CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3409 Heather Ln
D Composite 40.42
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.3/30.0
  • Livability +4.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +0.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$224,999

3409 Heather Ln · Denton, TX 76209
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,301 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1956 8,973 sqft lot $173/sqft · 12% below area Est $255k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

ADORABLE HOME WITH WORKSHOP ON LARGE CORNER LOT ONLY 10 MINUTES FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF NORTH TEXAS! This well maintained home is move in ready! Starting with pretty curb appeal on an oversized corner lot, this home has so much to offer at this price! Step inside to find a bright open concept with huge living area! Kitchen is super cute with electric range and microwave. A small portion of the garage was converted into a separate dining room with double pantries for extra storage! All bedrooms are generously sized with great closet space! Outside you will find a fabulous workshop with electric! Add a mini-split HVAC to make it another living space! The yard is AMAZING! Plenty of space for outdoor entertaining! Roof was replaced in 2015 and HVAC was replaced in the last 5 years! Norchester is a highly rated (A+ crime safety rating according to Google) neighborhood featuring 3 top-rated public schools! Denton, TX is a vibrant, creative, college town known for its historic downtown square, thriving live music scene and two major universities (UNT and TWU.) If you are looking to explore nature, you have access to 300+ acres of open space, including the Clear Creek Natural Heritage Center with hiking trails and nearby lakes like Lake Lewisville. Located at the crossroads of I-35E and I-35W you always have easy access to the DFW metroplex! Come see why so many are proud to call Denton, TX home! HURRY!

Key facts

  • Open concept
  • Outdoor entertaining
  • Separate dining room

Tags

CORNER LOTOPEN CONCEPTSEPARATE DINING ROOMDOUBLE PANTRIESOUTDOOR ENTERTAININGHIGHLY RATED NEIGHBORHOOD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-124 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $203k (9.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (18.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $184k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.4% in Denton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 88/100 on livability (#2 in TX, #210 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Denton ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #383 of 826 in TX (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-6.9%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,531 units permitted in Denton County in 2024 (2,713 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Denton County population projected at +66% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $183,953 (18.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.63%
Cash-on-cash
-2.36%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$255,236
List price
$224,999
Delta
-11.85%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1119 Kings Row 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,361 (+5%) 2mo $249,900 $184 82
2907 Longfellow Ln 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (+3%) 2mo $279,000 $208 68
1004 Sierra Dr 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,438 (+10%) 3mo $295,000 $205 67
1125 Laguna Dr 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,479 (+14%) 7mo $239,900 $162 65
1001 Edinburg Ln 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,450 (+12%) 5mo $320,000 $221 62
3403 Huisache St 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,210 (-7%) 4mo $274,800 $227 50
3800 Redstone Rd 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,400 (+8%) 4mo $229,000 $164 48
700 Windswept Ct 0.59mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,184 (-9%) 2mo $251,800 $213 47
4302 Comer St 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,375 (+6%) 8mo $295,000 $215 46
625 Windswept Ct 0.58mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,184 (-9%) 5mo $249,000 $210 45
321 Tanglewood St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,443 (+11%) 3mo $299,000 $207 41
633 Shaded Grove Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+11%) 8mo $289,990 $201 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.7%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-49,684
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
-30.0%
Equity multiple
-0.18×
Total profit
$-74,071
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76209

Rents YoY
-6.9%
Active inventory
139
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,840 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$303 /mo · $3,639/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$386
Net cashflow
$-124

