244 Shiloh Rd · Quincy, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Whether you're a first-time homebuyer looking to build equity or an investor seeking your next project, this property presents a fantastic opportunity in a desirable location. This endearing 3 bedroom, 2 bath home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Constructed with four-sided brick, it offers a solid foundation and "good bones, " making it an ideal candidate for a renovation or investment property. Nestled on a spacious and fully fenced lot, there's ample outdoor space for gatherings, entertaining or expansion. Inside you'll find a traditional layout featuring a separate living room and dining room. While this home needs some TLC, its classic structure and generous lot size provide a strong starting point to create your dream space.
Key facts
- Separate dining room
- Spacious lot
- Traditional layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $94 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (8.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.9% in Quincy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#588 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Gadsden (rural): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #70 of 73 in FL (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 117 active listings in the ZIP; 107 units permitted in Gadsden County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gadsden County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 399 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 399 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.52%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $244,889
- List price
- $160,000
- Delta
- -34.66%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-19,940
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- -3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-9,657
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32351
- Home prices YoY
- -24.6%
- Active inventory
- 117
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,470 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$162 /mo · $1,941/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$309
- Net cashflow
- $94
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 399 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 396 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $160,000 Active 394 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 393 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $160,000 Active 391 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 390 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 389 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $160,000 Active 385 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active 384 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 383 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 382 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 381 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $160,000 Active 380 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $160,000 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
Whether you're a first-time homebuyer looking to build equity or an investor seeking your next project, this property presents a fantastic opportunity in a desirable location. This endearing 3 bedroom, 2 bath home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Constructed with four-sided brick, it offers a solid foundation and "good bones, " making it an ideal candidate for a renovation or investment property. Nestled on a spacious and fully fenced lot, there's ample outdoor space for gatherings, entertaining or expansion. Inside you'll find a traditional layout featuring a separate living room and dining room. While this home needs some TLC, its classic structure and generous lot size provide a strong starting point to create your dream space.
-
2025-07-08price $175,000 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
Whether you're a first-time homebuyer looking to build equity or an investor seeking your next project, this property presents a fantastic opportunity in a desirable location. This endearing 3 bedroom, 2 bath home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Constructed with four-sided brick, it offers a solid foundation and "good bones, " making it an ideal candidate for a renovation or investment property. Nestled on a spacious and fully fenced lot, there's ample outdoor space for gatherings, entertaining or expansion. Inside you'll find a traditional layout featuring a separate living room and dining room. While this home needs some TLC, its classic structure and generous lot size provide a strong starting point to create your dream space.
-
2025-05-15$185,000 Active 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (773 chars)
Whether you're a first-time homebuyer looking to build equity or an investor seeking your next project, this property presents a fantastic opportunity in a desirable location. This endearing 3 bedroom, 2 bath home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Constructed with four-sided brick, it offers a solid foundation and "good bones, " making it an ideal candidate for a renovation or investment property. Nestled on a spacious and fully fenced lot, there's ample outdoor space for gatherings, entertaining or expansion. Inside you'll find a traditional layout featuring a separate living room and dining room. While this home needs some TLC, its classic structure and generous lot size provide a strong starting point to create your dream space.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,941 · $162/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,941 · $162/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,644
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$1,941
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,411
- − Management
- −$1,411
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable loss
- −$1,538
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$369
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,497/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gadsden
- NCES district ID
- 1200600
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,470
- Composite
- 25.75/100
- National rank
- #7373
- State rank
- #70 of 73 in FL
Livability — Quincy
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #588
- US rank
- #11260
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,808
Population outlook (Gadsden County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,956 people
- By 2030
- 40,878 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 36,218 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 31,502 · -26.7%
- By 2075
- 21,828 · -49.2%
- By 2100
- 14,480 · -66.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 54% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Gadsden
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 65.0% · R 34.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.3pp toward R · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+36.6 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+40.6 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.50%
- Current HPI
- 161.1446
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-13.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $160,000 CATRS
- 2025-07-08 Price Changed $175,000 CATRS
- 2025-05-15 Listed $185,000 CATRS
Property tax history
+11.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,941 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…