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9423 Ramsey Dr
B Composite 70.87
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

9423 Ramsey Dr · Bridgeport, NY 13037
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,021 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1950 7,405 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

INVESTOR ALERT! Waterfront home Chittenango Creek! DEEP WATER DOCK! Just a short boat ride to Oneida Lake. If you are handy or a contractor in search of a great investment or want your slice of heaven on the water this is it! Sixty feet of water front! Lot size is 60 by 120. There is a lot of debris to be removed and some rehab is needed. Great opportunity for invetor or handy owner!

Key facts

  • Deep water dock
  • Waterfront home
  • 7,405 sq ft lot

Tags

WATERFRONT HOMEDEEP WATER DOCKSIXTY FEET OF WATER FRONT

Property features AI

Exterior

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Interior

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Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $506 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 2.3% in Bridgeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#655 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Chittenango Central School District (rural): math 61% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #192 of 590 in NY (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (46 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $94k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $139,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
10.64%
Cash-on-cash
15.51%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$313,447
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8392 Tuttle Rd 0.05mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,121 (+10%) 6mo $220,000 $196 72
8450 Tuttle Rd 0.28mi 2/1.5 (-1) 912 (-11%) 9mo $280,000 $307 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.4%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$9,853
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
15.9%
Equity multiple
2.31×
Total profit
$51,212
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13037

Home prices YoY
-17.1%
Active inventory
73
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,352 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$559 /mo · $6,714/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$494
Net cashflow
$506

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,711
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-17
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-09
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-04-03
    listed $139,900 Active
  4. 2002-10-15
    soldstatus $94,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,714 · $559/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,714 · $559/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,220
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$6,714
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,258
− Management
−$2,258
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$4,385
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,052
After-tax cash flow
$5,024/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chittenango Central School District
NCES district ID
3607470
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▲ 9.00%
Median HH income
$62,521
Composite
54.34/100
National rank
#1365
State rank
#192 of 590 in NY

Livability — Bridgeport

Score
66/100
State rank
#655
US rank
#12191

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
3,611
Population (ZIP)
9,519

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
69,528 people
By 2030
66,599 · -4.2%
By 2040
59,814 · -14.0%
By 2050
52,842 · -24.0%
By 2075
39,167 · -43.7%
By 2100
28,442 · -59.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+13.1) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
2008→2024 swing
-13.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -13.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.1 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+15.9 2012: D+0.3 2008: D+0.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.53%
Current HPI
272.9953
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+48.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-04-09 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $139,900 CNYIS
  • 2002-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $94,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,714 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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