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,996
Max offer price $203,156
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3110 Heather Ln Denton, TX 4.0 2.0 1822 $1,999 $1.10 44d 1 0.15mi
929 Sierra Dr Denton, TX 3.0 1.5 958 $2,050 $2.14 44d 1 0.21mi
808 Laguna Dr Denton, TX 3.0 1.0 910 $1,565 $1.72 3d 1 0.33mi
801 Kings Row Denton, TX 3.0 2.0 1584 $2,400 $1.52 4d 1 0.37mi
1605 Stuart Rd Denton, TX 3.0 2.0 1403 $1,900 $1.35 44d 1 0.38mi
3809 Huntington Dr Denton, TX 4.0 2.5 1712 $1,975 $1.15 17d 1 0.48mi
3813 Huntington Dr Denton, TX 4.0 2.5 1691 $1,975 $1.17 17d 1 0.48mi
3900 Huntington Dr Denton, TX 4.0 2.5 1691 $1,975 $1.17 17d 1 0.48mi
3001 Gray Wolf Cir Unit 2 Denton, TX 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 44d 1 0.48mi
701 Wolftrap Dr Denton, TX 3.0 2.0 1346 $2,000 $1.49 24d 1 0.49mi
3001 Gray Wolf Cir Unit 121 Denton, TX 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 24d 1 0.49mi
624 Wolftrap Dr Unit 626 Denton, TX 2.0 1.5 1024 $1,475 $1.44 11d 1 0.52mi
713 Sun Valley Dr Denton, TX 3.0 2.0 1176 $2,250 $1.91 24d 1 0.52mi
3816 Sheraton Rd Denton, TX 3.0 2.5 1692 $1,950 $1.15 17d 1 0.53mi
3501 Valley View Rd Denton, TX 3.0 1.5 1078 $1,795 $1.67 44d 1 0.53mi
521 E Windsor Dr Denton, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 711 $1,086 $1.53 12d 9 0.54mi
3900 Sheraton Rd Denton, TX 4.0 2.5 1684 $1,975 $1.17 17d 1 0.55mi
3904 Sheraton Rd Denton, TX 4.0 2.5 1738 $1,975 $1.14 17d 1 0.56mi
3905 Sheraton Rd Denton, TX 3.0 2.5 1692 $1,950 $1.15 17d 1 0.57mi
3817 Yellowstone Pl Unit 1 Denton, TX 3.0 2.0 1585 $2,200 $1.39 19d 1 0.57mi
2731 E Sherman Dr Unit 2102 Denton, TX 2.0 2.0 1007 $1,399 $1.39 5d 1 0.58mi
3812 Stuart Rd Denton, TX 2.0 1.5 1098 $1,350 $1.23 24d 1 0.58mi
1255 Poinsettia Blvd Denton, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 979 $1,930 $1.97 4d 8 0.60mi
4009 Sheraton Rd Denton, TX 3.0 2.5 1684 $1,950 $1.16 17d 1 0.62mi
2219 Kingston Trce Denton, TX 3.0 2.0 1075 $1,645 $1.53 19d 1 0.64mi
4021 Sheraton Rd Denton, TX 3.0 2.5 1746 $1,950 $1.12 17d 1 0.65mi
3028 N Bell Ave Denton, TX 3.0 2.0 1061 $1,700 $1.60 24d 1 0.66mi
3024 N Bell Ave Unit 3028 Denton, TX 3.0 2.0 1061 $1,700 $1.60 24d 1 0.67mi
901 Juno Ln Denton, TX 3.0 2.5 1767 $1,950 $1.10 17d 1 0.67mi
829 Juno Ln Denton, TX 4.0 2.0 1733 $1,975 $1.14 17d 1 0.68mi
1250 Randall St Denton, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 902 $2,446 $2.71 1d 71 0.68mi
825 Juno Ln Denton, TX 4.0 2.5 1733 $1,975 $1.14 17d 1 0.68mi
3805 Atlas Dr Denton, TX 3.0 1.0 1392 $1,795 $1.29 24d 1 0.68mi
3012 N Bell Ave Denton, TX 3.0 2.0 1061 $1,650 $1.56 44d 1 0.68mi
3008 N Bell Ave Unit 3012 Denton, TX 3.0 2.0 1061 $1,650 $1.56 44d 1 0.69mi
3008 N Bell Ave Denton, TX 3.0 2.0 1061 $1,750 $1.65 24d 1 0.69mi
3132 Cedar Hill St Denton, TX 3.0 2.0 1378 $1,850 $1.34 24d 1 0.69mi
3825 Camelot St Denton, TX 2.0 1.0 922 $1,300 $1.41 13d 1 0.70mi
3825 Camelot St Denton, TX 2.0 1.0 922 $1,300 $1.41 21d 1 0.70mi
3919 Canton Ct Denton, TX 3.0 2.0 1481 $2,195 $1.48 44d 1 0.71mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $224,999 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $224,999 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $224,999 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $224,999 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $224,999 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $225,000 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $225,000 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $225,000 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $249,995 Active 43 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,995 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,995 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,995 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,995 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-05-15
    price $249,997 1428-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1428 chars)

