9423 Ramsey Dr · Bridgeport, NY
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.6/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
INVESTOR ALERT! Waterfront home Chittenango Creek! DEEP WATER DOCK! Just a short boat ride to Oneida Lake. If you are handy or a contractor in search of a great investment or want your slice of heaven on the water this is it! Sixty feet of water front! Lot size is 60 by 120. There is a lot of debris to be removed and some rehab is needed. Great opportunity for invetor or handy owner!
Key facts
- Deep water dock
- Waterfront home
- 7,405 sq ft lot
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Property features AI
Exterior
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Interior
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Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $506 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 2.3% in Bridgeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#655 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Chittenango Central School District (rural): math 61% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #192 of 590 in NY (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (46 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $94k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.51%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $313,447
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8392 Tuttle Rd | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,121 (+10%) | 6mo | $220,000 | $196 | 72 |
| 8450 Tuttle Rd | 0.28mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 912 (-11%) | 9mo | $280,000 | $307 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $9,853
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $51,212
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13037
- Home prices YoY
- -17.1%
- Active inventory
- 73
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,352 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$559 /mo · $6,714/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$494
- Net cashflow
- $506
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-04-09historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-03$139,900 Active
-
2002-10-15soldstatus $94,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,714 · $559/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,714 · $559/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,220
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$6,714
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,258
- − Management
- −$2,258
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $4,385
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,052
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,024/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chittenango Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3607470
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,521
- Composite
- 54.34/100
- National rank
- #1365
- State rank
- #192 of 590 in NY
Livability — Bridgeport
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #655
- US rank
- #12191
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 3,611
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,519
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 69,528 people
- By 2030
- 66,599 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 59,814 · -14.0%
- By 2050
- 52,842 · -24.0%
- By 2075
- 39,167 · -43.7%
- By 2100
- 28,442 · -59.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.1) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -13.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.1 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+15.9 2012: D+0.3 2008: D+0.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.53%
- Current HPI
- 272.9953
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+48.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-04-09 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $139,900 CNYIS
- 2002-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $94,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $6,714 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…