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9300 Darlington Cir
D+ Composite 49.66
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$170,000

9300 Darlington Cir · Fort Smith, AR 72908
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,429 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1991 0.38 ac lot Est $216k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome investors. Location is key for this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home at the bottom of Fianna Hills. Excellent rental location. Near schools and I 540. New roof in 2025. Property to be sold as is.

Key facts

  • New roof
  • 0.38 acre lot
  • Garage

Tags

NEW ROOF

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 covered spaces; Concrete driveway
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; House
  • Exterior features: Deck; Back yard fence; Located on a cul-de-sac; City lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Range; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (Natural Gas); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $66 ($790/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (18.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $139k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.3% in Fort Smith — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#151 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fort Smith School District (urban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #106 of 238 in AR (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Elmer H. Cook Elem. School (math 64% / reading 53%, grade B-, #45 of 454 statewide, top 10%, 500 students, 56% FRL); Ramsey Junior High School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade D-, #78 of 201 statewide, top 40%, 832 students, 67% FRL); Southside High School (math 36% / reading 53%, grade F, #31 of 292 statewide, top 12%, 1,956 students, 47% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 388 units permitted in Sebastian County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sebastian County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $74k; list at $170k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $139,193 (18.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.76%
Cash-on-cash
1.66%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$215,779
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9400 Darlington Cir 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,482 (+4%) 5mo $210,000 $142 87
3504 Glen Flora Way 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,452 (+2%) 5mo $220,000 $152 71
8801 S 35th Ter 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,422 (-0%) 9mo $180,000 $127 67
3528 Muirfield Cir 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,620 (+13%) 1mo $160,000 $99 60
3509 Coventry Ln 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,554 (+9%) 4mo $200,000 $129 59
8914 S 30th St 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,454 (+2%) 4mo $220,000 $151 58
3512 Glen Flora 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,609 (+13%) 2mo $264,000 $164 56
3412 Kendall Ave 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,584 (+11%) 7mo $194,000 $122 49
3219 Iola Ave 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,298 (-9%) 3mo $174,500 $134 48
9005 Carson Way 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,626 (+14%) 9mo $325,000 $200 42
9123 S 30th St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,598 (+12%) 8mo $285,000 $178 39
9109 S 30th St 0.71mi 3/2.5 1,642 (+15%) 2mo $289,000 $176 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.7%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-23,421
Equity at exit
$25,348
10-year hold
IRR
-4.9%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-15,263
Equity at exit
$14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72908

Active inventory
97
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,392 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $858/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$292
Net cashflow
$66

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,309
Max offer price $170,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $162 -5% $114 +0% $66 +5% $18 +10% $-30
Rent -10% $-44 -5% $11 +0% $66 +5% $121 +10% $176
Rate -1.0pp $151 -0.5pp $109 base $66 +0.5pp $22 +1.0pp $-23

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3406 Erin Oaks Ct Fort Smith, AR 3.0 2.0 1715 $2,000 $1.17 23d 1 0.43mi
8516 S 35th Ter Fort Smith, AR 3.0 2.0 1294 $1,200 $0.93 23d 1 0.67mi
8605 S 32nd Ter Fort Smith, AR 3.0 1.5 1196 $1,600 $1.34 15d 1 0.76mi
2807 Fairway Hamlet Ct Fort Smith, AR 3.0 2.0 1319 $1,400 $1.06 23d 1 0.83mi
3305 Grinnell Ave Fort Smith, AR 3.0 1.5 1140 $1,200 $1.05 15d 1 0.83mi
8817 S 28th St Unit 13-4 Fort Smith, AR 2.0 2.0 975 $900 $0.92 23d 1 0.85mi
2601 Oakview Rd Unit 2609-03 Fort Smith, AR 2.0 2.0 920 $825 $0.90 23d 1 1.01mi
8500 S 28th St Unit 8502-09 Fort Smith, AR 2.0 2.0 920 $825 $0.90 23d 1 1.07mi
7511 Millennium Dr Fort Smith, AR 2.0 2.0 1275 $1,200 $0.94 23d 1 1.36mi
1709 Brooken Hill Dr Fort Smith, AR 2.0 2.0 1043 $1,100 $1.05 15d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $170,000 Pending 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $170,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $170,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $170,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-05-15
    listed $170,000 Active
  7. 1992-07-08
    soldstatus $74,000
  8. 1992-04-13
    soldstatus $16,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$858 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,088 · $91/mo
Expected delta
+$230/yr (+$19/mo · 26.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,703
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$858
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,336
− Management
−$1,336
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable loss
−$2,145
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$515
After-tax cash flow
$1,305/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Smith School District
NCES district ID
0506330
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$36,066
Composite
30.66/100
National rank
#6183
State rank
#106 of 238 in AR

Livability — Fort Smith

Score
65/100
State rank
#151
US rank
#13185

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Smith, AR
County
Sebastian County · 99,312 people
City population
94,356
Metro
Fort Smith, AR-OK
Population (ZIP)
14,288
Household income
$72,732
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
354.0

Population outlook (Sebastian County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
133,992 people
By 2030
136,620 · +2.0%
By 2040
140,832 · +5.1%
By 2050
143,301 · +6.9%
By 2075
147,964 · +10.4%
By 2100
145,848 · +8.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 6% Black 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Vietnam, Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 4% Vietnamese 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Sebastian

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.6% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.6pp · 2024: -37.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.5 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+38.1 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+34.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -136.01%
Current HPI
202.0886
Rent YoY
Metro
Fort Smith, AR-OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+962.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $170,000 WRVBOR
  • 1992-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
  • 1992-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $858 · -4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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