    ADORABLE HOME WITH WORKSHOP ON LARGE CORNER LOT ONLY 10 MINUTES FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF NORTH TEXAS! This well maintained home is move in ready! Starting with pretty curb appeal on an oversized corner lot, this home has so much to offer at this price! Step inside to find a bright open concept with huge living area! Kitchen is super cute with electric range and microwave. A small portion of the garage was converted into a separate dining room with double pantries for extra storage! All bedrooms are generously sized with great closet space! Outside you will find a fabulous workshop with electric! Add a mini-split HVAC to make it another living space! The yard is AMAZING! Plenty of space for outdoor entertaining! Roof was replaced in 2015 and HVAC was replaced in the last 5 years! Norchester is a highly rated (A+ crime safety rating according to Google) neighborhood featuring 3 top-rated public schools! Denton, TX is a vibrant, creative, college town known for its historic downtown square, thriving live music scene and two major universities (UNT and TWU.) If you are looking to explore nature, you have access to 300+ acres of open space, including the Clear Creek Natural Heritage Center with hiking trails and nearby lakes like Lake Lewisville. Located at the crossroads of I-35E and I-35W you always have easy access to the DFW metroplex! Come see why so many are proud to call Denton, TX home! HURRY!

  15. 2026-05-08
    price $249,998 1428-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1428 chars)

    ADORABLE HOME WITH WORKSHOP ON LARGE CORNER LOT ONLY 10 MINUTES FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF NORTH TEXAS! This well maintained home is move in ready! Starting with pretty curb appeal on an oversized corner lot, this home has so much to offer at this price! Step inside to find a bright open concept with huge living area! Kitchen is super cute with electric range and microwave. A small portion of the garage was converted into a separate dining room with double pantries for extra storage! All bedrooms are generously sized with great closet space! Outside you will find a fabulous workshop with electric! Add a mini-split HVAC to make it another living space! The yard is AMAZING! Plenty of space for outdoor entertaining! Roof was replaced in 2015 and HVAC was replaced in the last 5 years! Norchester is a highly rated (A+ crime safety rating according to Google) neighborhood featuring 3 top-rated public schools! Denton, TX is a vibrant, creative, college town known for its historic downtown square, thriving live music scene and two major universities (UNT and TWU.) If you are looking to explore nature, you have access to 300+ acres of open space, including the Clear Creek Natural Heritage Center with hiking trails and nearby lakes like Lake Lewisville. Located at the crossroads of I-35E and I-35W you always have easy access to the DFW metroplex! Come see why so many are proud to call Denton, TX home! HURRY!

  16. 2026-05-01
    price $249,999 1428-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1428 chars)

    ADORABLE HOME WITH WORKSHOP ON LARGE CORNER LOT ONLY 10 MINUTES FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF NORTH TEXAS! This well maintained home is move in ready! Starting with pretty curb appeal on an oversized corner lot, this home has so much to offer at this price! Step inside to find a bright open concept with huge living area! Kitchen is super cute with electric range and microwave. A small portion of the garage was converted into a separate dining room with double pantries for extra storage! All bedrooms are generously sized with great closet space! Outside you will find a fabulous workshop with electric! Add a mini-split HVAC to make it another living space! The yard is AMAZING! Plenty of space for outdoor entertaining! Roof was replaced in 2015 and HVAC was replaced in the last 5 years! Norchester is a highly rated (A+ crime safety rating according to Google) neighborhood featuring 3 top-rated public schools! Denton, TX is a vibrant, creative, college town known for its historic downtown square, thriving live music scene and two major universities (UNT and TWU.) If you are looking to explore nature, you have access to 300+ acres of open space, including the Clear Creek Natural Heritage Center with hiking trails and nearby lakes like Lake Lewisville. Located at the crossroads of I-35E and I-35W you always have easy access to the DFW metroplex! Come see why so many are proud to call Denton, TX home! HURRY!

