860 Lusk Pl · Bartow, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Located in the heart of downtown Bartow, this 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home sits proudly on a spacious corner lot and is full of potential. With a roof that’s only a few years old and newer windows already in place, some of the big-ticket items have been taken care of—giving you a strong head start. The home offers a solid layout and great bones, making it an ideal opportunity for a buyer looking to add their personal touch and bring it to life. Whether you're a first-time buyer, investor, or someone with a vision, this property has the foundation to become something truly special. Enjoy the freedom of no HOA and a fully fenced yard, perfect fo
Key facts
- Newer windows
- No hoa
- Fully fenced yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: R-1A; Lot approximately 0.3 acres (about 128 x 100); Total acreage listed as 1/4 to less than 1/2
- HOA & community: No association indicated
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway and open parking; Carport with 2 spaces; Garage (20 x 14)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Cable available and connected; Electricity available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Home faces north; Homesteaded
- Construction: Block and vinyl siding construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Building area approximately 1,940 sq ft
- Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Chain link fence; Corner lot; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $411 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#526 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 386 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $76k; list at $165k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.67%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-1,123
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $30,441
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33830
- Home prices YoY
- -19.8%
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 386
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,789 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $823/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $411
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 990 E Bay St Bartow, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,295 | $1.09 | 10d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 1060 E Wabash St Bartow, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1758 | $1,650 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1850 Martin Luther King Junior Blvd Bartow, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,795 | $1.53 | 14d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1999 Marshall St Unit 2 Bartow, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1281 | $1,800 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2025 Dunbar St Unit 2025 Bartow, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1333 | $1,700 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 820 S Floral Ave Bartow, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1112 | $1,200 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2060 Martin Luther King Jr Blvd Bartow, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1070 E Church St Unit A Bartow, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1362 | $1,850 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1070 E Church St Bartow, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1384 | $1,900 | $1.37 | 14d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1705 Davis Ave Bartow, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $2,500 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2255 E Helen Cir Bartow, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1515 | $2,695 | $1.78 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 710 Childs Ave Unit 1 Bartow, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1137 | $2,100 | $1.85 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 550 Battle Ave Unit 550 Bartow, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1708 | $1,250 | $0.73 | 3d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 980 Waldon Ave Bartow, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,550 | $1.48 | 23d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending
-
2026-04-30status Active
-
2026-04-25status Pending
-
2026-04-21$165,000 Active
-
2004-01-14soldstatus $75,900
-
1984-07-01soldstatus $26,000
-
1974-03-01soldstatus $20,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $823 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,370 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- +$546/yr (+$46/mo · 66.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,473
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$823
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,718
- − Management
- −$1,718
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $2,346
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$563
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,369/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bartow
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #526
- US rank
- #9835
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bartow, FL
- County
- Polk County · 740,051 people
- City population
- 33,740
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,740
- Household income
- $63,918
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 681.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 22% Black 18% Two or more races 13% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.47%
- Current HPI
- 333.3392
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.72%
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+704.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-25 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-21 Listed $165,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $75,900 Public Records
- 1984-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
- 1974-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.7%/yrLatest (2025): $823 · +22.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…