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1346 Fernwood Dr
B Composite 72.21
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.7/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$60,000

1346 Fernwood Dr · Jackson, MS 39213
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 109 Days on market
Built 1955 7,405 sqft lot $42/sqft · 11% above area Est $54k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTOR SPECIAL! This 3BR/2BA home is ready for renovation and offers strong potential for value add. With some flooring already on-site and portions of updates underway, this property offers a head start for investors or handy buyers ready to bring it back to life. Sold as is with owner financing available.

Key facts

  • Ready for renovation
  • Flooring on-site
  • 7,405 sq ft lot

Tags

READY FOR RENOVATIONFLOORING ON-SITE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $611 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.5% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,309/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1138% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $54,600 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.18%
Cap rate
18.51%
Cash-on-cash
43.63%
DSCR
2.94
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$54,237
List price
$60,000
Delta
10.63%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3245 Albermarle Rd 0.30mi 4/2.0 1,416 (-2%) 14mo $78,000 $55 72
3549 Hollywood Ave 0.40mi 4/2.0 1,339 (-7%) 8mo $20,000 $15 63
3726 Westchester Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,450 (+1%) 4mo $55,000 $38 56
2255 W Ridgeway St 0.49mi 4/2.0 1,352 (-6%) 18mo $85,000 $63 52
2829 Comfort St 0.29mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,260 (-12%) 15mo $48,000 $38 46
2227 Morton Ave 0.68mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,406 (-2%) 18mo $55,000 $39 42
3822 N Wabash St 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,411 (-2%) 19mo $63,000 $45 42
3735 California Ave 0.66mi 4/2.5 1,584 (+10%) 13mo $68,000 $43 40
2605 Lilly St 0.75mi 4/1.5 1,336 (-7%) 20mo $64,500 $48 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
58.2%
Equity multiple
5.26×
Total profit
$71,607
Equity at exit
$54,053
10-year hold
IRR
51.8%
Equity multiple
11.73×
Total profit
$180,328
Equity at exit
$116,567

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39213

Home prices YoY
7.0%
Active inventory
81
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,309 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$84 /mo · $1,006/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$611

Break-even live

Break-even rent $536
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2829 Comfort St Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,250 $0.99 13d 1 0.26mi
2829 Comfort St Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1260 $1,250 $0.99 23d 1 0.26mi
3444 Martin Luther King Jr Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 43d 1 0.34mi
3434 Midlawn Ave Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1188 $1,200 $1.01 21d 1 0.35mi
2157 Ludlow Ave Unit Na Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1123 $1,450 $1.29 13d 1 0.76mi
2157 Ludlow Ave Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1123 $1,300 $1.16 43d 1 0.76mi
3625 Liberty St Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,190 $1.13 13d 1 0.79mi
2566 Williamson Ave Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 940 $1,150 $1.22 43d 1 1.11mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 109 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 108 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 107 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 106 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $60,000 Active 104 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 103 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $60,000 Active 101 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 100 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 99 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 98 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $60,000 Active 95 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $60,000 Active 94 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 93 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 92 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 91 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $60,000 Active 90 DOM
  17. 2026-03-01
    listed $60,000 Active 310-char remark
    Show marketing remark (310 chars)

    INVESTOR SPECIAL! This 3BR/2BA home is ready for renovation and offers strong potential for value add. With some flooring already on-site and portions of updates underway, this property offers a head start for investors or handy buyers ready to bring it back to life. Sold as is with owner financing available.

  18. 2023-04-13
    soldstatus Closed 106-char remark
    Show marketing remark (106 chars)

    Great deal on this ''As Is'' Where Is'' marketed property. The house will need work. Hurry wont last long.

  19. 2023-04-03
    soldstatus
  20. 2023-03-07
    status Pending 106-char remark
    Show marketing remark (106 chars)

    Great deal on this ''As Is'' Where Is'' marketed property. The house will need work. Hurry wont last long.

  21. 2023-02-27
    listed $18,400 Active 106-char remark
    Show marketing remark (106 chars)

    Great deal on this ''As Is'' Where Is'' marketed property. The house will need work. Hurry wont last long.

  22. 2008-05-31
    historical
  23. 2007-09-29
    listed $58,500
  24. 2001-02-28
    soldstatus
  25. 1955-11-25
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,006 · $84/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,006 · $84/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,711
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$1,006
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,257
− Management
−$1,257
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$6,785
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,628
After-tax cash flow
$5,702/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
18,691
Household income
$29,541
Rent vs Own
52.7% rent · 47.3% own
Severe rent burden
1138.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 95% White 2% Two or more races 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 21.42%
Current HPI
329.1844
Rent YoY
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+2.6% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-01 Listed $60,000 MLSU
  • 2023-04-13 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2023-04-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-03-07 Pending MLSU
  • 2023-02-27 Listed $18,400 MLSU
  • 2008-05-31 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2007-09-29 Listed $58,500 MLSU
  • 2001-02-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1955-11-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,006 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…