6922 Sea Turtle Cir · Navarre, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- ARV discount +8.5/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
You'll love this updated 2-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome with ensuite baths in each bedroom, located in Navarre. Freshly painted with new LVP flooring, no carpet, and a bright kitchen with new appliances. Major updates include a new roof (2022), high-efficiency HVAC with UV light (2024), water heater (2025), and garage door opener. Enjoy your fenced backyard and deck--perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Low HOA dues ($250/quarter) cover lawn care, termite bond, and sprinklers. Great location just minutes from Navarre Beach, shopping, and dining--perfect for first-time buyers or a second home!
Key facts
- Ensuite baths
- Bright kitchen
- High-efficiency hvac
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Road is paved and county-maintained
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee; Annual association fee covers association, grounds maintenance, management and pest control
Exterior
- Parking: Detached not indicated; attached oversized garage; One covered parking space (garage) — total 1 parking space
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Circuit breakers with copper wiring; Cable available
- Home design: Townhome (attached property); Two levels; Hip composition roof; Homesteaded
- Construction: Frame construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Sprinkler system; Privacy backyard fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Updated kitchen with painted cabinets, new lighting and faucet; Laminate countertops; Pantry; All new stainless kitchen appliances
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom approximately 11 x 17; Additional bedroom on the second floor approximately 15 x 15
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms and one half bathroom; Second-floor full bathrooms (sizes ~5 x 6); First-floor half bathroom (size ~5 x 4); One bathroom noted as not updated
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans for cooling; ENERGY STAR qualified heating and cooling equipment
- Interior features: Baseboards; Ceiling fans; High-speed internet available; Smart thermostat; Storm door(s); Blinds and drapery with rods
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry with washer/dryer hookups; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-84 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $235k (6.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (25.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $187k (25.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.2% in Navarre — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#435 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, schools A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Santa Rosa (suburban): math 63% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #8 of 73 in FL (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 768 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,983 units permitted in Santa Rosa County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Santa Rosa County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $128k; list at $250k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.45%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $255,440
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6928 Sea Turtle Cir | 0.02mi | 2/2.5 | 1,240 (0%) | 8mo | $255,000 | $206 | 91 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-46,444
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- -12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-49,650
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32566
- Home prices YoY
- -26.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 768
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,872 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $783/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$83
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$393
- Net cashflow
- $-84
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $57 | -5% $-14 | +0% $-84 | +5% $-155 | +10% $-226 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-232 | -5% $-158 | +0% $-84 | +5% $-10 | +10% $64 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $42 | -0.5pp $-21 | base $-84 | +0.5pp $-149 | +1.0pp $-215 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1726 Eagle Bay Ln Navarre, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $1,295 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 6637 Water St Navarre, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $2,050 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 6635 Water St Navarre, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $2,050 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1717 Sound Haven Ct Navarre, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1396 | $2,050 | $1.47 | 14d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 7381 Navarre Pkwy Navarre, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 986 | $1,824 | $1.85 | 14d | 24 | 1.24mi |
| 7459 Harvest Village Ct Navarre, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $83 · $996/yr
- Likely covers
- waterlandscaping
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,999 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $249,999 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,999 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $249,999 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $249,999 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $249,999 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $249,999 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,999 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $249,999 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $249,999 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $249,999 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $249,999 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,999 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,999 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,999 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $249,999 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
You'll love this updated 2-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome with ensuite baths in each bedroom, located in Navarre. Freshly painted with new LVP flooring, no carpet, and a bright kitchen with new appliances. Major updates include a new roof (2022), high-efficiency HVAC with UV light (2024), water heater (2025), and garage door opener. Enjoy your fenced backyard and deck--perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Low HOA dues ($250/quarter) cover lawn care, termite bond, and sprinklers. Great location just minutes from Navarre Beach, shopping, and dining--perfect for first-time buyers or a second home!
-
2026-05-11price $249,999
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
You'll love this updated 2-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome with ensuite baths in each bedroom, located in Navarre. Freshly painted with new LVP flooring, no carpet, and a bright kitchen with new appliances. Major updates include a new roof (2022), high-efficiency HVAC with UV light (2024), water heater (2025), and garage door opener. Enjoy your fenced backyard and deck--perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Low HOA dues ($250/quarter) cover lawn care, termite bond, and sprinklers. Great location just minutes from Navarre Beach, shopping, and dining--perfect for first-time buyers or a second home!
