | 13mo | $106,500 | $104 | 78 |
| 44 South St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 1,129 (+3%) | 7mo | $230,000 | $204 | 64 |
| 311 Hudson Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+6%) | 8mo | $205,000 | $178 | 64 |
| 338 Hudson Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,178 (+8%) | 10mo | $149,850 | $127 | 63 |
| 45 6th St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-3%) | 4mo | $85,000 | $80 | 56 |
| 4 Bechard Ln | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,008 (-8%) | 2mo | $281,000 | $279 | 46 |
| 143 New Turnpike Rd | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,001 (-8%) | 15mo | $245,000 | $245 | 45 |
| 1184 River Rd | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 1,170 (+7%) | 15mo | $200,000 | $171 | 45 |
| 786 4th Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (-8%) | 10mo | $42,000 | $42 | 45 |
| 175 New Turnpike Rd | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+6%) | 13mo | $250,000 | $217 | 41 |
| 831 6th Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,218 (+12%) | 7mo | $245,000 | $201 | 40 |
| 7 1st St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,247 (+14%) | 14mo | $217,000 | $174 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $22,836
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 25.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.22×
- Total profit
- $74,387
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12182
- Home prices YoY
- -15.6%
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,888 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$397
- Net cashflow
- $663
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Parker Ln Unit 5 Waterford, NY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,800 | $1.87 | 14d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 112 Broad St Unit 4 Waterford, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 14d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 811 6th Ave #2 Troy, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,500 | $1.58 | 14d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 750 2nd Ave Troy, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1185 | $1,263 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 100 Waters View Cir Cohoes, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1281 | $2,413 | $1.88 | 14d | 13 | 1.10mi |
| 589 1st Ave Troy, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,750 | $1.82 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 580 2nd Ave Troy, NY | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 413 Diamond Rock Cir Troy, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1252 | $2,100 | $1.68 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 413 Diamond Rock Cir Troy, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1252 | $2,100 | $1.68 | 19d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 499 6th Ave Troy, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,250 | $1.67 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending
-
2026-05-04$119,900 Active
-
2016-10-26soldstatus $18,177
-
2007-10-12soldstatus $91,000
-
2007-10-04soldstatus $91,000 290-char remark
Show marketing remark (290 chars)
Clean well kept cottage with many upgrades. This house has new siding and ceramic tile. A newer 200 amp service. Hardwood floors in the living room and a carport. Enjoy the big family room. It has a nice fenced in yard with a storage shed. Low taxes and priced to sell. Very Good Condition
-
2007-07-17historical 290-char remark
Show marketing remark (290 chars)
Clean well kept cottage with many upgrades. This house has new siding and ceramic tile. A newer 200 amp service. Hardwood floors in the living room and a carport. Enjoy the big family room. It has a nice fenced in yard with a storage shed. Low taxes and priced to sell. Very Good Condition
-
2007-07-05$89,500 290-char remark
Show marketing remark (290 chars)
Clean well kept cottage with many upgrades. This house has new siding and ceramic tile. A newer 200 amp service. Hardwood floors in the living room and a carport. Enjoy the big family room. It has a nice fenced in yard with a storage shed. Low taxes and priced to sell. Very Good Condition
-
1996-11-01soldstatus $40,450
-
1994-12-14soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,659
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,798
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,813
- − Management
- −$1,813
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $6,432
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,544
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,414/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lansingburgh Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3616740
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,807
- Composite
- 28.19/100
- National rank
- #6810
- State rank
- #566 of 590 in NY
Livability — Troy
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #88
- US rank
- #1350
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Troy, NY
- City population
- 53,479
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,273
Population outlook (Rensselaer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 162,400 people
- By 2030
- 161,746 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 158,095 · -2.7%
- By 2050
- 152,966 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 140,767 · -13.3%
- By 2100
- 124,727 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 14% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Romanian 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rensselaer
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: 1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.4 2020: D+5.6 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.58%
- Current HPI
- 273.5758
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+379.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $119,900 Global MLS
- 2016-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $18,177 Public Records
- 2007-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records
- 2007-10-04 Sold (MLS) $91,000 Global MLS
- 2007-07-17 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2007-07-05 Listed $89,500 Global MLS
- 1996-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,450 Public Records
- 1994-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.3%/yrLatest (2025): $9,404 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…