  17. 2026-04-22
    listed $250,000 Active 1428-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1428 chars)

    ADORABLE HOME WITH WORKSHOP ON LARGE CORNER LOT ONLY 10 MINUTES FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF NORTH TEXAS! This well maintained home is move in ready! Starting with pretty curb appeal on an oversized corner lot, this home has so much to offer at this price! Step inside to find a bright open concept with huge living area! Kitchen is super cute with electric range and microwave. A small portion of the garage was converted into a separate dining room with double pantries for extra storage! All bedrooms are generously sized with great closet space! Outside you will find a fabulous workshop with electric! Add a mini-split HVAC to make it another living space! The yard is AMAZING! Plenty of space for outdoor entertaining! Roof was replaced in 2015 and HVAC was replaced in the last 5 years! Norchester is a highly rated (A+ crime safety rating according to Google) neighborhood featuring 3 top-rated public schools! Denton, TX is a vibrant, creative, college town known for its historic downtown square, thriving live music scene and two major universities (UNT and TWU.) If you are looking to explore nature, you have access to 300+ acres of open space, including the Clear Creek Natural Heritage Center with hiking trails and nearby lakes like Lake Lewisville. Located at the crossroads of I-35E and I-35W you always have easy access to the DFW metroplex! Come see why so many are proud to call Denton, TX home! HURRY!

  18. 2009-04-03
    soldstatus
  19. 2009-04-01
    soldstatus 198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (198 chars)

    Well maintained small brick home in a well-Established Denton neighborhood. With Storage bldg or Workshop in back yard, on corner lot. Black Ceramic Tile in Bath. Hurry and see one before it's gone.

  20. 2009-03-22
    historical 198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (198 chars)

    Well maintained small brick home in a well-Established Denton neighborhood. With Storage bldg or Workshop in back yard, on corner lot. Black Ceramic Tile in Bath. Hurry and see one before it's gone.

  21. 2009-03-12
    listed $89,500 198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (198 chars)

    Well maintained small brick home in a well-Established Denton neighborhood. With Storage bldg or Workshop in back yard, on corner lot. Black Ceramic Tile in Bath. Hurry and see one before it's gone.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,639 · $303/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,117 · $343/mo
Expected delta
+$479/yr (+$40/mo · 13.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,074
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$3,639
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,766
− Management
−$1,766
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$5,370
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,289
After-tax cash flow
$-195/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Denton ISD
NCES district ID
4816740
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$58,913
Composite
34.91/100
National rank
#5075
State rank
#383 of 826 in TX

Livability — Denton

Score
88/100
State rank
#2
US rank
#210

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime B Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Denton, TX
County
Denton County · 901,654 people
City population
127,990
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
27,982
Household income
$75,069
Rent vs Own
53.8% rent · 46.2% own
Severe rent burden
1815.0

Population outlook (Denton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,053,010 people
By 2030
1,192,269 · +13.2%
By 2040
1,472,920 · +39.9%
By 2050
1,746,506 · +65.9%
By 2075
2,358,497 · +124.0%
By 2100
2,779,183 · +163.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 18% Black 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 23% Arabic 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Denton

2024 margin
R (+13.2) · D 42.7% · R 55.8% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
+11.0pp toward D · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -13.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.2 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+20.2 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+24.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -174.53%
Current HPI
310.6124
Rent YoY
▼ -6.91%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+179.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $249,997 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $249,998 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $249,999 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $250,000 NTREIS
  • 2009-04-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2009-04-01 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2009-03-22 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2009-03-12 Listed $89,500 NTREIS

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,639 · -13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…