9300 Darlington Cir · Fort Smith, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome investors. Location is key for this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home at the bottom of Fianna Hills. Excellent rental location. Near schools and I 540. New roof in 2025. Property to be sold as is.
Key facts
- New roof
- 0.38 acre lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 covered spaces; Concrete driveway
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Fixer condition
- Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; House
- Exterior features: Deck; Back yard fence; Located on a cul-de-sac; City lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Range; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (Natural Gas); Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $66 ($790/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (18.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $139k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.3% in Fort Smith — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#151 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Fort Smith School District (urban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #106 of 238 in AR (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Elmer H. Cook Elem. School (math 64% / reading 53%, grade B-, #45 of 454 statewide, top 10%, 500 students, 56% FRL); Ramsey Junior High School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade D-, #78 of 201 statewide, top 40%, 832 students, 67% FRL); Southside High School (math 36% / reading 53%, grade F, #31 of 292 statewide, top 12%, 1,956 students, 47% FRL).
- Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 388 units permitted in Sebastian County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sebastian County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $74k; list at $170k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.66%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $215,779
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9400 Darlington Cir | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,482 (+4%) | 5mo | $210,000 | $142 | 87 |
| 3504 Glen Flora Way | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,452 (+2%) | 5mo | $220,000 | $152 | 71 |
| 8801 S 35th Ter | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,422 (-0%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $127 | 67 |
| 3528 Muirfield Cir | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (+13%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $99 | 60 |
| 3509 Coventry Ln | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,554 (+9%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $129 | 59 |
| 8914 S 30th St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,454 (+2%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $151 | 58 |
| 3512 Glen Flora | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,609 (+13%) | 2mo | $264,000 | $164 | 56 |
| 3412 Kendall Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,584 (+11%) | 7mo | $194,000 | $122 | 49 |
| 3219 Iola Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,298 (-9%) | 3mo | $174,500 | $134 | 48 |
| 9005 Carson Way | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,626 (+14%) | 9mo | $325,000 | $200 | 42 |
| 9123 S 30th St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,598 (+12%) | 8mo | $285,000 | $178 | 39 |
| 9109 S 30th St | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 | 1,642 (+15%) | 2mo | $289,000 | $176 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-23,421
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- -4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-15,263
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72908
- Active inventory
- 97
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,392 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $858/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$292
- Net cashflow
- $66
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $162 | -5% $114 | +0% $66 | +5% $18 | +10% $-30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-44 | -5% $11 | +0% $66 | +5% $121 | +10% $176 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $151 | -0.5pp $109 | base $66 | +0.5pp $22 | +1.0pp $-23 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3406 Erin Oaks Ct Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1715 | $2,000 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 8516 S 35th Ter Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1294 | $1,200 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 8605 S 32nd Ter Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1196 | $1,600 | $1.34 | 15d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2807 Fairway Hamlet Ct Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $1,400 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3305 Grinnell Ave Fort Smith, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1140 | $1,200 | $1.05 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 8817 S 28th St Unit 13-4 Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $900 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2601 Oakview Rd Unit 2609-03 Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $825 | $0.90 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 8500 S 28th St Unit 8502-09 Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $825 | $0.90 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 7511 Millennium Dr Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $1,200 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1709 Brooken Hill Dr Fort Smith, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1043 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 15d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-03status $170,000 Pending 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $170,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $170,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $170,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $170,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-15$170,000 Active
-
1992-07-08soldstatus $74,000
-
1992-04-13soldstatus $16,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $858 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,088 · $91/mo
- Expected delta
- +$230/yr (+$19/mo · 26.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,703
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$858
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,336
- − Management
- −$1,336
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable loss
- −$2,145
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$515
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,305/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Smith School District
- NCES district ID
- 0506330
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,066
- Composite
- 30.66/100
- National rank
- #6183
- State rank
- #106 of 238 in AR
Livability — Fort Smith
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #151
- US rank
- #13185
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Smith, AR
- County
- Sebastian County · 99,312 people
- City population
- 94,356
- Metro
- Fort Smith, AR-OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,288
- Household income
- $72,732
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 354.0
Population outlook (Sebastian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 133,992 people
- By 2030
- 136,620 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 140,832 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 143,301 · +6.9%
- By 2075
- 147,964 · +10.4%
- By 2100
- 145,848 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 6% Black 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Vietnamese 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Sebastian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.6% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.6pp · 2024: -37.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.5 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+38.1 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+34.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -136.01%
- Current HPI
- 202.0886
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Fort Smith, AR-OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+962.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $170,000 WRVBOR
- 1992-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
- 1992-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $858 · -4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…