-
2026-03-18$255,000 Active 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
You'll love this updated 2-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome with ensuite baths in each bedroom, located in Navarre. Freshly painted with new LVP flooring, no carpet, and a bright kitchen with new appliances. Major updates include a new roof (2022), high-efficiency HVAC with UV light (2024), water heater (2025), and garage door opener. Enjoy your fenced backyard and deck--perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Low HOA dues ($250/quarter) cover lawn care, termite bond, and sprinklers. Great location just minutes from Navarre Beach, shopping, and dining--perfect for first-time buyers or a second home!
-
2026-03-18$255,000 Active
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
You'll love this updated 2-bedroom, 2.5-bath townhome with ensuite baths in each bedroom, located in Navarre. Freshly painted with new LVP flooring, no carpet, and a bright kitchen with new appliances. Major updates include a new roof (2022), high-efficiency HVAC with UV light (2024), water heater (2025), and garage door opener. Enjoy your fenced backyard and deck--perfect for entertaining or relaxing. Low HOA dues ($250/quarter) cover lawn care, termite bond, and sprinklers. Great location just minutes from Navarre Beach, shopping, and dining--perfect for first-time buyers or a second home!
-
2026-01-16price $249,900
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2026-01-06price $254,900
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2025-11-22price $255,000
-
2025-10-13price $259,900
-
2025-09-22price $263,000
-
2025-09-03price $265,000
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2025-08-04price $267,000
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2025-07-17price $267,500
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2025-07-10price $269,900
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2017-08-15soldstatus $128,000
-
2017-08-14soldstatus $128,000
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2017-03-28$132,000
-
2005-05-09soldstatus $90,000
-
2002-06-28soldstatus $80,000
-
2002-06-26soldstatus $80,000
-
2002-02-19$81,900
-
2000-06-02$78,000
-
2000-05-31historical
-
1999-05-19$80,000
-
1999-05-18$80,000
-
1998-12-19$80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $783 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,075 · $173/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,292/yr (+$108/mo · 164.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,467
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$783
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,797
- − Management
- −$1,797
- − HOA
- −$996
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$5,433
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,304
- After-tax cash flow
- $292/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Rosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201650
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,161
- Composite
- 53.12/100
- National rank
- #1511
- State rank
- #8 of 73 in FL
Livability — Navarre
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #435
- US rank
- #7790
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Navarre, FL
- County
- Santa Rosa County · 194,764 people
- City population
- 43,883
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,883
- Household income
- $105,551
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 608.0
Population outlook (Santa Rosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 195,978 people
- By 2030
- 209,782 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 235,293 · +20.1%
- By 2050
- 256,408 · +30.8%
- By 2075
- 298,074 · +52.1%
- By 2100
- 303,216 · +54.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Santa Rosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.0) · D 24.1% · R 75.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: -47.9pp · 2024: -51.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.0 2020: R+46.5 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+52.6 2008: R+47.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.87%
- Current HPI
- 298.6821
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.74%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+212.5% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $249,999 NAMLS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $249,999 PARMLS
- 2026-03-18 Listed $255,000 PARMLS
- 2026-03-18 Listed $255,000 NAMLS
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $249,900 ECAR
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $254,900 ECAR
- 2025-11-22 Price Changed $255,000 ECAR
- 2025-10-13 Price Changed $259,900 ECAR
- 2025-09-22 Price Changed $263,000 ECAR
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $265,000 ECAR
- 2025-08-04 Price Changed $267,000 ECAR
- 2025-07-17 Price Changed $267,500 ECAR
- 2025-07-10 Price Changed $269,900 ECAR
- 2017-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $128,000 Public Records
- 2017-08-14 Sold (MLS) $128,000 PARMLS
- 2017-03-28 Listed $132,000 PARMLS
- 2005-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2002-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2002-06-26 Sold (MLS) $80,000 NAMLS
- 2002-02-19 Listed $81,900 NAMLS
- 2000-06-02 Listed $78,000 ECAR
- 2000-05-31 Listing Removed — NAMLS
- 1999-05-19 Listed $80,000 NAMLS
- 1999-05-18 Listed $80,000 ECAR
- 1998-12-19 Listed $80,000 ECAR
Property tax history
-3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $783 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…